Benner cycle x crypto (4/4) – Solana
2020 launch
2021 ATH ≈ $260
2022 FTX low ≈ $8–10
C 2023: ≈ $10 → >$100, then ATH near ~$300 in 2025
B 2025–26: near‑ATH zone to de‑risk
Not a system, just a toy lens on boom–bust cycles.
Benner cycle x crypto (1/4)
Samuel Benner’s 19th‑century “Periods When to Make Money” splits years into:
C = buy the panic
B = sell the boom
A = big panics
I tried mapping this antique stock cycle onto crypto 👇
Benner cycle x crypto (3/4) – Ethereum
2016: ≈ $1–10 before the 2017 mania
2018–19: from ≈ $1.4k → double‑digits, then recovery
~2022–23 (C‑like): drop under ≈ $1k → new ATH near $5k
2026 (B‑like): extended bull, time to trim risk
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#Bitcoin - Preparing buy orders
Already in 2024, I said that the box plays a central role during bull market phases. At the same time the box is created, it is designed and drawn forward-looking by the market makers, with a clear view toward 2026. The purpose of the box is the creation of renewable liquidity, which is needed for every cycle, whether bull or bear. The new box spans 33%, from 87k down to 57k. For some, this may sound large, but in 2024 Bitcoin moved for an entire year within a 27% range. It’s not important to understand the range but to understand its borders and move at the outskirts of the trades, not within.
The direction of the lines is irrelevant. These support zones are purely imaginary, designed to trigger breakouts above and below renewable liquidity, allowing both major clusters to be hit over the cycle.
In other words:
Placing buy orders between: 57–60k: BIG BUY, planning to hold for 2–3 months if market allows to visit, not interested to buy higher than that! I consider 57-60k as great entry to make money for the short term and gain some serious % before we continue going down. Because of this, I keep my Bitcoin short from 115-125k fully open! The markets remain very bearish and we are in front of the great financial crisis I have spoken about in September 2025! Keeping the trade short term only as its playing with fire, but risk reward looks worth it from my perspective. My orders are set!
#Bitcoin/ Stock market – What’s Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All You Need to Know:
🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: Bitcoin is forming three major bearish setups at the same time. The first is a massive bearish divergence already active on the weekly and monthly charts. The second is a clear bearish flag pointing directly toward the 70k region. The third is a potential head-and-shoulders structure that is still very much in play. A push into 97–107k is not off the table because there is heavy liquidity resting there, but make no mistake: 70k BTC is a matter of time! The set up for the target of 70k is yet 50:50 in terms of probabilities. It can either break out from the bearish flag towards 70k region straight, or complete the Head and Shoulders pattern first before going to 70k next. Thats the only uncertainty but the destination is the same of 70k!
My next major target is 70k. Does that mean I’m adding shorts here? Absolutely not. The only area where I will add aggressively to my existing shorts from 115–125k is on an upside move into the 97–107k zone. As mentioned last week, the set up remains active and there are no changes.
At the same time, insiders are selling at maximum speed. Since August the market is seeing massive amounts of insider sales, I am following this Data since more than a year and havent seen this size of insider sales ever before, starting from August 2025 till this date. This week there was no change as well, insiders speak one language and thats selling only! I’ve called these moves accurately before, and I am fully convinced that a 2008-style crash is approaching. The entire system is under pressure, banks are stressed, and silver is forcing liquidations one after another. Ask yourself why banks are suddenly borrowing more and more just to cover silver exposure. This is not normal behavior
We are living in extreme times, and once again what I warned about is playing out. Most people ignore fundamentals until it’s too late, but the market right now is structurally bearish and can break at any moment. I am bullish only on gold and silver, ultra-bearish on stocks and Bitcoin, and positioned with large shorts from between 115-125k. If the market gives me 97–107k, I will add more serious size to shorts, and I will also close the spot position from 85k and roll those profits straight into the short side.
This week on Tuesday we will see CPI Inflation data, forecasted at 2,7%. Otherwise nothing more interesting to happen this week. January 15 matters because U.S. lawmakers vote that day on the CLARITY Act, a law that decides how crypto is regulated. If it passes, it moves one big step closer to becoming real law. This would finally make clear who controls crypto and what rules apply. Markets watch this day closely because clarity = confidence and more big money entering if positive result, in case of a negative result expect the next leg down. No matter what the result will be it wont change the mid - big BTC picture that is and reamains bearish!
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♦︎ Liquidity: $15,000+
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♦︎ 1h Transactions: 110+
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Longed few more positions
These are high probability patterns, based n bottomed also given me confirmation for bigger wicks n breakouts
$SAHARA
$STO
$HOME
$NEWT
IMO it’s great to trade in trenches but I also like longs in daily timeframes, some spots some perps so I long them leave them there n chill, the market is in the capacity to do so
Then just let them wing their magic
Chill, drink tea n make $$
Do what u want with these infos