PoolCrunch

Crunching the numbers for your survivor pools.

From the maker of @survivorgrid

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

Expected Value in the final week of @CircaSports Survivor. After late line movement, NE jumps JAX with slightly higher win odds, and MIN steams up to even EV.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@CircaSports Here’s the top available options sorted by market win odds (they update live on our site)

The only real decisions are likely:

DylanW: ATL or TB

KickYourKneesUp: MIN or CIN (or take an odds hit to be on their own island)

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@CircaSports We could see all 6 remaining entries on different teams in the final week. Here is each entry’s best available for Week 18, sorted by market win odds.

https://t.co/XhW7Dg48uI

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@CircaSports Week 18 availability for the 6 still alive:

https://t.co/4SAepiBDuv

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@lipiner @CircaSports It’s definitely an aggressive, low EV pick with the Bengals also available. My guess is they think the Raiders are trying to lose for #1 pick, and it puts them on an island in case all other picks lose.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@Jesse_Ochoa @CircaSports They will be the only entries with each of those teams available in Week 18 if they survive 17B

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@WillTheThrillFx @CircaSports That is correct, just like it doesn’t mean anything after your team wins and the week is over. It is the “expected” value of a pick, based on all the possible outcomes of games using market win probabilities.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@CircaSports View the availability of each entry for each slate on PoolCrunch: https://t.co/C2421zUrHc

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@CircaSports One entry (Gary A) who had the Pats saved them and went Bengals. One (Kick Your Knees Up) went the the Giants to be on an island. Here’s the Expected Value breakdown.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@CircaSports With only C3 going Washington, they end up with the highest EV on Christmas, with a chance to scoop with an upset.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@RRobbiepoker For a Week 1 start with one pick per week I’d estimate HOU at 50-60% available.

If your pool doesn’t post availability numbers, and there are too many entries to count them all up in the standings, you could look at a sample of them to get a rough estimate.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@CircaSports No bluffers of the 7 entries that revealed early. Eagles end up with the top EV with only 2 picks, while the more popular Jacksonville drops to slightly negative EV.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@CircaSports Here's how those with multiple entries left split (or didn't) their picks

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@CircaSports 62% on the Bucs give them the lowest Expected Value of the week. Lots of high EV out there for those who avoided TB

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

Browse the full standings: https://t.co/UFYMEXFuzk

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

Week 14 picks are in for @SuperBookNV Survivor with 8 entries remaining. The six single entries all go with TB, while the one player with two entries left splits on SEA and CLE.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@CircaSports Here is the Expected Value breakdown and how those with multiple entries left distributed their picks.

SEA and LAR with high EV, along with the solo NE picker.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@SuperBookNV Expected Value Breakdown
https://t.co/dFI10fh7aP

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

Picks are in for Week 13 of @SuperBookNV Survivor.

Of the 8 entries left, 5 went with the Chargers.

JUST WIN BABY on a Seattle island with the top EV.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

Picks are in for Week 13 of @SuperBookNV Survivor.

Of the 8 entries left, 5 went with the Chargers.

JUST WIN BABY on a Seattle island with the top EV.

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@ToddWitteles @JeffreyBenson12 @galenhall @SurvivorSweat You can view the current standings here: https://t.co/hZJtbGnQrB

[PoolCrunch @PoolCrunch]

@ToddWitteles @JeffreyBenson12 @galenhall No entry name still alive had more than 1 CIN pick, or 2 CHI picks on Thanksgiving. Plenty of syndicates exist, or you can buy in the @SurvivorSweat marketplace. My point was just that his 5 entries he owns would be over at least 4 entry names.