Rishabh | Compounding Alpha

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Market Data & Insights

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

Indian SIP investors are badly trapped⚠️

₹30,000 crore enters SIPs every month

Nirmala Sitharaman called retail investors - “shock absorbers”

And she was right.

▫️If SIPs stop:
->Markets could see a sharp fall 📉

▫️If SIPs continue:
->FIIs get smooth exit liquidity 🌊

SIP investors who started in 2024 are sitting at literally 0 returns 🥲

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

📢 If the Government cuts STT, STCG or LTCG taxes…

The biggest winners could be :

⚡ Stock Exchanges
⚡ Brokers
⚡ Depositories
⚡ AMCs
⚡ Wealth Management Firms

Listed Stocks worth tracking:

▫️ BSE
▫️ MCX
▫️ CDSL
▫️ NSDL
▫️ Angel One
▫️ Groww
▫️ Motilal Oswal Financial Services
▫️ IIFL Capital
▫️ 360 ONE WAM
▫️ Anand Rathi Wealth
▫️ HDFC AMC
▫️ CAMS

More participation → More trading → More AUMs → More profits 📈

However,
Most of these stocks are already trading at peak earnings and peak valuations.

So the businesses may continue to outperform, but the stocks may not necessarily do the same.

Market expectations are already very high

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

ITC now trades at a Valuation last seen 20 years ago in 2008 📉

FIIs have reduced their holdings from 43% to 34%

Retail investors continue to accumulate it aggressively

One of the biggest contrarian opportunities or a Value trap ? 🤔

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

@Dev_Trader_News Yeah, Government don’t care at all about investors or traders, they are not the vote bank

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

Someone posted in morning about CCEA meeting today, what happened to that?

Are we getting some?
▫️ STT Relief
▫️ STCG Tax Relief
▫️ LTCG Tax Relief

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

🇮🇳 Cost of Living in India :

2016:

▫️ Avg Salary : ₹14,500
▫️ Avg House Price : ₹65L
▫️ 2BHK Rent : ₹19K
▫️ Grocery Bill : ₹5,400
▫️ Education Cost : ₹6,790
▫️ Petrol : ₹65/L

2026:

▫️ Avg Salary : ₹27,809
▫️ Avg House Price : ₹1.23Cr
▫️ 2BHK Rent : ₹34K
▫️ Grocery Bill : ₹8,400
▫️ Education Cost : ₹25K
▫️ Petrol : ₹102/L

Does your income even grow if expenses are growing at even more pace? 🤔

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

2023:

🇺🇸 Anthropic Market Cap : $18B
🇮🇳 Nifty IT Index Market Cap : $377B

2026:

🇺🇸 Anthropic Market Cap : $965B
🇮🇳 Nifty IT Index Market Cap : $253B

One AI startup is now worth almost 4x of India’s entire listed IT sector 🤯

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

@PRAFULKULKARN18 The worst thing is that they take very high margin even in case of a risk defined debit spread where loss is fixed

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

How big is JP Morgan 🏦 ?

🇺🇸 JP Morgan Profit : $57 Billion
🇮🇳 All Indian Banks Profit : $46.5 Billion

Do you think any Indian Bank will ever reach that level?

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

Anthropic's valuation in just 3 years:

▫️ $4.1B
▫️ $18.4B
▫️ $61.5B
▫️ $183B
▫️ $380B
▫️ $965B 🤯

AI valuations are entering territory never seen before⚠️

The amount of money flowing into AI right now is absolutely insane

AI companies are burning billions on Nvidia GPUs, data centers & top AI talent

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

Anant Raj is making one of the biggest bets on India’s AI & Data Center boom ⚡️

▫️ Plans to invest ₹20,000 Cr in Data Centers
▫️ Current capacity : 28 MW
▫️ Target capacity by FY32 : 307 MW

Company is scaling it’s data storage and computing capacity by more than 10 times

Other major players racing in this space:

▫️ AdaniConneX ((Adani + EdgeConneX)
▫️ Nxtra (Bharti Airtel)
▫️ Yotta Data Services
▫️ CtrlS
▫️ STT GDC India
▫️ NTT Data
▫️ Reliance-backed projects

Do you hold Anant Raj in your portfolio?

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

India’s auto demand is still on fire 🚗🔥

Passenger vehicle sales jumped 26% YoY in May'2026 to 4.44 Lakh units

🔹Maruti Suzuki : sales up 40% to 1.9 lakh units, leading the market
🔹Tata Motors : sales surged 42% to 59,090 units; retained No.2 spot and crossed 10,000 monthly EV sales for the first time
🔹Mahindra : SUV sales rose 11% to 58,021 units
🔹Hyundai : sales grew 9% to 47,837 units, led by Creta and Venue
🔹Kia : recorded its best-ever May sales, up 24% to 27,586 units
🔹Toyota : sold 30,500+ vehicles and crossed 3 lakh cumulative hybrid sales in India

Buyers are rushing to purchase vehicles before upcoming price hikes and last year’s GST cuts are also boosting demand

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

What is going on in Sterlite Technologies? 🤔

▫️ ~650% rally in just 5 months
▫️ Continuous Upper circuits daily
▫️ One of the strongest momentum stocks in the market right now

From ₹80 ➝ ₹620 without giving meaningful dips 🚀

This rally could be due to AI/data center boom, which will increase the demand for optical fiber infrastructure

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

IT stocks went vertical like a new bull market had started

And then dumped so hard that most of the move got erased instantly 👀

This market gives you euphoria and regret within the same week 🥲

▫️ Nifty IT Index -5.5%

▫️ TCS -8.6%
▫️ LTIM -6.8%
▫️ Persistent -6.2%
▫️ Coforge -6.1%
▫️ Tech Mahindra -5.9%

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

🚀 Strong Momentum Stocks (RSI above 70)

▫️ IFCI
▫️ Balaji Amines
▫️ Sterlite Technologies
▫️ Sigma Advanced Systems
▫️ HFCL
▫️ Chennai Petroleum
▫️ RR Kabel
▫️ Tejas Networks
▫️ Indiabulls
▫️ GE Power India
▫️ Syrma SGS

Momentum continues to remain strong in Defense, Telecom & Power themes 👀

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

Top losers Today - 📉

IT stocks went from Top Gainers ➝ Top Losers in just 1 session
⚠️Momentum reversals in this market are brutal

▫️ TCS : -8.07%
▫️ LTIMindtree : -7.31%
▫️ LTTS : -6.21%
▫️ Apollo Micro Systems : -5.88%
▫️ Coforge : -5.65%
▫️ Persistent Systems : -5.58%
▫️ Tech Mahindra : -5.29%
▫️ eClerx Services : -5.25%
▫️ JM Financial : -5.23%
▫️ Schneider Electric Infra : -4.99%
▫️ Sonata Software : -4.76%
▫️ Birlasoft : -4.74%
▫️ Ixigo : -4.71%
▫️ Tata Elxsi : -4.68%
▫️ Adani Energy Solutions : -4.66%
▫️ TBO Tek : -4.47%
▫️ NATCO Pharma : -4.39%

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

@IndianTechGuide This is when TikTok is banned in India - World’s largest market for cringe content 💀

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

@Jethava_shubham Yes 💯

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

🇮🇳 PM Modi told Indians to avoid buying Gold…

So Indians just shifted to a much better alternative- GOLD ETFs 🥇

Why?

▫️ No making charges
▫️ No storage/theft risk
▫️ Pure 24-Karat exposure
▫️ Easy to buy/sell instantly
▫️ Better liquidity & transparency
▫️ Can invest with even small amounts

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

Current State of Indian Markets 🇮🇳
(3-Jun-2026)

▫️ Nifty50 is currently the worst index
▫️ Mid-caps are performing much better

The table below shows how much each index is still down from its respective All-Time High📉

[Rishabh | Compounding Alpha @RGxAlpha]

@Nagraj_G_Baggon Yes, but they are still the best option for retail investors for investment purposes