FREE ENTRY GIVEAWAY ๐
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To enter:
โข Like + Repost
โข Comment your Chalkboard username๐
Chalkboard NBA Combo ๐
๐๏ธ Anthony Edwards o33.5 PRA (Discount)
๐ฝ๏ธ Brandon Miller o2.5 3PM
๐ฝ๏ธ Tyler Herro o15.5 Points
New users get a FREE pick + up to $500 in bonus funds with code PROPKITCHEN ๐
https://t.co/JIum9LBZKI
@stats_bench@KBProps โFor anyone tailingโ and then share stats when heโs literally on a new team in a brand new situation with different coaches and teammates . His last 10 with Miami for 3s and points are irrelevant here.
Expected volume really is the whole thesis.
TRUST THE MATCHUP ๐
๐ NBA Prop #1 (10/21)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ง ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ง ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @FrannysPlays ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Green gets a TOUGH matchup right out of the gate. Portland allowed the 6th-fewest rebounds to opposing guards last season at 15.4 per game.
- Against top-10 rebounding defenses, Green has stayed UNDER this line in 14 of his last 18 games while averaging fewer than 4 rebounds.
- The additions of Miles Bridges and Khaman Maluach should also take away some of those rebounding opportunities. Phoenix was historically bad on the glass last season, which led to more chances for Green to clean up misses.
- We saw signs of that in the preseason. Green grabbed just 10 TOTAL rebounds in 89 minutes played. At that rate, heโd need nearly 45 minutes to reach 5 rebounds.
Best Odds: -114 DraftKings
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#NBA #NBAPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX
MILWAUKEES NEEDS A HERRO ๐ฆธ๐ปโโ๏ธ
๐ NBA Prop #2 (10/21)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐๐ซ ๐๐๐ซ๐ซ๐จ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @KBProps ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Herro makes his season debut tonight with his new team, the Milwaukee Bucks, which is actually his hometown team. I think he comes out chucking, looking to score against a very favorable matchup as well.
- Herro looked amazing in both of his last two preseason games, especially his most recent one, where he dropped 25 points in 24 minutes, and the one before that, where he dropped 18 points in 23 minutes.
- In the game where he dropped 25 points, he also took 16 shots, and the books are giving him a 16.5 FGA line, so we should expect a high-volume shooting game from him. With 16+ FGA and 27+ minutes played, heโs over this line in 23 of his last 30 games, averaging 26.8 points per game.
- He now gets a matchup against the Washington Wizards, who last season allowed the 7th-MOST points in the league to opposing PGs and ranked 29th overall in defensive efficiency.
- In his most recent game against them, which was on March 31, 2025, obviously with the Miami Heat, he ended up dropping 27 points on 19 FGA. This was, of course, with a completely different team, but now he should be the clear #1 scoring option on the Bucks.
- Their interior defense could be somewhat decent this year and better than last year with Anthony Davis and Alex Sarr, but their perimeter defense will definitely still struggle, especially with Trae Young as their starting PG.
- They experienced this a little bit last season, as in their last couple games of the year they ranked 26th in defensive efficiency against ATB 3s, which is where Herro scores over 48% of his points from.
- Along with that, Washington is also a great matchup for Tylerโs play style, as they ranked 29th versus both transition and free throws, which is how Herro scores a combined 36% of his points. They also ranked 17th versus spot-ups, which is how he scores another 32% of his points.
- The game script for this one is also looking very promising, as the game total is set at 239.5 points, tied for the 2nd-highest total on todayโs 11-game slate. Plus, both teams were some of the fastest-paced teams in the preseason, so hopefully we get a high-scoring, fast-paced game.
- Love this spot for the Wonder Boy to make a statement in his debut for his hometown team and cook this weak Washington Wizards defense.
S/O my friend @Gambler77Goated , who posted this days ago. Check out his page for his analysis โ
Best Odds: -121 Onyx Odds / DraftKings
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#NBA #NBAPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX
MILWAUKEES NEEDS A HERRO ๐ฆธ๐ปโโ๏ธ
๐ NBA Prop #2 (10/21)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐๐ซ ๐๐๐ซ๐ซ๐จ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @KBProps ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Herro makes his season debut tonight with his new team, the Milwaukee Bucks, which is actually his hometown team. I think he comes out chucking, looking to score against a very favorable matchup as well.
- Herro looked amazing in both of his last two preseason games, especially his most recent one, where he dropped 25 points in 24 minutes, and the one before that, where he dropped 18 points in 23 minutes.
- In the game where he dropped 25 points, he also took 16 shots, and the books are giving him a 16.5 FGA line, so we should expect a high-volume shooting game from him. With 16+ FGA and 27+ minutes played, heโs over this line in 23 of his last 30 games, averaging 26.8 points per game.
- He now gets a matchup against the Washington Wizards, who last season allowed the 7th-MOST points in the league to opposing PGs and ranked 29th overall in defensive efficiency.
- In his most recent game against them, which was on March 31, 2025, obviously with the Miami Heat, he ended up dropping 27 points on 19 FGA. This was, of course, with a completely different team, but now he should be the clear #1 scoring option on the Bucks.
- Their interior defense could be somewhat decent this year and better than last year with Anthony Davis and Alex Sarr, but their perimeter defense will definitely still struggle, especially with Trae Young as their starting PG.
- They experienced this a little bit last season, as in their last couple games of the year they ranked 26th in defensive efficiency against ATB 3s, which is where Herro scores over 48% of his points from.
- Along with that, Washington is also a great matchup for Tylerโs play style, as they ranked 29th versus both transition and free throws, which is how Herro scores a combined 36% of his points. They also ranked 17th versus spot-ups, which is how he scores another 32% of his points.
- The game script for this one is also looking very promising, as the game total is set at 239.5 points, tied for the 2nd-highest total on todayโs 11-game slate. Plus, both teams were some of the fastest-paced teams in the preseason, so hopefully we get a high-scoring, fast-paced game.
- Love this spot for the Wonder Boy to make a statement in his debut for his hometown team and cook this weak Washington Wizards defense.
S/O my friend @Gambler77Goated , who posted this days ago. Check out his page for his analysis โ
Best Odds: -121 Onyx Odds / DraftKings
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#NBA #NBAPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX
FREE ENTRY GIVEAWAY ๐
To celebrate the NBA season starting, Iโm giving 3 people a $25 free entry on @ChalkboardHQ
To enter:
โข Like + Repost
โข Comment your Chalkboard username๐
โ Chet Holmgren under 23.5 PRA โ
An absolute sweat till the end & shows why CLV is so important. We end NBA opening day with a 1-1 day, onto tomorrow!
Winner w/ @FrannysPlays ๐ค
โค๏ธ IF YOU TAILED!
NBA FADE OF THE DAY ๐
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ก๐๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐๐
Cooked w/ @FrannysPlays ๐ค @KashyLocks
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- He HATES playing against Wemby! Holmgren has consistently struggled to produce his normal numbers against San Antonio, making this one of the stronger opponent-specific unders on Opening Night. He has stayed under this line in 7 of his last 8 meetings with the Spurs and 8 of his last 10, averaging just 18.5 PRA during that stretch. He has gone under in 4 straight games in San Antonio as well, averaging only 18 PRA per game.
- To say Victor Wembanyama has been a difficult matchup for Chet Holmgren would be an understatement. Holmgren averaged only 10.5 points on 38.7% shooting across their regular-season meetings last year after averaging 17.1 points on 55.7% shooting for the season. Wembyโs length takes away many of the easy finishes Chet normally gets around the rim and has consistently forced him into tougher jump shots while limiting his overall shot volume.
- That carried directly into the WCF, where Chet stayed under this line in 6 of 7 games while averaging only 18.8 PRA. His scoring dropped to 10.7 points per game during the series, and even with Jalen Williams missing time, Chet never consistently took advantage of the additional offensive opportunities. JDub is healthy again for Opening Night, putting OKCโs normal offensive hierarchy back in place with SGA and Williams handling most of the creation.
- Chet enters the season without an injury designation, but he missed all five preseason games with a quad contusion and has not played in a game since San Antonio eliminated OKC in May. That final meeting was another example of how difficult this matchup has been for him, finishing with only 8 PRA despite playing 33 minutes. Iโm not expecting a major restriction, but any early-season rust only helps an under in a matchup where he has already struggled at full strength.
- San Antonio has repeatedly limited both Chetโs efficiency and scoring volume, while assists have never been a major part of his PRA production. With Wemby protecting the paint, Jalen Williams back in the lineup and Chet entering without any preseason game reps, we like Holmgren to stay under this line again against the Spurs.
Best Odds: -125 FanDuel
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#NBA #NBAPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX
WHAT IS THIS LINE?!? ๐
Jalen Green Under 4.5 Rebounds
#SunsUp vs #RipCity
W/ @PropKitchen ๐ฒ
Green gets a TOUGH matchup right out the gate. Portland allowed the 6th FEWEST rebounds to opposing guards last season (15.4 RPG).
Against top 10 rebounding defenses, Green is UNDER in 14/L18 games averaging fewer than 4 rebounds.
The additions of Miles Bridges and Khaman Maluach should also take away some of those rebounding opportunities. Phoenix was historically bad on the glass last season which led to more opportunities for Green.
We saw signs of this in the preseason. Green grabbed just 10 TOTAL rebounds in 89 minutes played. At that rate, heโd need nearly 45 minutes to reach 5 rebounds.
Best Odds: -115 DraftKings
โค๏ธ If Youโre Placing!
TRUST THE MATCHUP ๐
๐ NBA Prop #1 (10/21)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ง ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ง ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @FrannysPlays ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Green gets a TOUGH matchup right out of the gate. Portland allowed the 6th-fewest rebounds to opposing guards last season at 15.4 per game.
- Against top-10 rebounding defenses, Green has stayed UNDER this line in 14 of his last 18 games while averaging fewer than 4 rebounds.
- The additions of Miles Bridges and Khaman Maluach should also take away some of those rebounding opportunities. Phoenix was historically bad on the glass last season, which led to more chances for Green to clean up misses.
- We saw signs of that in the preseason. Green grabbed just 10 TOTAL rebounds in 89 minutes played. At that rate, heโd need nearly 45 minutes to reach 5 rebounds.
Best Odds: -114 DraftKings
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#NBA #NBAPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX