PPUSA

Nonpartisan data aggregator for US elections. Home of Polliticos. Pollster/news tips accepted via DM.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

🔒Locked in. The PPUSA 2024 final forecast:

President: 278-260 Trump
Senate: 52-48 GOP (Flip - R+3)
Governor: 8-3 GOP (No Change)
House: 218-217 Dem (Flip - D+4)
Popular Vote: D+1.9

There remains a high degree of uncertainty in many races. NC, PA, WI are the most likely misses.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Just saying, you won’t find a Median Strategies, TPSI, or Wedgewood poll posted from this account…

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

DDHQ projects Republicans will maintain control of the U.S. House:

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

Decision Desk HQ projects that Republicans have won enough seats to control the US House.

#DecisionMade: 7:13pm ET

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Senate Update:

DDHQ has called Ruben Gallego (D) the winner of #AZSen. This is the last remaining race, and locks in the Senate at 53-47 GOP.

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

Decision Desk HQ projects Ruben Gallego (D) wins the US Senate election in Arizona.

#DecisionMade: 8:57 PM EDT

Follow live results here:
https://t.co/Dalbgd1kjG

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Dave McCormick (R) officially the projected winner of PA-Sen.

Arizona remains the last uncalled senate race.

[AP Race Calls @AP_RaceCalls]

BREAKING: Republican Dave McCormick wins election to U.S. Senate from Pennsylvania, beating incumbent Bob Casey. #APRaceCall at 4:09 p.m. EST. https://t.co/FjgpZFcJ4E

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

2024 Senate Update:

DDHQ has called MI for Slotkin (D) and NV for Rosen (D). Two senate seats are uncalled. McCormick (R) leads in PA, Gallego (D) leads in AZ.

Current senate count is 52R-46D.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

DDHQ projects Trump wins Arizona.

Unofficial final electoral map:
🟥 Trump 312
🟦 Harris 226

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

2024 Senate Update:

AP has called WI for Baldwin (D). Slotkin (D) likely to win MI. McCormick (R) ahead in PA and likely to flip the seat. Now it appears that Sam Brown (R) may have a chance at flipping NV’s seat.

PA and NV would be 54 seats for the GOP, with AZ still counting.

[Jon Ralston @RalstonReports]

Has AP not yet called Nevada for Trump? It's over, my wire service friends. Even the Culinary Union can't save Harris, and the union's efforts probably won't save Jacky Rosen, either.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Maybe the biggest stunner of the night, Republicans appear to have flipped the Lt. Governor’s office in Vermont.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Fox News calls Wisconsin for Trump. They are the first network to call the election for Trump.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Official: 🟥 President-Elect Trump

[Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ]

Decision Desk HQ projects that former President Donald Trump (R) has won enough electoral votes to win the Presidency.

#DecisionMade: 1:21am ET

Follow live results here: https://t.co/KhbXnlljiu

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Major Call: Fox News has called Pennsylvania for Trump.

Donald Trump will be the 47th president of the United States.

🟥 GOP Flip

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

The state of play for the presidency. Pennsylvania is now also >95% for Trump as of now.

The Senate may be a bigger nightmare for Democrats at the moment; they’re currently down in MT, WI, MI, and PA. NV is also a nail-biter.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

DDHQ called Alaska for Trump. He’s is now up to 251 electoral votes. Pennsylvania would be 270.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Looking back at our final map, it appears the Governor and House will be very close, if not exact. But Trump and Senate Rs will most likely outperform expectations.

Very pleased with how this turned out, given the uncertainty.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

🔒Locked in. The PPUSA 2024 final forecast:

President: 278-260 Trump
Senate: 52-48 GOP (Flip - R+3)
Governor: 8-3 GOP (No Change)
House: 218-217 Dem (Flip - D+4)
Popular Vote: D+1.9

There remains a high degree of uncertainty in many races. NC, PA, WI are the most likely misses.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Current Senate Seat Total:

🟥 GOP 51 (+2)
🟦 Dem 43
⬜️ Uncalled 6

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Major call: DDHQ projects Deb Fischer wins #NESen.

The GOP officially have flipped the Senate.

🟥 GOP Flip

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

One of the more under the radar races tonight is in NJ-09, where Nellie Pou (D) leads Billy Prempeh (R) by just 2% in an urban Newark-based House seat with 74% in.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Not a lot of positives for Democrats tonight so far, but one small silver lining is they’re poised to make a few house gains in the House in New York, where they’re performing pretty well.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Per the NYT Needle, Trump has an 89% chance to win. He’s projected over 300 electoral votes and above a 1% popular vote win.

[PPUSA @PollProjectUSA]

Current odds to win the rust belt per the NYT:

WI: 🟥 Trump 70%
MI: 🟥 Trump 67%
PA: 🟥 Trump 67%
MN: 🟦 Harris 65%