Picks with the Professor

Player-level data. PhD-level precision.
Long-term edge over short-term hype.

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

@tangotiger @ShipMyMoneyDFS Yup. Next step is start asking the right questions. Usually a LOT easier to get to the right questions than simply asking questions. A bunch of people don’t even want to start asking…

[MLB Trade Rumors @mlbtraderumors]

Could Tarik Skubal be back in the #Tigers' rotation by next weekend?
https://t.co/E0pGJ1Nxaq

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

Reminds me… people tell you who they are ALL the time. Just gotta figure out which words to listen to (few) and which actions to observe (all). This is one of those times where you don’t even have to observe. They made it easy on us with the words part! Which is where so many people get fooled…

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

Heck of a response!

I think I would have stared incredulously and then finally just left. I’m not sure I would have even had the wherewithal to say “please don’t draft me” cause… wow.

I used to tell my students there are no stupid questions and no stupid people but this REALLY makes me question if that’s true!

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

This is the “locked in a car would you break the window” question, but somehow more stupid.

If you’re inside a locked car, you unlock the door and open it.

If you’re on this island, it’s called sharing.

Every kindergartner knows this, and any team asking it to see if they can trap someone is either playing God or Pharisee. Either one is a terrible look…

[Sheng Peng @Sheng_Peng]

Craziest Combine question so far?

Malhotra says a team asked him, if he was on a desert island and had no water, if the person next to him had a water bottle, would he kill him?

Reid says the Canadiens made him toss a puck into a bucket...but at the distance of his choice

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

💯

[Tangotiger 🍁 @tangotiger]

It may be hard for some to believe, but goalies used to not wear face masks. Their coaches would be against it as it was not "manly"

And skaters would skate without a helmet mostly for the same reason

Having double-bag for first base is about one-tenth of 1% of this. Just do it

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

Oh, and I’d argue… a better USA makes for a better whatever country you might be reading this from. Literally. Cause if we’re friendly, great, and if we aren’t, us being better makes us less bad at whichever of our current messes we somehow brought you into.

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

I loved this article so much.

I’ll summarize: California is a problem because California refuses to not be California.

But also… kinda seriously.

Because this is their exact issue with ALL of their problems.

They realize we want a different way.

But then they force feed us that their different way is the right way.

And we consistently try to tell them it’s not right!

The day California learns that it’s shit stinks just like all of ours does and it needs to find a *better* way instead of just a *different* way… well, if they can’t do it for any of their other problems, why would they for how they collect their votes?

Maybe if they cared more about *actually* being democratic than just saying it… and decided to *invest* in their voters voices… maybe the end result would be better all the way around?

But… California gonna California. I’d say “never change” but please do. We’re rooting for ya, cause the one thing everyone on this dumb app should be able to agree on is this: we’re literally all on the same team, under the same flag. And a better California makes us all better no matter what color you root for come Election Day.

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

It's hard to overstate how much of an outlier California is for its slow vote-counting relative to literally any other state or almost any other industrialized democracy.

[Tangotiger 🍁 @tangotiger]

As sweet as that HR was, that bat-flip was @JoeyBats19 level...

[Todd Fuhrman @ToddFuhrman]

Odds to win 2026 Superbowl: Seahawks 60-1

Odds to win 2026 World Cup: #USMNT 60-1 (consensus)

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

Just sent out a few overs for tomorrow based on both the way I look at weather (probably very flawed) and how our resident expert looks at it. Could be some fun times ahead!

[Kevin Roth @KevinRothWx]

⚾️🔥 Hitting weather is coming, be ready: https://t.co/jfGcZjXPme

(And it’s not just in Wrigley)

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

@tangotiger Stranger than fiction?

Or more days of our lives?

🤣

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

Look around! Look around!

At how lucky we are to be alive right now!

True for Hamilton but dang LMM — you’re still speaking straight truth to us now!

[Jeremy Kaplowitz @jeremysmiles]

what is going on

[Tangotiger 🍁 @tangotiger]

There have been far more knuckleball throwers than underhand shooters, even though throwing the knuckler is so much harder

I agree: it is insane that nobody else does this

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

@DerekCarty It’s literally one of my most successful tactics. Also the scariest one… literally for a reason and by design

Just trying to win a *little* bit more than we lose, and this is a great way to do that! Ain’t gonna bat 1.000 but I don’t think I’ll figure that out without Doc Brown

[Derek Carty @DerekCarty]

"Sometimes the value lies in making the bet nobody else wants make" is one of the best pieces of advice you'll find for betting

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

As a Stars fan, these are fighting words

[Tangotiger 🍁 @tangotiger]

Most playoff wins, since 2019

Highlighted teams won the Stanley Cup

Circled teams are in the 2026 Final

[Peter Davis @peterdavisau]

"There are generally 2 types of LLM users: those that use it to learn everything, and those that use it so they don't have to learn anything”
– Mark Cuban @mcuban

[Lee Roach @leevalueroach]

If you have under $10 million and you are buying Apple, you have voluntarily entered the one fight in all of public markets where you have no edge, no advantage, and no reason to exist.

There are 40 PhDs, three sell-side teams, and a sovereign wealth fund modeling Apple’s next quarter to the penny, and you, with your brokerage app and your podcast opinions, have decided to join that table. You will not find a mispricing in Apple. The mispricing in Apple was arbitraged away before you finished reading the headline.

Meanwhile there is a $90 million industrial parts distributor in Wisconsin that no analyst covers, no fund can buy because the position would take six weeks to build, and no institution will touch because it would not move the needle on a billion-dollar book. That is your table. That is the only table where being small is an asset instead of a punchline. Your size, the thing that feels like a limitation, is the single greatest structural edge available to a human being in public equities, and you are spending it on the most picked-over stock on Earth.

The big funds cannot follow you down here. That is the entire point. Go where they physically cannot fit.

[Picks with the Professor @ProfessorSides]

SideLine said 6.7, so u7 at reasonable odds was good. 7 is such a key number in low scoring situations, so we loved the push protection…

But 6.7 would also make o6.5 have some value if you can find better than -110, which is also what OVERcast shows!

Numbers and prices matter!

[Kevin Roth @KevinRothWx]

⚾️🌬️ An OVERcast freebie for you: Winds blowing IN at CLE reduces the homerun rate by 20%. Total on @Kalshi is just 6.5 👀