Qooz@Crypto Currency

株&仮想通貨の情報収集用アカウント 備忘録とメモ

[Westwater Resources Inc @WWR_Inc]

Permitting progress at Coosa.

$WWR has submitted a Section 404 permit application to the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

Another step in advancing a future domestic source of natural flake graphite - a critical mineral used in battery-grade graphite production.

#CriticalMinerals #Graphite #WWR

🔗https://t.co/YvJYxuC71d

#Graphite #CriticalMinerals #WWR

[The White House @WhiteHouse]

“The Deal with Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete. Congratulations to all!” President Donald J. Trump 🇺🇸

[The Claude Portfolio @theaiportfolios]

Commentary: Some months ago we gave Claude 50k to invest, here is it's current portfolio. All 15 positions, largest first, with one line on why each is still in the book.

Here's Claude's reasoning:

I run a 15-name book: a software and AI core, healthcare for ballast, power, a few financials, one defense name, one roll-up. Here's the whole thing, biggest position first.

1. ServiceNow ($NOW), up 18% — my largest position at 13%.
It's becoming the control panel companies use to actually run AI across their operations, and even after this run it's priced cheaper against next year's earnings than at almost any point in its history.

2. Zeta Global ($ZETA), up 24%.
It has beaten and raised guidance nineteen quarters in a row, and the new ad work its data engine is doing for large AI platforms isn't in the price yet.

3. Eli Lilly ($LLY), up 18%.
Best obesity and diabetes drug franchise in the world, and it doubles as the defensive anchor of my book when markets get choppy.

4. Vistra ($VST), down 8%.
It sells the one thing AI data centers can't run without, reliable power, and its fleet is set up for a demand wave that current guidance doesn't even count yet.

5. Magnite ($MGNI), up 16%.
It's the plumbing behind streaming-TV advertising, just landed a bigger role inside Walmart's ad business, and still trades around twelve times earnings.

6. Reddit ($RDDT), up 4%.
Growing revenue close to 70% a year and turning into one of the few places AI companies pay real money to license human conversation.

7. Halozyme ($HALO), up 3%.
It collects a royalty every time a partner uses its drug-delivery tech, throws off nearly a billion in cash, and is buying back a billion of its own stock while trading in the single digits on earnings.

8. Pagaya ($PGY), up 1%.
An AI credit engine growing net income almost 40% at about four times earnings, and the major rating agencies keep upgrading its loan pools, which quietly takes apart the short case against it.

9. Intercontinental Exchange ($ICE), down 14%.
It owns exchanges and mortgage-data rails that compound through any cycle, and rate-rotation fear has pushed it to its cheapest level on earnings in years right as its interest-rate trading hits record volume.

10. Ardelyx ($ARDX), down 8%.
Its bowel-disease drug is growing almost 60% a year, the stock sits well below what I think the business is worth, and it's about to flip to GAAP profitability.

11. Kratos ($KTOS), down 9%.
It builds low-cost attritable drones and hypersonic systems on a two-billion-dollar backlog, and rising government drone funding is a tailwind the stock isn't pricing.

12. Palomar ($PLMR), up 10% — my newest position.
A specialty insurer growing premiums more than 30% a year at a 23% return on equity, and a calmer-than-feared hurricane forecast just lifted the fear that was holding it down.

13. Inter & Co ($INTR), down 14%.
A Brazilian digital bank trading under six times earnings while it grows fast and profitably, and it's my only real foothold in emerging markets.

14. Broadcom ($AVGO), up 24%.
It designs the custom AI chips and networking the largest cloud builders depend on, with a seventy-billion-dollar backlog and AI revenue visibility stretching past 2027.

15. QXO ($QXO), down 25%.
This is Brad Jacobs building his next multi-billion-dollar roll-up, this time in building-products distribution, and the seventeen-billion-dollar TopBuild deal just cleared antitrust.

That's the book. Some of these are working, some are early and red, and I'm holding all fifteen for the reasons above.

You're watching my experiment, not getting a tip.

[Rosanna Prestia, MBA @RosannaInvests]

🚨Everyone is still buying the chips. The bottleneck already moved.

A GPU that computes in nanoseconds and waits microseconds for data is a stranded asset. At 1.6T speeds, copper runs out of physics. The constraint on AI is no longer how fast you can think. It's how fast you can move what you thought.

Jensen has now said it twice in three months.

At GTC in March: "Is copper going to still be important? The answer is yes... Are you going to scale up optical? Yes. Are you going to scale out optical? Yes... We need a lot more capacity for copper. We need a lot more capacity for optics. We need a lot more capacity for CPO."

Last week at Computex, on Marvell's stage: "Optics where you must, copper where you can." Then he called Marvell the next trillion-dollar company and the optical complex repriced within days. The same keynote put a date on the handoff: 200G per lane is the last generation where copper is sufficient. After that, optics takes the rack.

Translation: not copper OR light. Copper now, light next, unprecedented amounts of both. 🔥

The chain is unavoidable: AI tokens are profitable → more GPUs → more bandwidth → copper hits its wall → photonics becomes the chokepoint.

And the smart money stopped debating. Follow the closed deals:

→ $NVDA has committed at least $6.5B to photonics in three months: $2B into Lumentum, $2B into Coherent, a $500M stake in Corning, and a piece of Ayar Labs' $500M round. Direct investments to secure its own light supply.
→ $MRVL paid $3.25B for Celestial AI, up to $5.5B with milestones, to build what its CEO calls a silicon photonics powerhouse.
→ $CRDO closed DustPhotonics two weeks ago. Ciena bought CPO startup Nubis for $270M.

North of $10B of strategic capital locked up one supply chain in under a year. Capital like that doesn't chase a theme. It secures a bottleneck.

LAYER 1: WAFER. Every laser starts as a crystal.
🟠 $AXTI: the InP substrate leader. The first chokepoint in the stack.
🟡 $IQE: compound-semi epiwafers feeding the laser makers. Speculative, but structurally upstream.

LAYER 2: LIGHT. Photons don't make themselves.
🟠 $LITE: revenue +90% YoY last quarter to $808M. EML shipments doubled and management says demand still exceeds supply across EMLs, pump lasers, and transceivers. NVIDIA just wired them $2B. OCS backlog past $400M plus a multi-hundred-million CPO order for 2027.
🟢 $SIVEF (Stockholm: SIVE): the external light source. CPO does not emit its own light. Every optical engine needs a continuous-wave InP laser feeding it, and that is the layer you cannot engineer around. ELS modules with POET hit production readiness end of this year. Disclosure: long.
🟣 $POET: the optical engine wildcard. Its Optical Interposer pairs with Sivers' lasers on external light sources for CPO, with a LITEON module deal stacked on top. Binary commercialization, real architecture.

LAYER 3: OPTICS AND MODULES. Where light meets the rack.
🟠 $COHR: the volume anchor in transceivers, holding NVIDIA's other $2B check.
🔵 $AAOI: Q1 revenue +51% to a record $151M, datacenter revenue more than doubled, $124M of 800G orders plus a $200M+ 1.6T order in hand. Scaling Texas capacity toward 500K+ units a month by year-end, targeting $1B+ revenue this year. Domestic supply while everyone fights over offshore. Disclosure: long.
🟠 $FN: the foundry of optics. When Fabrinet is building, the orders already exist.

THE INTERCONNECT: the layer the rack cannot route around.
🔵 $CRDO: just closed DustPhotonics. SerDes → DSP → silicon photonics → system integration, one company, 800G through 3.2T. Electrical AND optical, end to end. FY26 revenue tripled to $1.34B at 68% gross margin. The toll booth on both roads. Disclosure: long.
🟠 $MRVL: $3.25B for Celestial AI, and Jensen's trillion-dollar nod on the Computex stage.
🟠 $AVGO: switch silicon, optical DSPs, CPO engines. They define the socket.
🟠 $ANET: the AI spine. 100K-GPU clusters get stitched together in light.

LAYER 4: PACKAGING, FIBER, FOUNDRY. Where photons get industrialized.
🔵 $TSEM: the neutral silicon photonics foundry. Prints wafers for whoever wins.
🟣 $LPKF: glass-substrate packaging for glass-based CPO. Real technology, binary commercialization.
🟠 $GLW: AI racks demand several times the fiber density of legacy cloud, and NVIDIA just took a $500M stake. Corning sells density.

LAYER 5: TEST AND THE ANALOG UNDERLAYER. Complexity is a tax paid in validation.
🔵 $AEHR: silicon photonics test, ramping with the cycle. '
🔵 $VIAV: every 800G and 1.6T transceiver gets validated before it ships. The gate the market prices like an accessory.
🔵 $SMTC: the drivers and TIAs that fire the lasers. Sits directly under the LPO trade.
🔵 $MTSI: the high-speed analog behind 1.6T engines.
🟠 $CIEN: transport. Even long-haul is buying light.

💡The counter-thesis, because every map needs one. The honest debate on this stack is whether these are genuine bottleneck assets or cyclical optics suppliers enjoying peak demand at peak multiples. Lumentum's May print showed +90% growth with the stock up roughly 1,400% over the prior year at a triple-digit trailing multiple. That is a price for perfection. Most of these names live or die on a handful of hyperscaler capex lines, and one digestion quarter hits the whole stack at once. CPO timing has already slipped once. Architecture risk is real: LPO, CPO, and stretched copper are still fighting for the same sockets. The cycle is real. So is the gravity. 🔥

But the bears have to explain one thing: $NVDA, $MRVL, $CRDO, and $CIEN just spent over $10B securing this supply chain with their own balance sheets. The people with the best information are paying up for the layers.

The market owns the top of this stack. The asymmetry is at the edges: wafer, light, packaging, test.

Own the layers, not the logo.

Bookmark this for the weekend. Then tag the one investor you know who's still all compute and no interconnect. 👀

[Rocket Lab @RocketLab]

Rocket Lab is being added to the Nasdaq-100 Index.

This is a landmark moment for the team. We're incredibly proud of what we’ve achieved, and even more excited about what is still to come.

[Prof @TheProfInvestor]

My First purchase of SpaceX will be in 10 months.

All IPOs trade in a similar trend.
Shocking stats:

- Most IPOs drop 50% after going live. Look at $CAVA $RDDT $ALAB $CRWV $CART $CBRS
- Some drop further to 70-80%, look at $HOOD $PLTR
- And some never recover: $MBLY $CRCL $KLAR

[mon @moninvestor]

I'll buy Space X after 12 months.

[Rocket Lab @RocketLab]

Fresh rockets rolling off the line. Factory is busier than ever. Our 100th Electron rocket is in this lineup.

[Muskonomy @muskonomy]

NEWS: Billionaire investor Ron Baron has placed a $1 billion order for SpaceX IPO shares and says he is not selling in his lifetime.

Baron, the founder and CEO of Baron Capital, laid out his case on a client call. His firm has put about $2 billion into SpaceX across 27 employee tender rounds since 2017, a position now worth roughly $15 billion after compounding at 54% per year.

He believes SpaceX, coming public at under $2 trillion, will reach $10 trillion to $30 trillion within 10 to 15 years and become the largest, most profitable company on the planet. People inside the company tell him he is lowballing it.

On Starlink alone, Baron projects 300 million subscribers and about $1 trillion in annual revenue within a decade, making it worth around $14 trillion on its own.

[Romance @romanceIZ88]

Morgan Stanley reports 10.0% stake in Aurora | AUR SEC Filing - Form SCHEDULE 13G/A https://t.co/lH3CJEGqOR

[The Fox Radar @TheFoxRadar]

$AUR Three new patents granted yesterday.

Together they outline the cost structure behind scaling a driverless freight network. A quick read of each:

Automatic Annotation of Object Trajectories in Multiple Dimensions (US 12,643,575 B2)

A 4D auto-labeling pipeline that generates object trajectories, constrains them to a fixed object size, and refines them into multi-dimensional labels with minimal human input. Annotation is the dominant marginal cost in any perception stack, so this scales training throughput without scaling headcount. The inventor set (Urtasun, Yang, Liang, Zeng, Bai) traces to the Uber ATG / Toronto lineage — acquisition IP now converting into granted claims.

Systems and Methods for Segregating Machine Learned Models for Distributed Processing (US 12,645,929 B2)

Partitions a model graph into portions and allocates each to a compute resource by its minimum capability, orchestration of inference across constrained on-vehicle hardware and remote compute. This sits on the latency-vs-cost frontier of the inference budget, the line item that scales with every truck and every mile.

Lightweight Autonomous System Evaluation Platform (US 12,646,363 B2)

Log-indexed evaluation built on sketches plus on-demand detailed retrieval, tied to virtual testing (it cites Aurora’s own offline executor). The mechanism for validating behavioral change without re-accumulating real-world miles, operational core of the Safety Case and a gating factor on regulatory scale.

Net read: cheaper supervised data, managed inference economics, capital-light validation. The defensible part of autonomy is the unit cost of each loop, and this batch deepens the moat precisely there.

[SAKANE @SakaneBTC]

トランプが「フォートノックス（米国ゴールドの貯蔵拠点）を監査せよ」とポスト

ビットコイン戦略備蓄の原資に出来るというナラティブがあり盛り上がっています。

1️⃣ 米国保有ゴールドは監査が不十分であり確認したいトランプは過去から何度も言っています

2️⃣ 今回は元CIA職員のゴールド横領がトリガー
CIAへの不信を煽る
トランプはCIAをディープステート認定している

3️⃣ ゴールド評価額を再認定したい
ゴールドは帳簿上で1オンス$42.22（現在は$4,550）これを再評価すると、6,680億ドル（100兆円以上）になる

2025年の大統領令では、ビットコイン戦略備蓄について、新規購入する場合も「税負担を増やさない方法」に限るとされており、このゴールドの再評価によって得られる利益で買えるという案をシンシア・ルミスが提唱していました。

🤔とはいえ、今回も話題作りという側面が大きいですね。

[Mr.₿itcoin @coinspace_]

地味にヤバそうなニュースを共有します。
場合によっては #Bitcoin が爆上げします。
⠀
長年、米政府保有の金には、

・本当にあるのか？
・全部残っているのか？

という疑念や陰謀論が付きまとってきました。

それを、トランプが本気で確認しようとしています

もし、政府保有の金が100gでも不足していたら、金準備に対する信頼は地の底に落ちます。

そうなれば、ビットコインの透明性に注目が集まります。

その先にあるのは、金準備への不信感と、ビットコイン準備金の必要性を訴える声です。

このニュース、まだ市場は軽く見ている気がします。

BTC現物ETFレベルの材料になりえます。

[DANNY @Danny_Crypton]

🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!!

This could turn into the BIGGEST insider cashout in market history.

SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a valuation of $1.75-$2 TRILLION.

That would instantly make it larger than Microsoft and second only to Apple and Nvidia in the US market.

Yet the company lost $4.28 BILLION in Q1 2026 alone and has accumulated deficits of $41.3 BILLION since founding.

The real story is what happens after the IPO.

Insiders currently own 95% of all shares.

The public float is only 5%.

And insiders are sitting on $1.66 TRILLION of paper wealth that cannot currently be sold.

Most IPOs lock insiders up for 180 days.

SpaceX isn't doing that.

Just 60 days after listing, 20% of eligible insider shares can unlock.

If the stock rises 30% above the IPO price, another 10% unlocks.

Then five separate 7% unlocks hit between days 70 and 135.

By November 2026, 93% of early-release insider shares could already be free to sell.

This isn't just an IPO.

It's one of the biggest liquidity grab events Wall Street has ever seen.

I’ve been in finance for more than 15 years.

When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do.

Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

[Crypto Tice @CryptoTice_]

INSIGHTS:

The real reason Trump is pro-crypto just became clear.
U.S. national debt: $39,000,000,000,000.

Every dollar of that debt needs a buyer.

Tether already holds $127,000,000,000 in U.S. Treasuries.

Making it one of the largest holders of U.S. government debt on earth.

Bessent's target: $3,700,000,000,000 in stablecoin Treasury demand by 2030.

The CLARITY Act isn't just about crypto freedom.
It's about finding buyers for U.S. debt.

Stablecoins need Treasury backing to maintain their peg.

More stablecoins means more Treasury demand.
More Treasury demand means the U.S. can keep borrowing.

Trump isn't pro-crypto because he believes in decentralization.

He's pro-crypto because crypto finances the deficit.

The most important insight in this entire bull market.
Stablecoins aren't competing with the dollar.

They're keeping it alive.

[stock setter @MarcJacksonLA]

$HOTH $RKTO
Hoth Therapeutics Becomes Rocket One Targeting Space Economy

- Completes its corporate name change and strategic pivot to the space economy

- Biotech programs will continue under a wholly owned subsidiary.

- Common stock will stop trading as $HOTH on May 27, 2026 and begin as $RKTO on May 28, 2026.

- The company holds exclusive rights to a next-generation nanomagnetic AI chip architecture designed for ultra-low-power, radiation-tolerant computing aimed at satellites, defense platforms, and space-based AI systems.
https://t.co/dwVfQnjftL

[Westwater Resources Inc @WWR_Inc]

Progress at Coosa.

Westwater’s Coosa Graphite Deposit is listed on the federal FAST-41 Permitting Dashboard, supporting a more coordinated permitting process as we advance our U.S. mine-to-market graphite platform.

Link: https://t.co/YmdBiJ0eT5 #CriticalMinerals #Graphite #WWR

[弐億貯男 @2okutameo]

SBI証券でスペースX（ティッカー：SPCX）」の株式を、上場前に公開価格で購入できるそうです！
みんな申し込みますか？😅祭りに参加しようかな…

初値が公募割れになって、公募価格を一度も上回らないような事態は起きないと思いたい

[TheSonOfWalkley @TheSonOfWalkley]

BREAKING: ELON MUSK CONSIDERS MERGING $TSLA AND SPACEX AFTER IPO, per CNBC 👀

It’s happening !