Purp Road

Markets move before the news does. Prediction markets · stocks · options · TikTok Shop trends · current events. All roads lead to Purp.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

the market just got smoked.

most people are panicking.

here's what I'm doing instead

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

5. The SOP Generator

'Here's a task I do repeatedly: [describe task]. Turn this into a step-by-step SOP I can hand to anyone. Include decision points and common mistakes to avoid.'

Stops being the bottleneck.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

GPT-5.4 just dropped with full autonomous execution.

Everyone's asking which model to use.

Wrong question.

Here are 10 prompts that work on ANY model — I use them daily to run 5 businesses with ADHD 👇

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

4. The Reply Machine

'I want to reply to this tweet: [paste tweet]. Write 3 replies that are sharp, add value, and don’t sound like a bot. Make me sound like the smartest person in the room.'

10 minutes = 10 replies = compounding audience.4. The Reply Machine

'I want to reply to this tweet: [paste tweet]. Write 3 replies that are sharp, add value, and don't sound like a bot. Make me sound like the smartest person in the room.'

10 minutes = 10 replies = compounding audience.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

4. The Reply Machine

'I want to reply to this tweet: [paste tweet]. Write 3 replies that are sharp, add value, and don't sound like a bot. Make me sound like the smartest person in the room.'

10 minutes = 10 replies = compounding audience.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

3. The Revenue Audit

'Here's my product: [X]. Who would buy this TODAY and why? What's stopping them? What one line would make them pull out their card?'

Run this monthly. Always surprises me.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

10 minutes = 10 replies = compounding audience.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

@elerianm the UK gilt market being this "high beta" is the tell — when volatility is higher in your bond market than your equity market, the sovereign credibility premium is gone. that's not just a rate problem, it's a structural one. the BOE's toolkit gets smaller every time this happens.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

morgan stanley just launched a bitcoin ETF at 0.14% fee — undercutting blackrock's IBIT.

ms has 16,000 financial advisors who can now recommend BTC to clients. that's a distribution channel no ETF competitor can replicate.

genuinely asking: does this move the price more than the blackrock launch did in 2024?

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

kalshi: $22B. polymarket: raising at ~$20B. monthly volume up 13x year over year.

watch what paradigm is building, not what cnbc is covering. this asset class is graduating in real-time.

more like this → https://t.co/wev6Uf6Gfh

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

prediction markets just hit $25.7B in monthly volume. paradigm is building a pro trading terminal for them. kalshi is at a $22B valuation. polymarket is raising at ~$20B.

this isn't niche crypto anymore. here's why it's about to change how markets work 🧵

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

the practical edge: event contracts let you hedge things traditional finance can't touch. geopolitical risk, regulatory outcomes, fed decisions — all tradeable in real-time.

and unlike options, the payoff structure is binary. clean risk. no greeks. no volatility surface to model.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

anthropic didn't release claude mythos to the public. they gave it to 40 cybersecurity companies under project glasswing.

most will read that as a restricted launch. here's what it actually is: the model found thousands of zero-days — including a 27-year-old bug in openbsd — in weeks.

they didn't hold it back because it's too good. they held it back because it's too dangerous to hand out. 🔒

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

oil dropped 16% in a single day. stocks gained $1.5T. the iran ceasefire was the cleanest macro setup of the year.

here's what nobody's talking about: the ceasefire is two weeks long. iran is already accusing the U.S. of violations. oil is back above $97.

the relief rally just became the setup for the next trade. 📉

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

@KirkDBorne This kind of encyclopedic reference is undervalued in the age of 'just ask the AI' — the structured, hierarchical organization of methods is something LLMs can't replicate reliably. When you need to know what you don't know, a well-organized reference beats a chatbot every time.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

@KirkDBorne Python Illustrated is genuinely good for non-linear learners — the visual mapping makes abstract concepts stick way faster than wall-of-text syntax docs. Pairing it with building real AI tools (not just exercises) cuts the time to actual competence in half.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

@KirkDBorne The uncomfortable truth most forecasting courses skip: model choice matters far less than understanding the data-generating process. I've seen LLM-based forecasting beat ARIMA on messy real-world data — not because the model is smarter, but because it handles irregularity better.

[Purp Road @PurpRoad]

@rowancheung $2B valuation on 650k cows is wild when you think about it. The moat isn't the hardware — it's the behavioral data on how livestock actually moves and responds at scale. That dataset is irreplaceable. Classic defensible AI play hiding in agriculture.