One lesson from testing Proxique: settlement isn’t back-office plumbing. It’s part of the product.
The source, timestamp, rule, and outcome should all be legible.
Trust is built at the finish as much as at signup.
Prediction markets are moving into larger consumer apps. That makes distribution easier. It doesn’t make product quality automatic.
Clear questions, fair rules, and trusted settlement still do the real work.
One lesson from building the first working version: every extra paragraph in onboarding is a warning.
If the first meaningful action needs a lecture, the product needs another pass.
One principle has survived every product iteration:
Prediction markets compress disagreement into a number—but that number only deserves trust when the question, rules, and settlement are clear.
Market design is product design.
Five months into building Proxique quietly.
The core product is working.
We’re creating a new format for prediction markets—built around a different kind of decision and a different test of judgment.
We’ll reveal how it works when the time is right.