Prop Joe 💰

Proposition Joe - NFL Player and Game prop expert. Free weekly prop bet sheet. All plays are my own! Track the Action @

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Something a little different this year:
I’ll be tracking ALL of my action @ https://t.co/Xsr1aw9klW. It’s a pretty cool site and I’ll be giving EVERYTHING I play on there. I’ll still tweet out my best 4-5 plays, but you’ll be able to track my total performance on the app.

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Small card today. Love the Zaccheaus play but was hoping to get the total in the mid-30s. Still a healthy 3-unit plays Let’s eat!

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

1 more Vele yard from profit yesterday, yuck! Like the slate today. #LetsEat

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Little Saturday fun. Get creative with alt-line parlays

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Rough one last week but really like this slate. Washington is at 26.5 at MGM but 30ish elsewhere. If you can get him at 26.5 - HAMMER! I’m comfortable with 3-4 units at 30ish. Surprisingly a lot of RBs showed up in the research today, so I’m parlaying some TDs and overs. #LetsEat

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Adding Jake Ferguson O35.5 on fanduel for 2 units.

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Was on vacation last week but back better than ever. IF Ladd doesn’t play, this Palmer play immediately becomes a 5u play. I love the number with Ladd in, but if he’s out - Hammer! The rest of these plays I like not love, so pick a few! Let’s keep the train rolling 🚂. #LetsEat

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Thin value today outside of this Thielen play. Barring injury, the Thielen over should be a lock. I’m using the rest of these 1 unit plays in parlays to try and gain some value. #LetsEat

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Nothing fancy today. If you follow my picks you’ll see I’ve played each one of these before. They all grade out in the green today so if it ain’t broke - don’t fix it! Hopefully you got on J. Williams at 47.5 as it’s 50.5 in some spots now. Happy Thanksgiving! #LetsEat 🦃

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Want to get a play out early before the card because I think the number is going to move. I think we HAVE TO go back to the well with Jameson Williams tomorrow. His total is inexplicably 47.5. The guy is averaging 100ypg at home. Amon Ra is banged up as well. Hammer him up to 50.

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

This is a gross slate 🤮. I will say, by all metrics Robinson is probably the best play I’ve seen all year. Personally, I am going to smash the over. In good faith I can’t make him a max play with Devito at QB BUT the numbers don’t lie. Also, Conner TD is severely underpriced.

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Exited to get this one out because I love the slate! These top 4-5 rec yard over plays grade out extremely well and it’s rare we get that many on one slate. Montgomery anytime TD is way underpriced. Get creative with parlays today, too many good plays for straights only! #LetsEat

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

When I analyzed my play last season I found I severely underperformed on TNF slates. I think part of this is that TNF is unpredictable with teams on short rest and also I have less time to get sharp. I’ve been hesitant to post plays for TNF but I like this parlay for 1 unit.

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Swept the board yesterday! 5-0. At this point, it’s costing you money not to tail! Get on the train. #PropJoePrints

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Alright I do not love a ton this week. Also, Jameson has burned us a bunch so I was bordering on a 2 unit play but he has the best matchup rating of all WRs this week and should be the number. If Deebo is out, I’d move Persall to a 2-unit play. Let’s build on our win last week.

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Alright I do not love a ton this week. Also, Jameson has burned us a bunch so I was bordering on a 2 unit play but he has the best matchup rating of all WRs this week and should be the number. If Deebo is out, I’d move Persall to a 2-unit play. Let’s build on our win last week.

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Alright B2B losing weeks, still up 20+U on the season. Getting back on track this week! Absolutely love McConkey at 52.5. I took this earlier in the week and it creeped up. If you get it closer to 55, drop it a unit. If Puka doesn’t play, drop the Stafford play a unit. #LetsEat

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Alright so regression DID get us last week to the tune of -5 units. What’s sick is we were 11 Justin Jefferson yards away from hitting a 16-1 parlay to save the week. Either way, back on the horse with some smaller consolidated plays. Dobbins ceiling week incoming. #LetsEat

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

Late getting this one out. Not as large plays this week but absolutely love the Hill play. I’m ok with it up to 60yds. I also think Barkley and JJ have ceiling games this week so you can get really creative with parlays. Let’s keep this momentum going! #PropJoePrints

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

REGRESSION? NEVER HEARD OF HER!

Last second DHop savior for another +10unit day! Just did some accounting:
+37 units this past month.
26-10 on plays 2 units or greater
3-0 on #PropJoePress plays.
That is FREE MONEY! Get on the train 🚂! #PropJoePrints

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

We’re up 30+ units on the year and crushing. That level of win is unsustainable which means regression will come. Still, I’m confident on this state and trusting the process. Yes, I love the Titans passing attack this week (gross🤮) with another 5unit #PropJoePress on Dhop over.

[Prop Joe 💰 @PropJoeBet]

PSA:
Units = Confidence. If you’re going to tail, you need to understand this! We need to be betting more units in our high-leverage spots. When I list a play for 5 units, you should wager 5x your standard bet. If you bet x$ on every play, equally, you’re losing EV.#PropJoePreach