🔴 BREAKING:
U.S. 🇺🇸 & China 🇨🇳 slash tariffs after Geneva talks.
➡️ U.S. from 145% → 30%
➡️ China from 125% → 10%
Trade war on pause (90 days).
Probable Winners: $NVDA $TSM $SPY
Probable Losers: $GLD $TLT
#markets#macronews#China#SPY
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For investors, policymakers, and risk managers — the stakes are high.
If true, this may mark the start of a real shift in Russia’s stance... or just the beginning of a new hybrid phase of war.
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Meanwhile, #Zelenskyy remains firm on #Crimea:
“It’s our land — nothing to negotiate.”
But signals suggest backchannel talks continue.
#Putin may be trading territory for legitimacy.
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European officials fear this is a pressure move.
“There’s a lot of pressure on Kyiv right now to give up so Trump can claim victory,” said one source to the FT.
🇺🇸🇷🇺 The timing is also no coincidence: Trump wants a win before Day 100.
3/ Some of those conditions?
Recognition of Russian control over Crimea
No NATO membership for Ukraine
Formal ceasefire + peacekeeping force (non-NATO)
Western sanctions relief
2/
In a meeting with Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff, Putin said he could drop claims on parts of 4 Ukrainian regions Russia does not fully control.
He also reiterated a desire to end the war if certain “conditions” are met.
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Putin offers to halt the Ukraine invasion along the current front line.
US reportedly floats recognising Crimea as part of peace deal efforts.
A tactical retreat - or a trap? Here's what this really means: 🧵
5️⃣ Luxury hit by weak $USD & gold surge 👜
High-end stocks like $MC.PA, $RMS.PA feel pressure. Price hikes loom in U.S. and China.
💸 Fewer tourists, tougher margins.
2️⃣ Germany’s €1tn stimulus 🚧
Merz’s mega-budget shifts EU state aid rules. Czech, Belgian firms may ride the tailwinds in infra/defense.
🔎 Cross-border play emerging.
Biotech rebound. EV battery shock. €1tn German stimulus. Luxury stocks hit. All signal.
1️⃣ Germany’s €1tn spending reshapes EU industrial policy
➡️ State aid rules easing
➡️ Cross-border suppliers in CZ, BE, NL stand to win
🔁 Defense & green tech supply chains = growth track
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5️⃣
The dollar’s collapse is now the rest of the world’s problem
📉 ICE USD Index down 8% YTD
📉 Exporters hurt
📉 Earnings from U.S. worth less abroad
Central banks are under pressure to cut
🔗 https://t.co/zxOnfPUqvP…
4️⃣
Car sales soar — but don’t get excited
📈 +5.7% in March as buyers rush in pre-tariffs
Trump’s 25% auto import tax hits in April
💸 EVs could cost $12k more
Downturn ahead? Very likely.
🔗 https://t.co/3R0Pv1FjdS…
3️⃣
AI Chips War: Nvidia & AMD crushed by new U.S. export rules
Nvidia alone expects a $5.5bn hit.
🇨🇳 Chinese firms rushed to buy before the crackdown.
U.S. now blocking China from building next-gen AI.
🔗 https://t.co/olFNoDumuq…
2️⃣
Meanwhile, the ECB just CUT rates to 2.25%
This is their 7th cut since June. Why?
📉 Slowing growth
📦 Trump’s global tariffs
📈 Euro strength hurting exports
🔗 https://t.co/CZtRcZzK6V…
1️⃣
Trump turns up the heat on Fed chair Powell
Says his “termination can’t come fast enough.”
Powell fires back: "We’re not influenced by political pressure."
The Fed’s message? No rate cut yet. Inflation still sticky.
🔗 https://t.co/4VQQad0xa7…