Puck Your Odds

#NHL #sportsbetting tips, game-by-game analysis and team previews, every game day. Built on 18 seasons of data and tested against the market. Run by @mikkolk

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Odds of 4.00 would be fair at a 25.0% chance. We give Calgary 29.0% to win in 60 minutes, 4 percentage points more.

Minnesota is still the favorite in our numbers, at 48.6%. This bet loses about seven times in ten, so the stake is small.

https://t.co/TF2IPwi6yL #mnwild #NHL

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Minnesota comes to Calgary missing three regular defensemen: Brock Faber, Jared Spurgeon and Olli Maatta. Calgary is well rested.

Our pick: Calgary Flames to win in regulation. Our probability: 29.0% (fair odds 3.45). Best odds: 4.00. Stake: 3 units 👇 #Flames #NHLbetting

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Odds of 2.48 would be fair at a 40.3% chance. We give the Rangers 44.8% to win in 60 minutes, about 4.5 percentage points more.

Our numbers for 60 minutes: Rangers 44.8%, Toronto 32.0%, draw 23.2%.

https://t.co/TF2IPwi6yL #LeafsForever #NHL

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Toronto plays the Rangers tonight without John Tavares and Chris Tanev. We make the Rangers clear favorites.

Our pick: New York Rangers to win in regulation. Our probability: 44.8% (fair odds 2.23). Best odds: 2.48. Stake: 9 units 👇 #NYR #NHLbetting

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Odds of 3.25 would be fair at a 30.8% chance. We give the Kings 36.0% to win in 60 minutes, 5 points more.

Last season the Kings out-chanced most teams but lost a record 20 games after regulation. Washington is without Dubois.

https://t.co/1kGCVAOFGQ #ALLCAPS #NHL

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

The Kings have not won a game yet: 0-4-2. We are betting on them anyway, at odds of 3.25 in Washington tonight.

Our pick: Los Angeles Kings to win in regulation. Our probability: 36.0% (fair odds 2.77). Best odds: 3.25. Stake: 5 units 👇 #GoKingsGo #NHLbetting

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Odds of 4.25 would be fair at a 23.5% chance. We give Calgary 27.1% to win in 60 minutes, 3.5 points more.

Carolina plays its second game in two nights. This bet loses about three times in four, so the stake is small.

More on Calgary:
https://t.co/4V9kJcTvBA #LetsGoCanes #NHL

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Carolina has won seven games in a row. Tonight it plays in Calgary, one night after winning in Winnipeg.

Our pick: Calgary Flames to win in regulation. Our probability: 27.1% (fair odds 3.69). Best odds: 4.25. Stake: 2 units 👇 #Flames #NHLbetting

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Odds of 2.28 would be fair at a 43.9% chance. We give Utah 47.1% to win in 60 minutes, about 3 percentage points more.

Utah has won six of eight games, the last three in a row. Edmonton is also without Jason Dickinson.

All 14 games:
https://t.co/KinmfX9WvH #LetsGoOilers #NHL

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Utah won 4-2 in Edmonton two nights ago. Tonight the rematch is in Utah, and the Oilers are without Ryan Nugent-Hopkins.

Our pick: Utah Mammoth to win in regulation. Our probability: 47.1% (fair odds 2.12). Best odds: 2.28. Stake: 8 units 👇 #TusksUp #NHLbetting

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Odds of 1.735 would be fair at a 57.6% chance. We give the Kings 60.4% to win, about 3 percentage points more.

The Kings have had three days of rest. Boston has won four in a row but plays its second game in two nights.

All 14 games:
https://t.co/KinmfX9WvH #NHLBruins #NHL

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Los Angeles has not won in five games. We still make the Kings clear favorites tonight: Boston played in Anaheim last night.

Our pick: Los Angeles Kings to win (moneyline). Our probability: 60.4% (fair odds 1.66). Best odds: 1.735. Stake: 10 units 👇 #GoKingsGo #NHLbetting

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

What a turnaround. Before last night we had a bad week, and the record was at -8.1 units.

Now: 22 picks, +30.5 units. That is a return of +25%.

Every pick goes out before puck drop, win or lose, and all of them stay on our track record:
https://t.co/EkVyFlecEl #NHLbetting #NHL

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Five of our six picks won last night. 🔥

Calgary had lost all five of its games. It won 4-2 in Anaheim at odds of 2.78. Carolina, St. Louis, Utah and Boston came through too.

+38.6 units on the night 👇 #Flames #NHLbetting

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Odds of 2.55 would be fair at a 39.2% chance. We give Boston 42.6% to win in 60 minutes, about 3.5 percentage points more.

Both teams have had two days of rest. San Jose's goaltending ranked 31st in the NHL last season.

All 16 games:
https://t.co/4ov6GRQOPw #SJSharks #NHL

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Boston has allowed 13 goals in six games. San Jose has allowed 17 in five. We make the Bruins the favorite tonight.

Our pick: Boston Bruins to win in regulation. Our probability: 42.6% (fair odds 2.35). Best odds: 2.55. Stake: 6 units 👇 #NHLBruins #NHLbetting

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Our numbers for 60 minutes: Kings 37.8%, Oilers 39.1%, draw 23.2%.

Odds of 2.90 on the Kings would be fair at a 34.5% chance. We give them 37.8%, about 3 percentage points more.

All 16 games:
https://t.co/4ov6GRQOPw #LetsGoOilers #NHL

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Edmonton has won four in a row. Los Angeles has not won yet. But the Oilers are without Hyman and Nugent-Hopkins tonight.

Our pick: Los Angeles Kings to win in regulation. Our probability: 37.8% (fair odds 2.65). Best odds: 2.90. Stake: 4 units 👇 #GoKingsGo #NHLbetting

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Odds of 2.78 would be fair at a 36.0% chance. We give Calgary 38.8%, about 3 points more.

Anaheim is the favorite but is without Troy Terry and Ian Moore. This bet loses about six times in ten, so the stake is small.

All 16 games:
https://t.co/4ov6GRQOPw #FlyTogether #NHL

[Puck Your Odds @PuckYourOdds]

Calgary has lost all five of its games. We still bet on the Flames in Anaheim tonight. The numbers are in the next post.

Our pick: Calgary Flames to win (moneyline). Our probability: 38.8% (fair odds 2.58). Best odds: 2.78. Stake: 4 units 👇 #Flames #NHLbetting