Polymarket Institutional

Institutional access for the world's largest prediction market — powered by @Polymarket

[Polymarket Institutional @PolymarketInsto]

We're launching Polymarket Institutional Research: original research built on our markets, direct from the Institutional Desk.

Our first issue looked at Anthropic's valuation strip and whether the right tail is underpriced. Last week, we turned to the Strait of Hormuz, where traders price a 62% chance of normalization by the end of the year, and what that implies for the spread between Brent and WTI.

New issues every week. Read both and sign up for access to all future issues below 👇
https://t.co/JSob1zxP2G

[Polymarket Institutional @PolymarketInsto]

JetBlue is in a tough spot: $9.3B in debt, a CCC credit rating, and rising fuel, engine, and weather headwinds.

On Polymarket, the odds of a bankruptcy by the end of 2026 sit around 5%, but is that being underpriced?

Read this week's Institutional Research:
https://t.co/XTq2eC7WbL

[Polymarket Institutional @PolymarketInsto]

Christine Lagarde insists she is not leaving the ECB. Jon Turek isn’t convinced.

Polymarket prices an early-exit announcement by year-end at ~20%. This week's issue makes the case that it's closer to 80%.

Read this week's Institutional Research:
https://t.co/mPlFexWe5T

[Polymarket Institutional @PolymarketInsto]

The Hormuz Reopening Gap: the latest from our Institutional Research desk.

Reopening odds have faded from ~90% to the mid-50s.
Here's the trade 📉

https://t.co/hkp8U78Z13

[Polymarket Institutional @PolymarketInsto]

Issue 01: Introducing Polymarket Institutional Research

We read Polymarket's markets as a live options strip on Anthropic's valuation, and ask whether the right tail is underpriced.

https://t.co/yEQPuOsD52

[Polymarket Institutional @PolymarketInsto]

We're launching Polymarket Institutional Research: original research built on our markets, direct from the Institutional Desk.

Our first issue looked at Anthropic's valuation strip and whether the right tail is underpriced. Last week, we turned to the Strait of Hormuz, where traders price a 62% chance of normalization by the end of the year, and what that implies for the spread between Brent and WTI.

New issues every week. Read both and sign up for access to all future issues below 👇
https://t.co/JSob1zxP2G