🚨MY WORLD CUP '26 LONG TERM BETS🚨
This post is to summarize all my Future Bets so I can do a recap in the end of the competition. This will be pinned in my channel so that everyone can check it during the WC.
World Cup 2026 Winner:
2u - Spain to Win (5.60 / +460) to win 9.20u
2u - France to Win (6.20 / +510) to win 10.4u
1u - Argentina to Win (9.20 / +820) to win 8.20u
1u - Portugal to Win (11.20 / +1020) to win 10.2u
Golden Boot (best goalscorer):
0.30u - Kylian Mbappe to Win (7.50 / +650) to win 1.95u
0.30u - Harry Kane to Win (8.20 / +720) to win 2.16u
0.10u - Haaland to Win (15 / +1400) to win 1.40u
0.05u - Oyarzabal to Win (34 / +3300) to win 1.65u
Golden Ball (Best Player):
0.25u - Lamine Yamal to Win (9.00 / +800) to win 2u
0.2u - Lionel Messi to Win (11 / +1000) to win 2u
0.2u - Kylian Mbappe to Win (11 / +1000) to win 2u
0.1u - Bruno Fernandes to Win (21 / +2000) to win 2u
Group Specific:
2u - Switzerland to Win Group B (1.81 / -123) to win 1.62u
2u - Spain to finish 1st and Uruguay to finish 2nd in group H (1.80 / -125) to win 1.60u
1.5u - Colombia to finish 2nd in Group K (2.10 / +110) to win 1.65u
1u - Turkey to Win Group D (2.76 / +176) to win 1.76u
0.25u - Morocco to Win Group C (7.10 / +610) to win 1.53u
Let's see how these roll. Bets for the games will be posted in game day.
See ya! 🫶
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Bet #1 for Thursday, June 11th
World Cup 🇪🇺
Mexico x South Africa
1u - Mexico Handicap -1.0 (-141 / 1.71) (22bet)
Handicap -1.0 -> If Mexico wins by 2 or more goals, we win the bet; if they win by 1 goal, it VOIDS; if they draw or lose, we lose the bet.
Reasoning:
Firstly, this Mexico squad is superior to the South African team. They had good performances in the friendlies against some good opponents (Belgium, Portugal), and I liked the way the team played together.
Secondly, and for me the most important factor: they are playing at home. The stadium will be absolutely chaotic and will elevate the team to a win.
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@OFuraRedes@FIFAWorldCup Campeão do Mundo: Espanha 😮💨
Vice-campeão: Portugal 😮💨
Seleção surpresa: Suíça
Seleção desilusão: Alemanha
Fase a que Portugal chega: Final
Bota de Ouro: Mbappe
Bola de Ouro: Yamal
Melhor jogador sub-21: Yamal
🚨MY WORLD CUP '26 LONG TERM BETS🚨
Last category is group related bets! Let's check them!
Group Related:
2u - Switzerland to Win Group B (1.81 / -123) to win 1.62u
- Switzerland had an amazing WC qualification and I predict them to make a good run in this competition. In a group with Catar, Bosnia and Canadá, Switzerland is the clear best team.
2u - Spain to finish 1st and Uruguay to finish 2nd in group H (1.80 / -125) to win 1.60u
- No brainer for me. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia are clearly the worst two teams of this group. Between Spain and Uruguay, I expect Spain to top the group.
1.5u - Colombia to finish 2nd in Group K (2.10 / +110) to win 1.65u
- Just like the last bet, I expect Portugal and Colombia to be 1st and 2nd place in the group, respectively. Both Uzbekistan and Congo are inferior to these two.
1u - Turkey to Win Group D (2.76 / +176) to win 1.76u
- Turkey is a dark horse in this competition. They have some very good players in the midfield and in the attack, which I believe can cause some damage in this competition. I expect the 1st place to be between USA and Turkey, but @ +176, Turkey to win is a good line to pass on.
0.25u - Morocco to Win Group C (7.10 / +610) to win 1.53u
- Long shot. I don't like Brazil's squad and Morocco is a tough team to beat. I wouldn't be surprised if Morocco finishes 1st in this group.
These are my 5 group related bets for this year's World Cup!
Are you tailing any?
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🚨MY WORLD CUP '26 LONG TERM BETS🚨
Next up: Golden Ball. The best player in the competition. The 4 players that I risked money on are the ones I expect to be the best player of my 4 favorite teams to win the World Cup! Let's check them out.
Golden Ball Winner:
0.25u - Yamal to Win (9.00 / +800) to win 2u
- Yamal enters this competition with a lot to prove and with the will to win his first WC! After what I saw from him in Euro 2024, I expect him to be a big problem to the opponents. For me, he is the best player in this competition.
0.2u - Messi to Win (11 / +1000) to win 2u
- 38 years old and still having fun in the MLS. Messi might older now but he is still showing a lot of physical capacity. I believe that if Argentina wins this competition, he will be the best player once again.
0.2u - Mbappé to Win (11 / +1000) to win 2u
- I could just copy and paste the reasoning I used in Golden Boot. He is a demon playing in the World Cup, and I expect him to do everything in his power to win his 2nd trophy. Best player on the 2nd best team.
0.1u - Bruno Fernandes to Win (21 / +2000) to win 2u
- Bruno is in the peak of this career. After breaking the Premier League's assist record and turning Man Utd's season around, he enters in the WC in an absurd form. He will be the facilitator in this Portugal team and I expect him to be their best player if they win the competition.
Once again, I've risked a low amount of money in this award. Only 0.75u again (150€ for me), in a possible golden ball winner.
Who will you bet on???? Share with me in the comments!
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🚨MY WORLD CUP '26 LONG TERM BETS🚨
Now let's focus on the next category: Golden Boot. This award goes to the player with most goals scored. I did not put too much money on this, as I believe it is a very unpredictable category. But here are my best bets!
Golden Boot Winner:
0.30u - Mbappé to Win (7.50 / +650) to win 1.95u
- It's impossible not to bet on Mbappé. He transforms into a demon when he plays at the World Cup, and I believe he will be dangerous again this year. Plus, he is France's penalty taker, so the chance to score is even bigger.
0.30u - Kane to Win (8.20 / +720) to win 2.16u
- This season's league golden boot winner. Harry Kane is in an absurd form and he enters in this competition scoring goals for fun. Penalty taker + confidence sky high usually means a lot of goals scored!
0.10u - Haaland to Win (15 / +1400) to win 1.40u
- Norway are not candidates to win the World Cup, and I don't expect them to go further than Quarter Finals. Still, I wouldn't be surprised if Haaland scores 2 hat tricks in the group stage and wins the golden boot while being eliminated early. That's why I don't really like this category 😂
0.05u - Oyarzabal to Win (34 / +3300) to win 1.65u
- The only reason I'm betting this is because Yamal is questionable to play in the group stage. If that doesn't happen, Oyarzabal will be the penalty taker for Spain, and can accumulate some goals in the group stage. Plus, as Spain is an offensive machine, they usually score 2-3 goals every game.
As you can see, I've only risked 0.75u (for me, 150€), betting on possible golden boot winners. I believe that this is a very volatile award and sometimes there are some surprises (Cody Gakpo won with 3 goals in Euro 2024).
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🚨MY WORLD CUP '26 LONG TERM BETS🚨
I have 4 categories of long term bets to share with you!
I will post it one by one with a reasoning behind every bet.
Let's start with the most interesting one, the winner!
World Cup 2026 Winner:
2u - Spain to Win (5.60 / +460) to win 9.20u
- The clear favorite to win this competition. Spain has shown amazing individual and collective quality in Euro 2024 and in Nations League 2025, and they have every right to be considered the team to beat. For me, clear favorites to win it all.
2u - France to Win (6.20 / +510) to win 10.4u
- I put France in the same bracket as Spain, hence my 2u bet on them. It's undeniable that they have the best attack in the competition. Individually, they are unreal, but their collective gameplay sometimes gives me doubts. If their best players perform at their best level, it will be impossible to stop them.
1u - Argentina to Win (9.20 / +820) to win 8.20u
- Argentina is on the second bracket of my most favorites. They are the defending champions and it will be much tougher to beat them than in 2022, because they have nothing to prove. Collectively, they might be the most unselfish and warrior type team in the competition. But, I believe that there are some liabilities in the squad, especially defensively. Still, I wouldn't be surprised if they win back to back.
1u - Portugal to Win (11.20 / +1020) to win 10.2u
- I might be biased, but this year is the one where Portugal has more chances to win. Best midfield in the competition, superb fullbacks and an amazing goalkeeper. My doubt is in the attack and in the center backs, which can complicate their odds to win. Still, with this midfield of Bruno, Vitinha and João Neves, they have big chances of win it all.
These are my favorite 4 possible winners. If any of these teams win, it's guaranteed profit. I don't expect anyone out of these 4 to win this year.
Honorable mention: England and Germany, but I put them in a third bracket.
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TOP 10 FAVORITES TEAMS TO WIN THE WORLD CUP
#1 Spain 🇪🇸
Spain head into the World Cup as the favorites, and there are several reasons why I believe La Roja can go all the way. After winning Euro 2024, the team developed into one of the most complete and balanced squads in international football. Under Luis de la Fuente, Spain combine their traditional possession-based style with far more speed, intensity, and direct attacking football than in previous generations.
Their biggest strength is the quality in midfield. With players like Rodri, Pedri and Fabian Ruiz, Spain control matches through intelligence, passing, and tactical discipline.
What makes this generation even more dangerous is the explosive talent on the wings. Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams bring pace, dribbling, unpredictability, and goals. Spain no longer rely only on passing — they can now destroy defenses in transition and in one-vs-one situations.
My Expected Starting XI
GK: David Raya
Defense: Marcos Llorente, Laporte, Cubarsí, Cucurella
Midfield: Rodri, Pedri, Fabián Ruiz
Forwards: Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, Oyarzabal
Must-See Player: Lamine Yamal
At only 18 years old, he is already considered one of the most exciting talents on the planet. His ability to dribble past defenders, create chances, and score in big matches makes him the face of this new Spanish generation. I believe this World Cup could be the tournament that turns Yamal into a global superstar.
Spain arrive at the tournament with confidence, tactical identity, and good depth. If their young stars handle the pressure, La Roja have everything needed to lift the World Cup trophy once again.
Odds to Win: 5.00 / +400
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TOP 10 FAVORITES TEAMS TO WIN THE WORLD CUP
#2 France 🇫🇷
In my opinion, France is the 2nd strongest contender to win the tournament once again. With incredible depth in every position, world-class experience, and some of the most talented young players in football, Les Bleus possess all the ingredients of a champion team. After reaching multiple major finals in recent years, France continue to show why they are considered the most consistently dominant national team of the modern era.
One of France’s biggest strengths is their physical and technical balance. They can dominate matches through possession, but they are equally dangerous on the counterattack thanks to their speed and athleticism. The squad is filled with elite players competing at the highest level in Europe, giving Didier Deschamps a huge number of tactical options.
The main reason France are feared by every opponent is the quality of their attack. With explosive forwards capable of deciding games in seconds, France can punish even the smallest defensive mistakes. Their attacking depth is unmatched, making them the team with the best attack in the tournament.
France are also extremely solid defensively, with players such as William Saliba, Theo Hernández and Upamecano combining strength, pace, and composure.
My Expected Starting XI (4-2-3-1)
GK: Mike Maignan
Defense: Koundé, Saliba, Upamecano, Theo Hernández
Midfield: Tchouameni, Zaire-Emery
Attack: Dembele, Mbappe, Cherki, Olise
Must-See Player: Kylian Mbappé
Already considered one of the best footballers in the world, Mbappé has the ability to become even a better footballer when the plays in a World Cup. He enters the 2026 tournament as the leader of the French NT and one of the faces of world football.
France have experience, depth, talent, and a winning mentality. If they perform at their best, Les Bleus have every chance of lifting the World Cup trophy once again and confirming their status as the dominant international team of this generation.
Odds to Win: 6.20 / +520
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TOP 10 FAVORITES TEAMS TO WIN THE WORLD CUP
#3 Portugal 🇵🇹
Portugal is one of the most exciting and complete teams in international football. With a squad full of world-class talent, a perfect blend of experience and youth, and a growing winning mentality, Portugal have every reason to believe they can challenge for their first-ever World Cup title. After years of developing one of the strongest player pools in Europe, they arrive at the tournament as genuine contenders.
One of Portugal’s greatest strengths is the incredible quality of its midfield. Few nations can match the technical ability and creativity available to the Portuguese squad. Players such as Bruno Fernandes, Vitinha and João Neves provide the team with control, intelligence, and attacking creativity, allowing Portugal to dominate possession while remaining dangerous in transition.
Defensively, Portugal possess one of the strongest backlines in the competition. With leaders such as Rúben Dias and their elite full-backs, the team combines defensive solidity with the ability to contribute offensively. Goalkeeper Diogo Costa is also regarded as one of the finest goalkeepers of his generation, giving Portugal confidence at the back.
Portugal's attack is their biggest concern. Ronaldo's in the end of his career and the lack of wingers in great form can be factor that turns this achievement less possible. I believe that Roberto Martinez will opt for a less wide attack and compact the middle with Joao Felix and Bernardo Silva.
My Expected Starting XI (4-3-3)
GK: Diogo Costa
Defense: Cancelo, Rúben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nuno Mendes
Midfield: João Neves, Vitinha, Bruno
Attack: Bernardo, João Felix, Ronaldo
This lineup showcases Portugal’s exceptional balance. Experienced leaders provide stability, while a new generation of stars brings energy, ambition, and world-class quality across every area of the pitch.
Must-See Player: Bruno Fernandes
As the creative engine of the Portuguese national team, Bruno possesses the vision, passing range, and leadership needed to influence the biggest matches. Few midfielders in world football can create chances as consistently as he does, and he proved that this season by breaking the Premier League assist record.
What makes Bruno so special is his ability to change a game with a single moment of quality. Whether through a perfectly weighted pass, a long-range strike, or a decisive set piece, he constantly finds ways to make the difference. His work rate and competitive mentality also make him a natural leader within the squad.
Entering the World Cup at the peak of his career, Bruno Fernandes is expected to be the player who dictates Portugal’s attacking play and unlocks opposing defenses. If Portugal are to make a historic run towards the trophy, their midfield maestro will almost certainly be at the heart of it.
Portugal arrive at the World Cup with confidence, depth, and the most talented squad in their history. If their stars perform to their potential, they have every chance of becoming world champions for the first time and writing a new chapter in Portuguese football history.
Odds to Win: 12 / +1100
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TOP 10 FAVORITES TEAMS TO WIN THE WORLD CUP
#4 England 🏴
England head into the World Cup as one of the strongest contenders to finally end their long wait for international glory. With a squad packed with world-class talent, exceptional depth, and a blend of experienced leaders and exciting young stars, the Three Lions possess all the tools required to challenge for the biggest prize in football. After several deep runs in major tournaments over the past decade, England arrive in North America believing that this could be their moment.
One of England’s greatest strengths is the sheer quality available across every area of the pitch. From a solid defensive foundation to a dynamic midfield and a dangerous attack, they have one of the most balanced squads in the competition. Their ability to control possession, create chances, and adapt to different opponents makes them one of the most complete teams at the tournament.
The midfield is particularly impressive. Players such as Jude Bellingham and Declan Rice provide the perfect combination of creativity, energy, and defensive stability. England are capable of dominating games through technical quality while also remaining physically competitive against the world's best teams.
In attack, the Three Lions possess an abundance of firepower. With pace, creativity, and clinical finishing throughout the forward line, England have multiple players capable of deciding matches on their own. This attacking depth is one of the main reasons they are considered genuine contenders for the World Cup title.
My Expected Starting XI (4-2-3-1)
GK: Jordan Pickford
Defense: Reece James, John Stones, Guéhi, Nico O'Reilly
Midfield: Rice, Elliot Anderson, Jude
Attack: Saka, Rogers, Kane
Must-See Player: Harry Kane
As England’s captain and all-time leading goalscorer, Kane remains the focal point of the Three Lions' attack and one of the most complete strikers in world football. Heading into the World Cup, he combines elite finishing, experience, leadership, and an incredible understanding of the game.
What makes Kane so dangerous is that he offers much more than goals. While he is one of the most clinical finishers in football, he is also an outstanding playmaker who can drop deep, link up with teammates, and create chances for the players around him. His passing range and vision make him a unique forward capable of influencing every aspect of England's attacking play.
England arrive at the World Cup with high expectations, a talented squad, and growing belief that they can finally bring football's most prestigious trophy back home. If their stars perform to their potential, the Three Lions have every chance of lifting the World Cup for the first time since 1966.
Odds to Win: 7.50 / +650
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TOP 10 FAVORITES TEAMS TO WIN THE WORLD CUP
#5 Argentina 🇦🇷
Argentina are the defending champions and one of the strongest contenders to lift the trophy once again. After their historic triumph in 2022, La Albiceleste have continued to demonstrate the winning mentality, tactical discipline, and team spirit that made them world champions. With a talented blend of experienced leaders and emerging stars, Argentina remain one of the most complete teams in international football.
One of Argentina’s greatest strengths is their balance across the pitch. Unlike teams that rely heavily on individual brilliance, Argentina operate as a cohesive unit where every player understands their role. Their tactical organization, defensive solidity, and ability to perform under pressure make them an extremely difficult opponent in tournament football.
The midfield is one of the foundations of the team. Players such as Enzo Fernández and Mac Allister provide creativity, energy, and control, while the team’s attacking players offer the quality needed to decide matches at any moment. Argentina are equally comfortable dominating possession or playing on the counterattack, making them one of the most tactically flexible teams in the competition.
Defensively, the world champions remain highly organized and difficult to break down. Their experience in major tournaments gives them a significant advantage when matches become tense and margins are small.
My Expected Starting XI (4-3-3)
GK: Emiliano Martínez
Defense: Molina, Romero, Lisandro Martínez, Tagliafico
Midfield: Enzo, Mac Allister, De Paul
Attack: Lionel Messi, Julián Álvarez, Lautaro
Must-See Player: Lionel Messi
I don't need to say anything.
Argentina head into the World Cup with confidence, experience, and the belief that comes from being reigning champions. If their key players perform at their highest level, La Albiceleste have every chance of becoming the first team since Brazil in 1962 to successfully defend the World Cup title.
Odds to Win: 9.20 / +820
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TOP 10 FAVORITES TEAMS TO WIN THE WORLD CUP
#6 Brazil 🇧🇷
Brazil is one of the biggest favorites to win the tournament and add a sixth star to their shirt. No nation in football history has enjoyed more World Cup success, and this new generation of Brazilian talent has all the qualities needed to continue that legacy. Combining flair, creativity, technical brilliance, and growing tactical discipline, Brazil enter the competition with genuine ambitions of reclaiming their place at the top of world football.
One of Brazil’s greatest strengths is the incredible depth of attacking talent available throughout the squad. Few teams can match the level of individual quality that Brazil possess in the final third. Their forwards are capable of creating chances from nothing, beating defenders in one-on-one situations, and deciding matches through moments of pure brilliance. This attacking firepower makes Brazil one of the most feared teams in the tournament.
The midfield has also evolved into a major strength. Players such as Bruno Guimarães and Casemiro provide balance and defensive stability, allowing the attacking stars more freedom to express themselves. Combined with Brazil’s traditional technical quality, this gives the team a more complete and balanced profile than in previous tournaments.
Defensively, Brazil look increasingly solid. With experienced leaders at the back and one of the strongest goalkeeping options in world football, they have developed the structure needed to compete against the world's best teams over a long tournament.
My Expected Starting XI (4-2-3-1)
GK: Alisson
Defense: Wesley, Gabriel, Marquinhos, Alex Sandro
Midfield: Bruno Guimarães, Casemiro
Attack: Raphinha, Vinicius Jr, Matheus Cunha, Rayan
This lineup showcases the exciting blend of established stars and emerging talent within the Brazilian squad. The balance between creativity, athleticism, and technical quality makes Brazil one of the most complete teams in the competition.
Must-See Player: Raphinha
Combining explosive pace, technical quality, creativity, and a powerful left foot, Raphinha has become a key figure in Brazil’s attack.
What makes him so dangerous is his versatility. He can beat defenders in one-on-one situations, create chances for teammates, score from distance, and deliver dangerous set pieces. Whether starting on the right wing or drifting into central areas, Raphinha constantly creates problems for opposing defenses with his movement and intelligence.
Brazil head into the World Cup with confidence, talent, and the expectation that always follows the most successful nation in football history. If their stars perform to their full potential, Brazil have every chance of lifting the trophy once again and becoming world champions for a record sixth time.
Odds to Win: 9.20 / +820
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TOP 10 FAVORITES TEAMS TO WIN THE WORLD CUP
#7 Germany 🇩🇪
Germany arrive to the World Cup determined to re-establish themselves at the top of international football. After a difficult period that saw them fall short of expectations in major tournaments, Die Mannschaft have rebuilt a talented and exciting squad capable of competing with the world's best teams. With a blend of experienced leaders and outstanding young talents, Germany once again look like genuine contenders for the World Cup trophy.
One of Germany’s greatest strengths is the depth and quality throughout the squad. They possess technically gifted players in every position, allowing them to dominate possession, press aggressively, and adapt to different tactical situations. Under a new generation of stars, Germany have rediscovered the attacking football and intensity that made them one of the most successful nations in football history.
The midfield remains the engine of the team. Players such as Musiala and Wirtz provide creativity, flair, and unpredictability, while experienced figures bring balance and leadership. Germany are particularly dangerous when attacking through the middle, where their technical quality can overwhelm opponents.
Defensively, the team has become more organized and disciplined, giving them a stronger platform to compete against elite nations. Combined with their attacking firepower, this balance makes Germany one of the most complete teams entering the tournament.
My Expected Starting XI (4-2-3-1)
GK: Manuel Neuer
Defense: Kimmich, Rüdiger, Tah, Raum
Midfield: Pavlović, Goretzka
Attack: Musiala, Wirtz, Sane, Havertz
This lineup highlights Germany’s impressive mix of experience and youth. Veterans such as Neuer, Rüdiger, and Kimmich provide leadership, while Musiala, Wirtz, and Pavlović represent the future of German football.
Must-See Player: Jamal Musiala
Widely regarded as one of the most talented footballers of his generation, Musiala possesses exceptional dribbling ability, creativity, vision, and composure in front of goal. His ability to glide past defenders and create chances out of nothing makes him one of the most exciting players in world football.
Germany arrive at the World Cup with renewed confidence, a clear identity, and one of the most talented squads in the competition. If their young stars deliver on the biggest stage, Die Mannschaft have every chance of lifting the World Cup trophy for a fifth time and returning to the summit of international football.
Odds to Win: 13.20 / +1220
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