Ronald Obirika

African Sense 🌍

[Francis Gaitho @FGaitho237]

The Eternal Kenyan Cycle: How Old Politicians Sell Revolutions for Personal Transitions

Notice the pattern and break the cycle.

The crisis in Kenya is simple: the people with historical knowledge and context - the old politicians - do not want a genuine revolution. They want a controlled transition that protects their interests. They are always ready to suspend the wave of change the moment they are offered a seat at the table.

William Ruto is in exactly the same position Daniel arap Moi was in 1997. Everything - the tactics, the betrayals, the sellouts - remains intact.

What Rigathi Gachagua did this week, desperately appealing to the moral sensibilities of his age-mates to “talk to their children” and stop them from protesting, is precisely what they will do next year.

Since Gachagua cannot vie for the presidency himself, he will simply joyride on any opposition formation, pretending to trade Mount Kenya votes. Then, a few weeks to the election, he will decamp, hold a well-funded press conference, declare the opposition “visionless” with “no agenda,” and claim it is better to “save Kenya” by maintaining the status quo.

That single move will trigger voter apathy or vote-splitting.

It may sound far-fetched to the naive, but those who have studied Kenyan politics know this script by heart.

In 1997, all Kenyans were united under the clarion call “Moi Must Go.” So how did he win?

First, he infiltrated the opposition and civil society. Minimum reforms were granted, including the two-term limit, which was backdated to allow him one final term. With that, the opposition (Mwai Kibaki, Charity Ngilu, George Anyona, etc.) and civil society (Kivutha Kibwana, Davinder Lamba, Pheroze Nowrojee, Martha Karua, etc.) called off protests and went into elections.

Moi then used the Electoral Commission of Kenya to validate a flood of small-time presidential candidates - a thug like Harun Mwau of PICK and other hitherto figures awash with dirty money - to split votes.

Unlike 2022, when Uhuru Kenyatta’s IEBC blocked candidates, Moi allowed even figures like Wangari Maathai and Mukaru Ng’ang’a to run.

Divide and rule worked perfectly.

Because the masses did not consent to the unholy alliance between government, opposition, and civil society, they staged the 1998 US Embassy bomb blast as a false flag to manufacture unity.

Moi, Kibaki, Wamalwa, and Ngilu visited the site in a choreographed show of solidarity. This paved the way for the transition government whose figureheads eventually replaced Moi in 2002.

Abductions and extrajudicial killings continued. High-profile cases like the murder of Catholic priest Father Anthony Kaiser in Naivasha followed. The Mungiki sect was formalised in the Mount Kenya region to spread fear - just as today where they operate from Kithure Kindiki’s office.

This British colonial system is neither new nor sophisticated. Its strength lies in its simplicity: Kenyans are easily distracted, rage-baited, sold fear, and manipulated into submission. This makes them easy prey for colonial predators who want to preserve the plantation.

You saw Acting US Ambassador Susan Burns hosting degenerate demagogue Gideon Moi at her residence - the same embassy that banned him from traveling to America over his adverse mention in the Kroll Report and high-level graft ties.

Diplomats do not have your best interests at heart. When they host activists and influencers, they are simply laying the groundwork for continued abductions, extrajudicial killings, assassinations, and judicial persecution - the only way to sustain their neocolonial objectives.

Gachagua, Karua, Orengo, and the entire cast of old-guard politicians are not your saviours. They are professional transition merchants who will always choose personal deals over real change.

Kenyans, notice the pattern and break the cycle. Do not let another revolution be hijacked and sold for another five years of looting. The time to reject this script is now.

[𝕭𝖑𝖆𝖈𝖐 𝕾𝖚𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖛𝖆𝖓 @CarolineThee]

@R_Obirika Government and police
Civilian and police
Taxi man and police
Everyone and police a war
Who make it reach so far?
Police haffi run from police
What is this pon police
We nuh know but the thing bizarre
Right now the force needs CPR

[𝕭𝖑𝖆𝖈𝖐 𝕾𝖚𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖛𝖆𝖓 @CarolineThee]

Me know the thing ruff,
me know it tough,
me know it hard
We know seh dem yah youths dem nuh have nuh discipline
But police brutality is just a better sin
I really hope you listening
Something wrong cause everybody bawling

[Ronald Obirika @R_Obirika]

@CarolineThee 🎶 'Govt and police, civilian and police,..🎶 🔥🔥

[Ronald Obirika @R_Obirika]

@SaddiqueShaban While Siaya remains a Rat hole,

[Ronald Obirika @R_Obirika]

@AlmamyMoha_ Bvllsh*t

[Ronald Obirika @R_Obirika]

@KenyaFraternity Already widespread in TZ

[Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86]

The encryption guarding every bank account and Bitcoin wallet is being broken faster than anyone admits, and not by better hardware. Breaking RSA was estimated at 20M qubits in 2019, under 1M by 2025, under 100,000 this February, all on the same machine. Only the math changed. Cleverness has no roadmap.

[Ronald Obirika @R_Obirika]

@PonnieSheila white washing SSD to welcome the pale skins..🤢

[Stay Hidden @Stay_Hidden0]

The ONLY solution is to have a decentralized government on some key issues.

MPs can NEVER be Trusted

I have a blueprint of amendments that We the People will have power over
Loans
Public Procurement
CS appointments

Join my XSpace on Jul 5th

[Ronald Obirika @R_Obirika]

@Iya_Livity that must be rodigan next to the King

[Syokau Kalungu🇰🇪🇧🇫🇲🇱🇳🇪🇬🇼🇲🇬🇬🇳🇷🇴🛖🍯 @violetsyokau]

All of them on the 1term 2term, Linda this and that are for liar1. Their role is to manage the masses and forestall any alternative progress while buying liar1 time hence the term 1term, it is meant to condition the masses that you can't do anything, you have to wait for 2027.

[Stay Hidden @Stay_Hidden0]

Nikiskia mtu anasifu Uhuru yet criticizing Ruto
That's a hypocrite and tribal voter.

Do you know Kenyatta's are the reason why we pay expensive KPLC costs

Unemployment itazidi if manufacturing companies spend 5X in electricity in Kenya vs Ethiopia, TZ, ama UG.

[isaac Samuel @rhaplord]

Weapons and knives of Central Africa (D.R.Congo)
https://t.co/qQXaLAl9QW

[Ronald Obirika @R_Obirika]

@JUSTINKE68 @FGaitho237 Political movements are dead!

[Stay Hidden @Stay_Hidden0]

While we are distracted by local WANTAM, TUTAM, SisiNiSifuna politics, Kenya’s sovereign wealth is being quietly liquidated.

The June 2026 G7 side-accord just handed exclusive control of Kwale County’s $62.4 Billion Mrima Hill rare earth and niobium deposits straight to the USA.

[isaac Samuel @rhaplord]

Iron smelting in pre-colonial Africa
https://t.co/qQXaLAl9QW

[Ronald Obirika @R_Obirika]

@LabanMbunya 😂

[Ronald Obirika @R_Obirika]

@Am_Blujay however much you push this agenda, all the world knows your (SA) problems lie within..

[Ronald Obirika @R_Obirika]

@wil_sonn1 yet he still helped in allocating billions to sakaja and now busy gallivanting about mismanagement... his time is up. He should now vie in Kakamega