@KGInvests_ The reason peg looks so cheap is because growth “forecast” are enormous. The Shiller CAPE is above 40 (highest since 1999) and Market Cap to GDP is off the charts. I’m not bearish long term but we have been over earning and will likely see a healthy pullback.
BREAKING: Ray Dalio warns the U.S. may not be able to count on its biggest foreign lenders.
China and Japan, two of the largest foreign holders of U.S. Treasuries, are showing weaker demand.
China's holdings have fallen by more than half, from $1.3 trillion in 2013 to about $618 billion.
Japan still holds roughly $1.1 trillion.
Dalio says less foreign buying could put even more pressure on U.S. borrowing costs, with the 10-year yield hovering near 5.3%.
Bond yields continue to rise. Not trying to scare people because stocks can continue to rise on strong earnings but we haven’t been in an environment like this in a longtime. I think it’s going to be harder to make money the next few years than people realize.