@dmiko789 $ZIM This is not going to be a quick rate blip like it was in spring of 25'. Rate elevation should be much longer lasting this time around. Q3 and Q4 dividends (along with the true-up) could be explosive if this deal gets pushed into next year.
A very interesting data point was revealed in today's Globes article. I would also note that Chen's resume is the resume of a steward hired to carry the company into a Hapag-Lloyd integration, NOT a caretaker or a turnaround operator for a standalone $ZIM https://t.co/A6zZYvTNPi
@MarkGroskyEsq@tomtom554922@joeriwestland Zero doubt this works out fantastically. When a $35 deal this year is the worst case scenarioโฆlife is good.
Kill the HL deal and pay us healthy returns as long as possibleโฆthen take her private in late 27โ ๐
@tomtom554922@MarkGroskyEsq@joeriwestland If you are in at $14โฆyou do not want this deal to close either. You are in terrific shape and will make a lot of money and the longer they stay public the better. This will eventually end with a buyout of $35+
@tomtom554922@MarkGroskyEsq@joeriwestland I don't think you quite grasp what's happening with rates and fuel costs and why $ZIM benefits more than any other line.They run ~65% of their Transpacific volume on spot, far higher than anyone else. So when rates spike, ZIM captures it fastest. This environment is built for ZIM
@tomtom554922@MarkGroskyEsq@joeriwestland I don't know your personal situation, your DCA, your tax consequences etc. Personally, I'm rooting against the close โ if HL dies, ZIM goes private down the road. Probably 2027. The game has now changed from February and Israel will adjust...
@tomtom554922@MarkGroskyEsq@joeriwestland So "buyer walks" used to mean stuck with a ~$175K house in a dead market. Now it means keeping a property in a boom neighborhood, with a second bidder still circling, about to start cutting quarterly rent checks. The downside got better than the base case used to be.