Poliwave Europe

X account dedicated to European politics
UK politics: @PoliwaveWebsite

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

Latest Norway Norfakta Poll modelled out

🔵FRP: 63 seats (+16)
🌹AP: 41 seats (-12)
💠H: 22 seats (-2)
🟢SP: 10 seats (+1)
🔴R: 11 seats (+2)
❤️SV: 9 seats (no change)
⚪OTH: 13 seats (-5)

🔵FRP largest party, 22 short of a majority

(+/- change from 2025 election)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Norfakta Norway poll

🔵FRP: 33.2% (+4.5%)
🌹AP: 21.2% (-1.7%)
💠H: 12.8% (-4.3%)
🟢SP: 6.2% (+1.3%)
🔴R: 6.2% (-1.0%)
❤️SV: 5.5% (+0.6%)
💚MDG: 4.5% (+0.8%)
🟡KRF: 4.0% (-0.4%)
🟩V: 3.3% (-0.4%)
⚪OTH: 3.1%

(+/- change from last Norfakta Norway poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Norfakta Norway poll

🔵FRP: 33.2% (+4.5%)
🌹AP: 21.2% (-1.7%)
💠H: 12.8% (-4.3%)
🟢SP: 6.2% (+1.3%)
🔴R: 6.2% (-1.0%)
❤️SV: 5.5% (+0.6%)
💚MDG: 4.5% (+0.8%)
🟡KRF: 4.0% (-0.4%)
🟩V: 3.3% (-0.4%)
⚪OTH: 3.1%

(+/- change from last Norfakta Norway poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Termometro Politico Italy poll

🔵FDI: 27.8% (+0.3%)
🔴PD: 21.1% (no change)
⭐M5S: 12.7% (-0.2%)
🟦FN: 7.4% (+0.1%)
💙FI: 7.3% (no change)
💚AVS: 6.2% (-0.1%)
🟢LEGA: 5.3% (+0.1%)
💠AZ: 2.8% (-0.1%)
⚪OTH: 9.4% (-0.1%)

(+/- change from last Termometro Politico Italy poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

Latest Finland Taloustutkimus Poll modelled out

🌹SDP: 52 seats (+9)
🟡PS: 36 seats (-10)
🔵KOK: 35 seats (-13)
🍀KESK: 25 seats (+2)
🔴VAS: 25 seats (+14)
🟢VIHR: 15 seats (+2)
⚪OTH: 12 seats (-4)

🌹SDP largest party, 49 short of a majority

(+/- change from 2023 election)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Taloustutkimus Finland poll

🌹SDP: 22.7% (+0.1%)
🟡PS: 16.5% (+0.2%)
🔵KOK: 16.3% (-0.7%)
🍀KESK: 12.6% (-0.9%)
🔴VAS: 12.4% (+0.7%)
🟢VIHR: 8.3% (+0.1%)
💛RKP: 3.6% (no change)
💙KD: 3.4% (no change)
⚪OTH: 4.0% (+0.3%)

(+/- change from last Taloustutkimus Finland poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Taloustutkimus Finland poll

🌹SDP: 22.7% (+0.1%)
🟡PS: 16.5% (+0.2%)
🔵KOK: 16.3% (-0.7%)
🍀KESK: 12.6% (-0.9%)
🔴VAS: 12.4% (+0.7%)
🟢VIHR: 8.3% (+0.1%)
💛RKP: 3.6% (no change)
💙KD: 3.4% (no change)
⚪OTH: 4.0% (+0.3%)

(+/- change from last Taloustutkimus Finland poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

Latest Denmark Voxmeter Poll modelled out

🔴A: 39 seats (+1)
🟡O: 27 seats (+11)
❤️F: 20 seats (no change)
💠I: 19 seats (+3)
🟢C: 16 seats (+3)
🟠Ø: 14 seats (+3)
⚪OTH: 44 seats (-17)

🔴A largest party, 51 short of a majority

(+/- change from 2026 election)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Voxmeter Denmark poll

🔴A: 21.0% (+0.6%)
🟡O: 13.9% (+1.4%)
❤️F: 11.6% (+0.1%)
💠I: 10.8% (+0.3%)
🟢C: 9.2% (-0.5%)
🟠Ø: 7.9% (+0.4%)
💜B: 6.1% (+0.8%)
🔵V: 5.9% (-0.7%)
🟣M: 5.8% (-0.8%)
💙Æ: 5.8% (-1.1%)
⚪OTH: 2.0% (-0.5%)

(+/- change from last Voxmeter Denmark poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Voxmeter Denmark poll

🔴A: 21.0% (+0.6%)
🟡O: 13.9% (+1.4%)
❤️F: 11.6% (+0.1%)
💠I: 10.8% (+0.3%)
🟢C: 9.2% (-0.5%)
🟠Ø: 7.9% (+0.4%)
💜B: 6.1% (+0.8%)
🔵V: 5.9% (-0.7%)
🟣M: 5.8% (-0.8%)
💙Æ: 5.8% (-1.1%)
⚪OTH: 2.0% (-0.5%)

(+/- change from last Voxmeter Denmark poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

Latest Austria Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft Poll modelled out

🔵FPO: 78 seats (+21)
💠OVP: 38 seats (-13)
🔴SPO: 26 seats (-15)
🟢GRUNE: 23 seats (+7)
❤️NEOS: 11 seats (-7)
🟥KPO: 7 seats (+7)

🔵FPO largest party, 14 short of a majority

(+/- change from 2024 election)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft Austria poll

🔵FPO: 41% (+3%)
💠OVP: 20% (-1%)
🔴SPO: 14% (-1%)
🟢GRUNE: 12% (-1%)
❤️NEOS: 6% (no change)
🟥KPO: 4% (no change)
⚪Andere/Keine/Weiß nicht: 3%

(+/- change from last Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft Austria poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft Austria poll

🔵FPO: 41% (+3%)
💠OVP: 20% (-1%)
🔴SPO: 14% (-1%)
🟢GRUNE: 12% (-1%)
❤️NEOS: 6% (no change)
🟥KPO: 4% (no change)
⚪Andere/Keine/Weiß nicht: 3%

(+/- change from last Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft Austria poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

Latest Portugal Aximage Poll modelled out

🔵CH: 81 seats (+21)
🔴PS: 77 seats (+19)
🟠AD: 53 seats (-38)
💠IL: 9 seats (no change)
🟢L: 5 seats (-1)
💙PAN: 2 seats (+1)
⚪OTH: 3 seats (-1)

🔵CH largest party, 35 short of a majority

(+/- change from 2025 election)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Aximage Portugal poll

🔵CH: 30.7% (+7.1%)
🔴PS: 28.9% (-0.4%)
🟠AD: 21.7% (-3.6%)
💠IL: 5.6% (-0.9%)
⚪OBN: 4.4%
🟢L: 3.3% (-2.5%)
💙PAN: 2.0% (-0.2%)
❤️CDU: 1.8% (+0.2%)
🟥BE: 1.7% (+0.2%)

(+/- change from last Aximage Portugal poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Aximage Portugal poll

🔵CH: 30.7% (+7.1%)
🔴PS: 28.9% (-0.4%)
🟠AD: 21.7% (-3.6%)
💠IL: 5.6% (-0.9%)
⚪OBN: 4.4%
🟢L: 3.3% (-2.5%)
💙PAN: 2.0% (-0.2%)
❤️CDU: 1.8% (+0.2%)
🟥BE: 1.7% (+0.2%)

(+/- change from last Aximage Portugal poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

Latest Poland Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Poll modelled out

🟠KO: 204 seats (+47)
🔵PiS: 104 seats (-90)
⚫KONF: 76 seats (+58)
🟤KKP: 41 seats (+41)
🔴LEW: 22 seats (-4)
💙R+: 13 seats (+13)

🟠KO largest party, 27 short of a majority

(+/- change from 2023 election)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Poland poll

🟠KO: 33.1% (+1.5%)
🔵PiS: 17.3% (-5.7%)
⚫KONF: 13.8% (+1.5%)
🟤KKP: 7.6% (-2.0%)
🤍Not sure: 7.3%
🔴LEW: 6.5% (-0.3%)
💙R+: 5.3%
❤️RAZ: 3.5% (-0.9%)
⚪OTH: 5.6%

(+/- change from last Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Poland poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Poland poll

🟠KO: 33.1% (+1.5%)
🔵PiS: 17.3% (-5.7%)
⚫KONF: 13.8% (+1.5%)
🟤KKP: 7.6% (-2.0%)
🤍Not sure: 7.3%
🔴LEW: 6.5% (-0.3%)
💙R+: 5.3%
❤️RAZ: 3.5% (-0.9%)
⚪OTH: 5.6%

(+/- change from last Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Poland poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

Latest Spain NC Report Poll modelled out

🔵PP: 145 seats (+8)
🔴PSOE: 98 seats (-23)
🟢VOX: 64 seats (+31)
❤️SUMAR: 5 seats (-26)
🟣PODEMOS: 4 seats (+4)
💠JUNTS: 12 seats (+5)
⚪OTH: 22 seats (+1)

🔵PP largest party, 31 short of a majority

(+/- change from 2023 election)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New NC Report Spain poll

🔵PP: 34.1% (-0.4%)
🔴PSOE: 25.0% (no change)
🟢VOX: 18.2% (+0.4%)
❤️SUMAR: 5.3% (-0.8%)
🟣PODEMOS: 3.9% (+0.3%)
💠JUNTS: 2.9% (+1.3%)
🟠ERC: 1.8% (-0.2%)
💚EH Bildu: 1.4% (no change)
⚪OTH: 2.2%

(+/- change from last NC Report Spain poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New NC Report Spain poll

🔵PP: 34.1% (-0.4%)
🔴PSOE: 25.0% (no change)
🟢VOX: 18.2% (+0.4%)
❤️SUMAR: 5.3% (-0.8%)
🟣PODEMOS: 3.9% (+0.3%)
💠JUNTS: 2.9% (+1.3%)
🟠ERC: 1.8% (-0.2%)
💚EH Bildu: 1.4% (no change)
⚪OTH: 2.2%

(+/- change from last NC Report Spain poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

Latest Germany INSA Poll modelled out

💠AfD: 219 seats (+67)
⚫CDU/CSU: 127 seats (-81)
🔴SPD: 104 seats (-16)
🌻GRÜNE: 105 seats (+20)
❤️LINKE: 75 seats (+11)
⚪OTH: 0 seats (-1)

💠AfD largest party, 97 short of a majority

(+/- change from 2025 election)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New INSA Germany poll

💠AfD: 30.5% (+0.5%)
⚫CDU/CSU: 17.5% (-0.5%)
🔴SPD: 14.5% (+0.5%)
🌻GRÜNE: 14.5% (+0.5%)
❤️LINKE: 10.5% (+0.5%)
🟡FDP: 4.5% (+0.5%)
⚪OTH: 4.5% (-1.5%)
🟣BSW: 3.5% (-0.5%)

(+/- change from last INSA Germany poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New INSA Germany poll

💠AfD: 30.5% (+0.5%)
⚫CDU/CSU: 17.5% (-0.5%)
🔴SPD: 14.5% (+0.5%)
🌻GRÜNE: 14.5% (+0.5%)
❤️LINKE: 10.5% (+0.5%)
🟡FDP: 4.5% (+0.5%)
⚪OTH: 4.5% (-1.5%)
🟣BSW: 3.5% (-0.5%)

(+/- change from last INSA Germany poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

Simulator: https://t.co/kj4lpcRBrq
Polls: https://t.co/7QHa67Qw8d

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

Latest Netherlands Peil​.nl Poll modelled out

🔴PRO: 29 seats (+9)
🟦JA21: 20 seats (+11)
💙PVV: 19 seats (-7)
🟢D66: 18 seats (-8)
❤️FVD: 13 seats (+6)
🔵VVD: 12 seats (-10)
⚪OTH: 39 seats (-1)

🔴PRO largest party, 47 short of a majority

(+/- change from 2025 election)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Peil​.nl Netherlands poll

🔴PRO: 19.3% (+1.3%)
🟦JA21: 13.3% (+2.7%)
💙PVV: 12.7% (+2.0%)
🟢D66: 12.0% (no change)
❤️FVD: 8.7% (-2.7%)
🔵VVD: 8.0% (-2.7%)
💚CDA: 8.0% (no change)
🟣50P: 3.3% (+0.7%)
⚪OTH: 14.7% (-1.3%)

(+/- change from last Peil​.nl Netherlands poll)

[Poliwave Europe @PoliwaveEU]

New Peil​.nl Netherlands poll

🔴PRO: 19.3% (+1.3%)
🟦JA21: 13.3% (+2.7%)
💙PVV: 12.7% (+2.0%)
🟢D66: 12.0% (no change)
❤️FVD: 8.7% (-2.7%)
🔵VVD: 8.0% (-2.7%)
💚CDA: 8.0% (no change)
🟣50P: 3.3% (+0.7%)
⚪OTH: 14.7% (-1.3%)

(+/- change from last Peil​.nl Netherlands poll)