Quaizimo Sports Analytics

Models do the math. A human makes the call. CFB & NFL boards frozen before kickoff, graded in public. NFL 2026: 21-14, every win and loss shown.

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

NFL Sunday receipts. 3-1 on the board.

Free pick Dolphins/Vikings Under 39 cashed with 25 total points, and the extra action ticket hit at +184 (Chiefs by 3, 57 total). Only miss was Rams/Eagles under 43, which landed on 44.

Week 5 board drops Friday. Which game are you circling?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@MikeyOver1 Like the old proverb says, if it looks too good to be true it probably is not true...will see how it plays out, as it was awfully enticing at that number.

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

One that’s not on the list: LSU at Kentucky. Our kickoff forecast there has 21 mph wind with gusts to 37, the most of any game we checked. On Nebraska, Action Network had it opening 50.5 and down to 48.5, so it may have moved before this was posted. With GT and Memphis already down 7, is there anything left in those unders or is it all priced in?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@ActionNetworkHQ Our kickoff forecasts on those 3: Kentucky has the most wind at 21 mph, gusts 37. Georgia Tech 18 mph with a 98% chance of rain. Nebraska 17 mph but dry. Nebraska already went 50.5 to 48.5 on it, is the 57% against the open or the close?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

My 3 leg combo looking pretty good at this point with Williams + Irving already in the endzone, now just need Lamb to come thru 😀

#Cowboys #Bucs

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Who wants to live on the edge and take the live +159 on DAL -13.5 to cover?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@reasonlocker Looks decent so far but not going to last long running around like that taking hits.

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@CaesarsSports The question here is this Dak post-season form Dak from 2023?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

Love me some hockey! Two NHL games left tonight. Our matchup notes:

Avalanche at Flames, 8 CT. Colorado is on the second night of a back to back but scoring 5.3 a game. Calgary is 0-3, scoring 1 a game and Dustin Wolf is at a .797 save %. Colorado -238.

Leafs at Vegas, 9 CT. Vegas is scoring 4.2 a game with a 31% power play. Eichel has 10 points in 4 games, 8 of them assists. Toronto's PK is at 90.9% so that's the matchup to watch. Vegas -170.

Full notes for every game are on the site with a free account. Which one are you on?

https://t.co/C61kn508vx

#NHL #Avalanche #Flames #Leafs #Vegas

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@BookitWithTrent Whatever the result, -8.5 was the better number. It closed -9.5 at DraftKings and consensus with 74% of tickets and 71% of the money on Dallas. A point of CLV on a 9 point favorite is worth having. You still on it or hedging live?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@ActionNetworkHQ By closing lines 2024 started worse, big favs went 2-13-1 ATS through week 4. Then they covered 55% the rest of the way. Since 2010, favs of 6+ cover 49% from week 5 on, slow starts haven't carried over. Fading Dallas tonight off a 4 week sample?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@BeauLWagner This is where a +400 on Bucs ML to CYA comes in handy!

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@DaveMasonBOL We're with you on the TNF over, locked 48.5 this morning and it closed 49.5 at DraftKings. Other side on Liberty though, we have them -13.5 and it's 14-0 in the 2nd. South Bama up 14-7 early so the +3.5 looks good. Which one are you sweating most?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@johnewing 💯

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@invisiblestats The Bucs money edge shrank all day. 12:51 it was +9, 4:18 it was +6, at 7:02 it's 29% money on 26% tickets, +3. The money that's still moving is on the total, 49 consensus and 49.5 at DraftKings, 83% of the dollars on the over. Is Pinnacle's 8.5 the last one holding out?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@br_betting @FanDuel Lots! That is why even though I am one of them took a small position on Bucs ML @ +400 in case it goes sideways. Still doesn't help if they lose by less than -9.5 but makes me feel better 😀

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@CaesarsSports True but they haven't covered, but they haven't been blown out either. 4 losses this year by 6, 4, 7 and 3, and the GB game was a push. Last 14 games only 3 losses by more than 9. Tonight's +9.5. Is the streak the line or the team?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@CaesarsSports MacKinnon's got the softest spot of the five. Calgary is 0-3, 16 goals allowed, and Wolf is at a .797 save %. Eichel is 2 goals but 8 assists, he's been setting them up more than finishing. Who's your pick of the five?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@CaesarsSports Including me at +2 ATD as well as value play on Lamb ATD and Irving!

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@johnewing @Buccaneers @BetMGM As a rebuttal to that - Yes they haven't covered, but they haven't been blown out either. 4 losses this year by 6, 4, 7 and 3, and the GB game was a push. Last 14 games only 3 losses by more than 9. Tonight's +9.5. Is the streak the line or the team?

[Quaizimo Sports Analytics @Quaizimo]

@chellgod Feel the same way, worth taking a ML on bucs as a backside cover if it goes sideways @ +400?