Poll Mantra

India’s leading policy & research agency, shaping political strategy and driving impactful insights.

[Poll Mantra @PollMantra]

In Kerala, our projections closely matched the final outcome reinforcing the value of disciplined research and data-led analysis. What makes this even more meaningful is that multiple national news platforms and well-known journalists relied on Poll Mantra’s survey during their coverage.

This wasn’t about noise or speculation. It was about method, consistency, Right Data and credibility.

They trusted us and we delivered.

#PollMantra #ElectionAnalysis #DataDriven #Credibility #PublicOpinion #KeralaElections

[IndiaToday @IndiaToday]

Keralam: Who is the preferred choice for the next CM? Here’s what Poll Mantra’s data reveals.

@KGShibimol #Keralam #AssemblyElections #SoSouth @Akshita_N #ExitPoll

[Poll Mantra @PollMantra]

Poll Mantra Kerala Exit Poll Signals Anti-Incumbency Wave: Congress-Led UDF Projected To Win Clear Majority With 88–92 Seats

https://t.co/rpP8uKzc9o

[Poll Mantra @PollMantra]

The Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) appears to have gained a decisive edge in the Kerala assembly elections according to the various poll surveys. However, senior leader KC Venugopal is also seen emerging as a primary narrative driver, according to the 'Poll Mantra' survey.

https://t.co/puxBWg1IRW

[Poll Mantra @PollMantra]

According to the Poll Mantra exit poll, Venugopal has had the highest impact on voters over the past 60 days, with 21.4%, followed by Satheesan at 16.2%. However, in terms of chief ministerial preference, Satheesan leads with 21.2%, while Venugopal follows with 17.8%.

https://t.co/40q94uOH7H

[Poll Mantra @PollMantra]

A latest survey by Poll Mantra has suggested intense competition for the CM’s post with several names, including Congress General Secretary KC Venugopal and VD Satheeshan emerging as the front runners.

https://t.co/Q9M5HdKlWB

[Poll Mantra @PollMantra]

Poll Mantra Exit Poll: केरल विधानसभा चुनाव 2026 के एग्जिट पोल में बड़ा राजनीतिक बदलाव देखने को मिल रहा है. पोल मंत्रा के सर्वे के मुताबिक कांग्रेस नेतृत्व वाली UDF स्पष्ट बहुमत के साथ सत्ता में वापसी करती दिख रही है, जबकि पिनाराई विजयन की LDF पिछड़ती नजर आ रही है. वहीं पसंदीदा मुख्यमंत्री चेहरे की रेस में कांग्रेस नेता वीडी सतीशन और मौजूदा सीएम पिनाराई विजयन के बीच कांटे की टक्कर दिखाई दे रही है.

https://t.co/2RC9kvZZ5q

[Poll Mantra @PollMantra]

Poll Mantra Kerala Exit Poll 2026: केरल 2026 एग्जिट पोल के अनुसार, राज्य में सत्ता परिवर्तन के संकेत हैं. कांग्रेस नीत UDF को 88-92 सीटों के साथ स्पष्ट बहुमत मिलने का अनुमान है, जबकि सत्ताधारी LDF 42-46 सीटों पर सिमट सकती है.

https://t.co/QMyZk2PqBk

[Rajdeep Sardesai @sardesairajdeep]

Interesting: all exit polls giving Kerala to Cong-led UDF and already the focus is shifting to kaun banega Cong CM even before the results! VD Satheeshan=strong on ground face of opposition to Left , KC Venugopal=key role in ticket distribution and campaign management, and Ramesh Chennithala= senior and most experienced. But first the Cong has to win on 4th! Exit polls are NOT results! 🙏

[Ankit Mayank @mr_mayank]

BREAKING : Axis My India predicts Congress led UDF Tsunami in Kerala

UDF : 90 🔥
LDF : 49
NDA : 00 😭

VD Satheesan & KC Venugopal remain the front runners for Chief Minister

BJP all set to score ZERO, final nail to BJP’s wild dreams in Kerala 😂🔥

[Voice Of Tribals 🏹 @VoiceOfTribals_]

🚨ब्रेकिंग: Axis My India ने केरल में कांग्रेस के नेतृत्व वाली UDF की सुनामी की भविष्यवाणी की है.

UDF : 90🔥
LDF : 49
NDA : 00😭

वीडी सतीशन और केसी वेणुगोपाल मुख्यमंत्री पद के लिए सबसे आगे हैं

BJP का स्कोर ज़ीरो होने वाला है, केरल में BJP के सपनों पर आखिरी कील😂🔥
#ExitPoll

[Surbhi Maradiya @SurabhiMaradiya]

पोल्स साफ संकेत दे रहे हैं UDF की जीत तय मानी जा रही है।

अब अगला बड़ा फैसला CM चेहरे को लेकर होगा।

VD का नाम पहले नंबर पर दिख रहा है, लेकिन जमीनी समर्थन और जनभावना K. C. Venugopal के पक्ष में मज़बूती से खड़ी है।
हाईकमान को इस संकेत को समझना होगा
नेतृत्व वही, जिस पर जनता का भरोसा सबसे ज़्यादा हो।

[Amock_ @Amockx2022]

BJP tried everything in Kerala to stop UDF

Godi media tried to paint LDF stronger

Congress had limited resources

But INC is all set to make BLOCKBUSTER comeback to power in Kerala after 10 years 🔥

Just look ay Poll Mantra Exit Poll, Congress has so many popular faces for CM across the state :

VD Sateeshan = 21.2%
KC Venugopal = 17.8%
Ramesh Chennithala = 11.2%

United Congress did it 🫡

[Sourav Kundu @souravramyani]

India Today - Poll Mantra Exit poll predicts BIG victory for Congress-led UDF in Keralam 🙌🏼

✅ Seat Projection (140 Seats)
UDF (Congress-led) - 88-92 Seats
LDF (CPM-led) - 42-46 Seats
NDA (BJP-led) - 0-2 Seats

✅ Party-wise Vote Share Trends
UDF - 38.5%
LDF - 33.4%
NDA - 20.2%

✅ Top 3 Leaders with Most Impact leader
K.C. Venugopal (UDF) -19.4%
Pinarayi Vijayan (LDF) - 18.6%
Shashi Tharoor (UDF) - 18.2%

✅ CM Face Popularity Trends
V.D. Satheeshan - 21.2 %
Pinarayi Vijayan - 20.5 %
K.C. Venugopal -17.8%

[Priyamwada @PriaINC]

India Today - Poll Mantra Exit poll predicts BIG victory for Rahul Gandhi!

Congress- UDF alliance to WIN in Keralam 🔥

🗳️Seat Projection (140 Seats)
UDF (Congress-led) — 88-92 Seats
LDF (CPM-led) — 42-46 Seats
NDA (BJP-led) — 0-2 Seats

🗳️Party-wise Vote Share Trends
UDF — 38.5%
LDF — 33.4%
NDA — 20.2%

🗳️Top 3 Leaders with Most Impact leader
K.C. Venugopal (UDF) — 19.4%
Pinarayi Vijayan (LDF) — 18.6%
Shashi Tharoor (UDF) — 18.2%

🗳️CM Face Popularity Trends
V.D. Satheeshan — 21.2 %
Pinarayi Vijayan — 20.5 %
K.C. Venugopal — 17.8%

[𝐒𝐚𝐧𝐣𝐢𝐛 𝐁𝐡𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐚𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐲𝐚 @BhSanjib]

BIG victory for Congress-led UDF in Keralam 🙌🏼

India Today - Poll Mantra Exit poll predicts
✅ Seat Projection (140 Seats)
UDF (Congress-led) — 88-92 Seats
LDF (CPM-led) — 42-46 Seats
NDA (BJP-led) — 0-2 Seats

✅ Top 3 Leaders with Most Impact leader
K.C. Venugopal (UDF) — 19.4%
Pinarayi Vijayan (LDF) — 18.6%
Shashi Tharoor (UDF) — 18.2%

✅ Party-wise Vote Share Trends
UDF — 38.5%
LDF — 33.4%
NDA — 20.2%
✅ CM Face Popularity Trends
V.D. Satheeshan — 21.2 %
Pinarayi Vijayan — 20.5 %
K.C. Venugopal — 17.8%

[Nehr_who? @Nher_who]

BIG FROM KERALA

UDF is all set to get majority and there’s no doubt about that. Panelist is himself saying that KC Venugopal might be the choice of CM unless RG decides to pick someone else.

Finally the consistent hard work of KC for years seems to pay off.

Your take?

[Poll Mantra @PollMantra]

Kerala 2026 Assembly Elections | Poll Mantra

Who’s Shaping the Election Right Now?

In the last 60 days, the narrative hasn’t been driven by one leader it’s been shaped by multiple strong voices.

🔴 K.C. Venugopal (21.4%) emerges as the most impactful
⚫ Pinarayi Vijayan (18.6%) still holds strong influence
🔵 V.D. Satheeshan (16.2%) close behind

And then a strong supporting layer:
• Shashi Tharoor - 12.5%
• Shafi Parambil - 10.1%

What This Means
• UDF dominates the narrative space - majority of top influencers from one side
• LDF impact is more concentrated, less spread out
• The gap at the top is narrow, making momentum highly dynamic

#KeralaElections2026 #PollMantra #ElectionMomentum #LeadershipImpact #KeralaPolitics #UDF #LDF #ElectionInsights #IndiaDecides

[Poll Mantra @PollMantra]

Kerala 2026 Assembly Elections | Poll Mantra

CM Face: A Close, Competitive Race

This isn’t a one-sided leadership battle — it’s tight and open.

🔴 V.D. Satheeshan leads at 21.2%
⚫ Pinarayi Vijayan follows closely at 20.5%
🔵 K.C. Venugopal at 17.8%

And then a packed middle:
• K.K. Shailaja — 11.2%
• Ramesh Chennithala — 11.2%
• Rajeev Chandrashekhar — 10.5%

What This Tells Us

• No clear dominant CM face — voters are divided
• Top 3 leaders within striking distance
• UDF benefits from multiple strong faces, not just one
• LDF still relies heavily on Pinarayi Vijayan’s leadership

Human Insight
People seem to be choosing between options, not following just one leader.
It’s less about “who is the face” and more about who feels right for the moment.

#KeralaElections2026 #PollMantra #CMFace #LeadershipRace #KeralaPolitics #ElectionInsights #IndiaDecides