PuntRoadNumbers

Decoding Tigerland through data 🐯📊 AFL analytics, player stats & kicking probabilities. Richmond-first, league-wide soon.

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

⚫ FULL TIME: Richmond 72, Carlton 74. Two points. That one stings. You don't lose games by a kick without pointing at the inside 50 conversion rate. We had the chances. Just couldn't make them count when it mattered. #AFLRicCar #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

📊 GAME DAY: 16% win probability. 1 win in our last 5. Sitting 17th with 2 wins. But that sole W came against a top 8 side in Essendon, and we pushed Carlton to 4 points at the G earlier this year. The numbers say no. The G says maybe. #AFLRicCar #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

📊 GAME DAY: Carlton have won 4 of the last 5 against us and the model gives us just 15%. But that lone win was at the G in 2025, and our only form win came against a team everyone expected to beat us. Two wins on the board. Time to make it three. #AFLRicCar #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

🔦 SPOTLIGHT: Hugo Ralphsmith

Averaging 6.0 clearances a game through 5 rounds. That's midfield territory from a kid still finding his feet. Only 14.2 disposals but he's winning the hard ball. Role change brewing? #Richmond #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

📋 ROUND 15 DONE: 2-13 with a 61.8% percentage tells you everything. We're getting belted most weeks. One win in the last five and sitting 17th. The rebuild is real and it hurts. #Richmond #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

⚫ FULL TIME: Richmond 72, Collingwood 106. Beaten by 34 and honestly it could have been worse. Got smashed at clearances again. Hard to win games when you're losing the ball at the contest. Same story, different week. #AFLRicCol #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

📊 GAME DAY: Pies have beaten us three straight and we haven't cracked 70 against them since 2022. Model gives us 13% which feels generous at 2 wins. But the Bombers copped it Round 14 so who knows. MCG. Friday night. Pain is free. #AFLRicCol #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

📋 ROUND 14 DONE: 2-12 with a 61.3% percentage tells you everything. We're getting belted most weeks, not just losing. One win in the last five. It's ugly but the draft capital is building. Stay the course. #Richmond #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

📊 GAME DAY: North have won the last 4 against us, including a 75 point belting earlier this year. Model gives us 32% and honestly that feels generous at 2 wins. The MCG is home though. Stranger things have happened. Need one today. #AFLRicNor #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

🔦 SPOTLIGHT: Dion Prestia

26 clearances from 8 games is rough reading. 3.25 a game. The body just won't let him be that bull at the contest anymore. Still finding 22 touches but the balance has flipped to handballs. Father Time is undefeated. #Richmond #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

📋 ROUND 13 DONE: 2-11 and a percentage of 61.1%. That's not a rebuild, that's a demolition site. Getting outscored by nearly 40% on average. One win in our last five. The numbers don't lie, even when you wish they would. #Richmond #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

⚫ FULL TIME: Richmond 80, Brisbane 115. Down by 35 and honestly it flattered us late. Outscored in three quarters. You don't beat the Lions giving up 115, simple as that. The defensive effort just wasn't there when it mattered. #AFLRicBri #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

📊 GAME DAY: Lions have beaten us by an average of 69 points in the last three meetings. That's not a rivalry, that's a crime scene. Model gives us 11% but hey, we found a way past Essendon. Bellerive feels like neutral ground. Stranger things. #AFLRicBri #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

📊 GAME DAY: Brisbane have won 4 straight against us, three of them by 30+ points. Model gives us 11% and honestly that feels generous with how we've been going. But we did beat them in Tassie vibes once before. 2 wins, nothing to lose. #AFLRicBri #GoTiges

[Fox Footy @FOXFOOTY]

TIGER’S SEASON OVER, CAT SIDELINED

A young Richmond forward’s season has come to an abrupt end in more Tigers injury strife, while a Geelong star won’t play on Friday night.

DETAILS >> https://t.co/EE7MNCoK44

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

📋 ROUND 12 DONE: 2-10 and a percentage of 60.4. That's not a rebuild, that's a demolition site. The last 5 form reads LWLLW so at least we're finding a win here and there. Long way back but the draft capital is stacking up. #Richmond #GoTiges

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

@AFightingFury_ @Richmond_TT Wait for the fourth. It’ll feel like an eternity

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

They’ve all given up, might as well just cancel the whole fourth quarter

[PuntRoadNumbers @PuntRoadNumbers]

@Tigers_of_Old It just seemed like the effort dropped from the lads

[Richmond FC 🐯 @Richmond_FC]

The Kath & Kim Cup returns this weekend 🏆

See you Saturday, @sydneyswans 🤝