My piece in @FT on why Iran has been reluctant to sign on to the MoU agreement and why the agreement is not likely to easily lead to a larger deal in 30 or 60 days:
"The dominant view shared across the political spectrum in Tehran is that, given Trump’s record, the promise of diplomacy could actually raise the threat of war. Washington’s seemingly generous concessions are interpreted as too good to be true. Tehran suspects that the US seeks not a lasting peace but a free hand to keep Iran isolated and weak, checking its nuclear and missile activities by periodically “mowing the lawn”. Faced with such a prospect, deterrence is all that matters.
Iranian leaders talk of control of the Strait of Hormuz and maintaining Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium as the key to deterrence. They believe any durable deal that includes economic compensation for war damage and lasting sanctions relief would hinge on these two issues; the US is demanding that Iran concede on both. This makes striking a lasting deal highly unlikely."👇🏽
https://t.co/Po1LI2pyh6
In the middle of what some have described as the worst energy crisis ever (worst than 1973+1979+2022 combined), let me tell you that US natural gas prices are falling toward a 18-month low of $2.6 per mBtu.
(And yes, North America gas market is an island, but it does matter)
“We’re giving it five days and then we’re going to see where that takes us.”
US President Donald Trump says Iran has agreed not to have a nuclear weapon.
Worth to read the speech that Sultan al Jaber, the CEO of UAE-state owned oil giant ADNOC, just delivered at CERAWeek (by video conference for obvious reasons).
Chevron CEO Mike Wirth says the physical oil market is tighter than the financial oil market is reflecting, particularly for refined products.
The scarcity, particularly in Asia, is “not fully priced in the oil futures curve,” he says.
#CERAWeek
Over to you, Glenfarne, for comment because I'm not exactly sure what to say. Reminds me of the Nordstream 2 investment story, except this one would be located in the US. Are Arc7 ice-class #LNG tankers coming to northern Alaska? https://t.co/GpclKvzbwY
https://t.co/GpclKvzbwY
"We do think that this month, August, we are going to get everything ready so the project can start again." If everything goes well, he said September would be "the latest."
Mozambique president says TotalEnergies LNG project to resume https://t.co/XJA8mXVXGM via @NikkeiAsia
Adam Prestidge, president of Glenfarne Alaska LNG, mentioned that the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has also shown interest in the project.
Alaska natural gas pipeline project eyes start for Asian customers
https://t.co/pcEP6T8ly2