The Houthis’ rapid advance is just the beginning of the blowback effects we are now going to face as a result of our counterproductive policies in the Middle East & because of this senseless war in Iran.
The Houthi’s ability to capture key terrain and strategic ports along the Red Sea coast speaks to not just their military capabilities but also to their ability to gain support from tribes far from the traditional Houthi strongholds in northern Yemen.
This is very significant—these tribes are predominantly Sunni, while the Houthis are Zaydi Shias.
Yemen is a tribal region—deals among rivals are frequently cut before or during battles, and even then those alliances can be murky.
Now, however, the Houthis are fighting alongside the IRGC as a member of the axis of resistance against the Saudis, the U.S., and Israel. This has given them far more popular support than a standard tribal deal or a military victory ever could—not because Yemenis support or particularly care about the Iranians, but because especially during times of conflict, we go tribal. It’s human nature.
The Yemenis have witnessed what the U.S.-backed Saudis have done to their people and what the U.S. backed Israelis have done to the people of Gaza, & see how the Iranians are fighting back after the U.S. & Israel attacked them. Now, they’re uniting against their common enemy to fight back.
The U.S.’s war in Iran & simultaneous backing of the Saudis’ war in Yemen, along with our government’s support for Israel’s genocide in Gaza, have given the Iranian Islamic revolution a massive boost that has reached far beyond Iran.
As our war against Iran drags on we will see more of this, especially in Iraq, Lebanon & potentially Bahrain.
Our own policies and interventions abroad are encouraging radicalization, which will in turn inspire blowback terrorism here in the U.S. This is a destructive self-licking ice cream cone and it’s going to get more people killed.
President Trump and his advisors know better, and know that ending our foreign entanglements now is in the best interest of the American people. The question is whether they have the moral courage to do it.
For the past few years, I've been researching the #Houthis' expansion in the Horn of Africa. Very excited that our report is finally out, co-authored with @peterjsalisbury & @PuntlandPirates, with contributions from a great group of researchers across the region.
https://t.co/8DhpmmVEHv
I am writing a chapter on Emirati strategic culture and the role of leadership
Is there more analysis on the narrative of MbZ as a form of deity that I see expressed by Emirati accounts?
Nearly 20,000 employees of Iraq’s electricity ministry are illiterate and have been enrolled in a government program to teach them reading and writing, an education ministry official said on Saturday, attributing the high number largely to the hiring of contract workers in recent years.
https://t.co/Ii2aZmKZtX
What can history and political science tell us about the resilience of the Islamic Republic’s government and institutions?
Here's why Washington keeps misreading Iran.
https://t.co/FKS9GWYkwE
Useful study by @barahmikail for @KASonline: “Libya’s Water Resources: Governance, Power Dynamics, and Policy Options.”
Libya badly needs as much research on water management as it can get.
Covering eastern and western Libya, this particular report tackles water resources and demand, institutional fragmentation, political economy, climate stress, armed interference and transboundary aquifers — plus three case studies and a detailed recommendations matrix.
https://t.co/nEISrdHJpe
The #UAE is the country most exposed to strikes on non-military infrastructure.
Attacks have hit oil and gas facilities, transport hubs, industrial areas and economic zones. #Iran has specifically targeted infrastructure central to the UAE’s role as a regional hub for investment and technology.
🔗 https://t.co/iQ1FxRCdVI
If you need to read one thing on Hezbollah, that’s it. You should read this one.
Even though @DanielHiltonCFC didn’t accept my proposed headline:
“How Hezbollah survived Israel thanks to youth addicted to playing video games”
https://t.co/G3eDmLmiaK
The UAE 🇦🇪 foreign policy is very interesting, especially when we look at their investment policy in Africa
In 10 years, the UAE became the 1st Gulf investor in the region. The country is also at the top positions of world direct investors, often in front of many traditional powers, depending on the different counts.
Where are they investing ?
🔹Eastern Africa (Kenya, Ethiopia, Uganda...)
🔹Central Africa (DRC, Angola, Gabon...)
🔹Western Africa (Guinea, Mali, Nigeria...)
🔹Northern Africa (Morocco, Algeria, Egypt...)
What are their priorities ?
🔹Agricultural lands
🔹Ports
🔹Mining industry, in particular gold
🔹Defense (especially with RSF in Sudan)
🔹Financial investments
This strategy of financial and direct investments is making the UAE one of the most influential states in Africa, which also goes with the UAE strategy in Sudan and Ethiopia in recent years.