🚨 $SPY — DON’T GET FOOLED BY FRIDAY’S PULLBACK 🚨
This is NOT a sell-off.
This is textbook dip-buying inside a dominant uptrend.
Let’s be clear:
• Price still holding above the core trend structure
• Pullback respected the upper trend band — no breakdown
• Volume = controlled, NOT panic
• OBV remains strong → institutions still in
• ADX elevated → trend strength intact
This is exactly how late-year rallies are built:
shake out weak hands → reload → push to new highs.
📍 As long as $SPY holds this trend zone, the path of least resistance is UP.
The real risk is waiting for a “bigger dip” that never comes.
🎯 End-of-Year positioning + performance chasing is coming.
This pullback looks more like a last gift, not a warning.
Smart money buys fear.
Retail sells headlines.
👀 Watching continuation closely into next week.
🔁 Repost if you’re positioning for new highs before year-end.
@MarienLechevin@MarienLechevin
Agree. I see this highly propable scenario and wouldnt be surprised if there had been discussions going on for a long time already. This would explain couple of things, which of course can be explained by several other reasons too, however:
@MarienLechevin 3. Why is Carlesund transferring his ownership from UK to Sweden?
I dont know the Swedish rules for tender well enough to consider, but if someone could explain the reason behond this? Or just tax reasons?
@MarienLechevin Times were different when they listed as they were small and getting funds was way easier as a listed company. Also they could do takeovers in a more straightforward way. Now they have quite straight stated that the time of takeovers is past.
@MarienLechevin As an igaming company, Evolution would do better as private. See Pragmatic for example. When you are publicly stocklisted, you are always in the spotlight. Being publicly listed doesnt do any good for Evolution as basically only retail and private investors can invest to stock.
@MarienLechevin 2. Carlesund not buying. Martin has for several times earlier bought considerable amount of stock at these levels, usually at the end of the year. Not this time though.
@MarienLechevin 1. Player data for Q1/2025 looks extremely promising. Usually this has been reflected in the share price as appreciation as the data is open and available for anyone who can use google search.
The share price is though stagnant/in slight pressure downwards.
And naturally currency fluxuations havent been taken to account.
Its just one quarter but IMO a possible turning point in sentiment. If skeletons fall from the cabinet - we can say the shorts were right.
As the live dealers say:
Good luck!
After all its an amazing company
$evo
My ”guesses” for tomorrows Q4/2024 review shortly. These are based on a forecasting model which uses open data available for us retails. In mil€
Rev. 552,3
EBITDA 376,3 (67,77%)
EBIT 340,8 (61,37%)
Profit 295
EPS 1,42/1,39 (latter fixed with owned shares)
With NA revenue Im quite secure and it will be 73,85
Europe 213,5
Asia 208,9
LatAm 38,1
Others 21
RNG up 8% due to OSS and games gaining popularity.
Live very strong. Especially Gameshows. Other Live weaker, especially BJ and Baccarat.
@Caaarli552 Based on Evolutions take on the GGR this would mean North-America revenue will be approximately 74 million € in Q4/2024 (not taking in account Canada)