Matt Osborne

Expert on John Fowke, his London revolution, and his war machine, 1627-1660.

Mainly @OsborneInk. Owner, @DistMag. Reviewer, @Genspect.

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

How Ukraine Is Winning The Drone War And Beating Their Combat Exhaustion https://t.co/EYacF50SIu

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

The presumption that Ukraine must give up territory to avoid World War III seems to have vanished from White House calculations. Link below ⤵️⤵️⤵️

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Iran Is Caught In A Ceasefire Trap https://t.co/QqjVkp3uU0

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Iran keeps losing leverage all the time, while the economic risks to the regime grow exponentially over time. Strategic patience has high returns for Trump at relatively low risk.

To make peace with the Great Satan requires the regime to change. As this is impossible, the regime has chosen to strangle, slowly, inside of a ceasefire trap as the colossal economic damage inflicted by Operation Epic Fury, the kinetic phase of the conflict, sets in.

The regime is testing the limits of the ceasefire to create informational space for political outcomes. That's what the weekend missile salvoes against Israel were supposed to achieve.

With five months to go before the elections, however, the heat death of Iran’s economic universe will likely happen first.

Trump is not worried about how this all looks to anyone. He is happy to play the heel while Operation Economic Fury destroys the Islamic Republic. The plan does not even rely on Israel. He just needs the Arab princes to keep doing what they are already doing.

Link below ⤵️⤵️⤵️

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

No Dust, No Dollars: The Exhausting Leveraged Buyout Of Iran’s Resistance Empire https://t.co/0eCkQE2XuC

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Talks reportedly continue, or not, depending on the source, while this purely defensive battle carries on. It is a strange posture from such a warlike Pentagon.
Link below ⤵️⤵️⤵️

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Erica, the law might give you 361 more days to play this game but I will give you a cookie if you can complete a filing in the next 30 days and a glass of milk if it is free of uncontroverted defects

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Is Iran Tapping Out? https://t.co/y89kX5kf4F

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

The crown princes have applied economic pressure on Iran with Hormuz bypass projects. War is not a popularity contest and Trump is happy to play the heel. Link below ⤵️⤵️⤵️

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

The Only True Human Equality Is That We All Descended From Murderers And Cannibals https://t.co/N2WG8u8TwY

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Everyone alive today is the latest link in an unbroken chain of survivors owing their existence to murder and cannibalism in the deep evolutionary past. This is the only true equality.
Link below⤵️⤵️⤵️

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Pacifism Is A Lie And The Noble Savage Is Racist https://t.co/ktlOPKDKvi

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Just as Marxist economics and social pseudoscience appeal to the hyper-rational academic, a false view of the violent past has become predominant among ‘the experts’ in the academy, regardless of the actual evidence.
For premium subscribers first, link below ⤵️⤵️⤵️

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

No Plan Survives First Contact With The Enemy https://t.co/orTLHk4MZn

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Find me a war that went entirely according to the pre-existing plan of any combatant, ever. You can't. It has never happened.
Link below ⤵️⤵️⤵️

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

USAF Doubles Down On Electronic Warfare https://t.co/BHKvkqNQA0

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Compass Call is so effective as a force multiplier that Iran went out of their way to target it. Ironically, they may have just made Air Force EW nearly twice as powerful as it would have been.
Link below ⤵️⤵️⤵️

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Zelenskyy Says 'Partners' Object To Oil Strikes https://t.co/9ixvVCEsm4

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

Zelenskyy says that "partners" -- not Americans, or Trump -- press him to stop hitting Russian oil infrastructure. He means Europeans, who can stop buying Russian fossil fuels any time they want.
Link below ⤵️⤵️⤵️

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

The IRGC Has Chosen Death By Strangulation https://t.co/GSYWS4W0kQ

[Matt Osborne @PolemologyFix]

If surrender is not an option for Iran, then the annihilation of Iran’s economy — which is dominated by the IRGC — absolutely is an option for the United States and Israel. Link below ⤵️⤵️⤵️