Professor Oak Capital

Are you a bull or a bear? Not financial advice.

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

$GFL buyout prediction of $57 per share before EOY

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

@vidan48 @toiletkingcap Love the conviction, if management can execute they can be a permanent part of the supply chain

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

@vidan48 @toiletkingcap That’s what I said.. read it again. $UAMY is the only co who can process it ex-China.

I can tell you are a bag holder by how aggressive you’re being. I’ll be buying it once it bottoms

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

@toiletkingcap Fair, I like $UUUU too but also like $MIR $LEU for nuclear once these charts turn

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

@toiletkingcap Lumpy revenues makes it hard to calc, but I don’t think so after this drawdown. Pretty much touching its 200wma

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

@toiletkingcap China is antimony king, nobody else can process it ex-China

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

Holding $GFL overweight into the weekend. $WM performed well today as well. You know what else is overweight?

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

$PLTR double top, rejecting 200 it seems

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

$GFL Monthly

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

$GFL Daily

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

$GFL Weekly

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

$GFL was green in a sea of red today. Same with $WM

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

$GFL above $43 with some big OTM put sells today. Acquisition inbound?

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

📟 PROFESSOR OAK'S STOCKÉDEX #002

$GFL GFL Environmental

Pokédex #088 — Grimer

Type: Poison
Special Ability: Turning trash into treasure.
Habitat: Waste Management, Recycling & Environmental Services

🔬 FIELD RESEARCH

GFL is one of the largest waste management companies in North America, providing garbage collection, recycling, landfill operations, and other environmental services across the United States and Canada. Not exactly the most exciting business on the surface.

But people produce garbage every day, regardless of what the economy is doing. Somebody has to collect it. And once you've established the routes, infrastructure, and customer relationships, it's not particularly easy for someone else to come in and compete.

⚡ EVOLUTION POTENTIAL

I'm bullish on waste management as a long-term business. It's not dependent on the next technological breakthrough or whatever sector Wall Street is chasing this month.

GFL has been expanding through acquisitions, most recently closing its purchase of SECURE Waste Infrastructure in September. That deal expands its footprint in Western Canada and adds a significant network of waste processing, recovery, and disposal facilities.

The underlying numbers have been pretty solid too.

Q2 2026:

Revenue: +16.3%
Adjusted EBITDA: +14.8%
Organic Revenue Growth: +6.4%
Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $236.7M, up from $137.1M.

And GFL raised its full-year guidance.

The SECURE acquisition should provide another opportunity to grow earnings and cash flow as the businesses are integrated.

But there's another reason I've been watching this one.

🐳 UNUSUAL ACTIVITY DETECTED

The options chain has been unusually active, and there's a potential takeover in the background.

More than 12,800 December $45 calls traded, over 45x the prior open interest at that strike. And the activity has continued.

Bloomberg recently reported two competing private-equity groups pursuing GFL.

GROUP 1:
$BX Blackstone
$KKR KKR
Energy Capital Partners

GROUP 2:
$BAM Brookfield Asset Management
IFM Investors

GFL has already acknowledged receiving preliminary expressions of interest and formed a special committee to evaluate potential discussions.

There's been speculation around a $50/share deal, although no definitive transaction price has been announced.

Two competing PE groups, a potential take-private, and heavy call activity.

📓 PROFESSOR OAK'S NOTES

Everyone wants to find the next explosive growth stock.
Meanwhile, companies like $WM and $RSG have spent decades building valuable businesses by collecting garbage. I think GFL has an interesting opportunity to follow a similar path. The recent SECURE acquisition adds scale, and the underlying business continues to grow.

There's certainly risk here. GFL carries meaningful debt, acquisitions take time to integrate, and there's no guarantee a buyout gets done.And with all the takeover speculation, some of that potential upside may already be reflected in the share price.

But I like the business even without a deal.

The PE interest and options activity just make the situation more interesting.

Grimer might not look like much today, but there's always the potential to evolve into Muk.

📟 $GFL added to the STOCKÉDEX.

Gotta research 'em all.

$GFL $WM $RSG $WCN $CWST

#WasteManagement #STOCKEDEX

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

$GFL sitting on MAs and ready to explode (or get taken private by private equity firms)

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

Mirion $MIR sells radiation detection, measurement and safety equipment, earning ongoing revenue from maintenance, calibration, monitoring services and software. Every other public company that sells these products and services have market caps north of $25B and are a bit more diversified. Including $TMO $AME and $TDY

$MIR sitting at $4B, ripe for a takeout

Nuclear theme time to get going $CCJ $LEU $NXE $UEC

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

Live look at $SNDK holders in the overnight session

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

Bonds yields down $TLT up
$IWM green overnight
$QQQ very red
$GLD green

Safe havens emerging?

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

$KOSPI in shambles

[Professor Oak Capital @ProfessorOakCap]

$RARE Candy

Main healthcare sector focuses, unfortunately $ARKG doesn't provide exposure to all of these names (some though!)

$ABCL $CAI $TEM $HIMS $NVO $PRME $VKTX