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The Medium White Candle on SPY turns the 1-month forward Sharpe negative in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed, from +0.84 globally to -0.15.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward up rate: 58.4% vs 68.1% globally. Median: +0.6% vs +1.5%.
$SPY #SPY#SP500#Quantlake
The Short Black Candle on SPY turns the 1-month forward Sharpe from +1.07 globally to -0.06 in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward up rate: 59.1% vs 70.5% globally. Median: +0.7% vs +1.9%.
$SPY #SPY#SP500#Quantlake
On SPY, the Medium Black Candle in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed skews the 1-month forward return distribution further left.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward Sharpe: +0.42 vs +1.18 globally.
$SPY #SPY#SP500#Quantlake
The Black Spinning Top on SPY flips from a strong +1.54 1-month forward Sharpe globally to -0.16 in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward up rate: 52.0% vs 71.3% globally. Median: +0.3% vs +2.0%.
$SPY #SPY#SP500#Quantlake
For SPY’s Medium Black Candle, Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed deepens the 1-month left-tail skew, even as forward returns stay positive.
QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward Sharpe: +0.42 vs +1.18 globally.
$SPY #SPY#SP500#Quantlake