Chris Sonneborn

Gas pipeline engineer, guitarist, photographer, Lightroom user, and tech junkie

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

@ZayvenKnox Claude

[ZAYVEN KNOX @ZayvenKnox]

An Anthropic engineer paid for my espresso at Sightglass when he saw my screen

I was running my Polymarket bot from the counter. He was next in line. Looked over my shoulder. Stopped scrolling.

"That's not a normal trading app. What's it actually running on"

I told him. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month.

He sat down without asking.

"I'm on the agent team. We stress test Claude for exactly this. You're letting it find its own edges"

Not just edges. Wallets.

86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit.

"You're feeding Claude raw wallet data and letting it identify who consistently wins. Then cloning them"

He said it slowly. Like he was writing the threat model in his head.

One prompt. Find every wallet with 100 plus trades and win rate above 70%. Rank by profit. Export top 50.

Claude scanned 14,000 wallets in 4 minutes. Returned 47.

The top 20 made more than the bottom 13,000 combined.

"That's not a stat. That's a hit list"

Exactly.

"And you didn't write the scoring function"

Claude did. I just wired it into an if-statement.

Then I showed him the second repo.

Official Rust CLI. No API key for reads. 500 markets, Claude scores them in minutes.

Gap. Depth. Resolution window.

487 markets become 35 before a dollar moves.

93% killed before I even see them.

A green fill landed on the screen. +$84.

He watched it hit.

"How does it decide to actually enter"

Three agents. Shared wallet. No shared memory. Arbitrage, convergence, whale copy. 2 agree, full size. 1 alone, half. Disagree, no trade.

Consensus filter alone killed 40% of losing trades.

"And the exits?"

The 47 whales never hold to settlement. 91% exit early. 73% of max profit captured. Redeploy immediately.

My bot cuts at 85% of expected move or on a 3x volume spike.

"You built a whale copy bot that exits before the whales"

Yeah.

He put his espresso down.

"How often does it trade"

10 a day on average. Most of them skipped before I look up from my coffee.

My setup:
Claude API - $20/mo
VPS in Germany - $5/mo
poly_data - free
polymarket-cli - free
Polymarket/agents - free

$200 seed. 27 days ago. $14,300 now.

Copytrade here: https://t.co/zDXGamMWw0…

271 trades. 74% win rate. Sharpe 2.47.

I haven't touched it in 27 days.

He stared at the screen for a long time.

"This is literally what our red team simulates. Except you actually shipped it"

He emailed me the next morning.

"Any chance you'd take a call with our policy lead"

I told him the article is the call. Read it twice.

Too late to gatekeep.

You only need Claude + laptop + 1 hour/day.

Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it:

1. Comment the word 'Claude'
2. Like and Retweet this post
3. Follow me
@ZayvenKnox

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Energy Transfer Announces 1st Quarter 2024 Earnings Release & Earnings Call Time https://t.co/TUP6wu9Mzz

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Remember to call 811 before starting any outdoor projects... Digging without knowing the approximate location of underground utilities can result in damage to gas, electric, communications, water and sewer lines, leading to service disruptions, serious... https://t.co/DKldfe2Wzq

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Download and try MY PA 2022 Planner for free. The 2022 Business & Life organiser. https://t.co/s6iG3VS8rj

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Just posted a photo https://t.co/Nh8KoUbO5A

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

We loved hosting students from @chinquapinprepschool. It was a great experience for both our employees and the students. We are proud to be an ongoing corporate partner with such an impressive school. Chinquapin’s mission is to provide a high-quality... https://t.co/ZFMeVZz2g2

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Energy Transfer Reports Strong Fourth Quarter 2022 Results and Announces 2023 Outlook https://t.co/N6snsZwl7e

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

We're excited to collaborate with Ducks Unlimited to support wetland conservation work at the J.D. Murphree Wildlife Management Area \(WMA\) near our Nederland, Texas facility. The work will help enhance wetland habitat on 1,700 acres of coastal marsh.... https://t.co/d0WRdn3aeJ

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Did you know? Our homes are full of products made from petroleum and natural gas. From construction materials such as insulation and roofing shingles to indoor appliances and kitchen utensils, more than 96% of all manufactured goods are directly touched... https://t.co/6dOXLRWekI

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Really appreciate NSCA putting this on. Great interviews with top shooters. National Sporting Clays Association Live Stream https://t.co/3VZHbAVO0a via @YouTube

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

@OtoProTech Hope you will be back soon! Will you be at Nationals this year?

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

# RODEOHOUSTON #BRADPAISLEY @ RODEOHOUSTON https://t.co/BNk2ROlSke

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Pumpkin carves for our 2021 Spooky Season https://t.co/Dcrz3wdoq2

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

@SaintArnold Happy birthday!

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Just entered this Liz Phair contest! Enter here: https://t.co/tAcnai3koT

[Pipeline Simulation Interest Group @PSIG_org]

PSIG will host its 51st Annual Conference virtually between May 3rd and 7th, 2021. Early Bird Registration Special ends April 5th! Registration is now open at https://t.co/GfWmja2xLM

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Dakota Access Pipeline Ruling Should Reaffirm the Regulatory Process—Not Undermine It https://t.co/bQEwqtrUPT

[Chris Sonneborn @PolarCub]

Awkward Pet Photo Art of our cat, Celeste, for supporting @friendsforlifeanimalrescue #UnshelteredArt https://t.co/L3jp5F71dI

[NASA's OSIRIS-REx @OSIRISREx]

First touch 🦾

This series of 2 images shows the SamCam imager’s field of view at the moment before and after I touched down on asteroid Bennu’s surface.

More details: https://t.co/4ccJmZvzL7