RacetoTurin

Check out new daily simulations for the #RacetoTurin

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

In your opinion, among these players who never qualified for the ATP Finals, who will be the first to discover them ?

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

Today is an important day...

With Stockholm tournament beginning, it's officially the start of the 2027 Race !!

In your opinion, who will be in Turin in 2027 ?

I start with my guesses (no specific order) :
Sinner
Alcaraz
Zverev
Shelton
Fritz
Musetti
Jodar
Fils

Curious to see yours.

I am still working on my 2027 simulator, but I will publish first probabilities as soon as they are ready !

#ATP #Tennis #NittoATPFinals

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

@Elgorriaga3 On Thursday !

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

🚨 Here are the first Nitto ATP Finals 2026 title probabilities !

In our 20,000 simulations, Carlos Alcaraz 🇪🇸 appears to be the big favorite of the tournament (56.47%) !

Zverev 🇩🇪, World Number 1, should be his main rival in Turin (17.27%), while Medvedev 🇷🇺 (8.81%) - who won the title in 2020 - and Shelton 🇺🇸 (6.42%) will be great underdogs.

Fils 🇫🇷 is the 5th favorite (4.63%), ahead of Jodar 🇪🇸 (2.79%) and Tiafoe 🇺🇸 (2.48%).

Cobolli 🇮🇹 has the least chances (1.12%), hoping he will be healthy enough to participate !

These probabilities will be updated when the groups will be revealed.

And you, who do you think will lift the trophy in Turin ? 🏆

#Tennis #ATP #NittoATPFinals

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

@67gonzaloc You're right, my mistake !

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

The title for Carlos Alcaraz 🇪🇸 ! 🏆

The Spaniard beats Ben Shelton 🇺🇸 7/6 7/5 and claims his 4th title of the year after Australian Open 🇦🇺, Doha 🇶🇦 and Vienna 🇦🇹.

It is his 9th Masters 1000 title, the first one since Cincinnatti 🇺🇸 in 2025.

Seems to be the favorite for Turin right now !

#ATP #Tennis #RolexParisMasters

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

Here are the title probabilities for Paris final !

Alcaraz 🇪🇸 (80.54%) is the clear favorite against Ben Shelton 🇺🇸 (19.46%)

Who will lift the trophy today ? 🏆

#ATP #Tennis #RolexParisMasters

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

🚨 We have our final !!

Ben Shelton 🇺🇸 beats home favorite Luca Van Assche 🇫🇷 (5/7 6/3 6/4) to qualify for his 6th final of the year.

He will try to win his 3rd career Masters 1000 title (2nd in 2026) against Carlos Alcaraz 🇪🇸, who just defeated Casper Ruud 🇳🇴 (6/4 6/4).

What are your odds for tomorrow final ?

We'll see who can guess Alcaraz-Shelton probabilities. 😏

#ATP #Tennis #RolexParisMasters

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

Before the semi-finals begin, here are the title probabilities in Paris !

As usual, 20,000 simulations 📊

Alcaraz 🇪🇸 is the clear favorite now (69.26%), Shelton 🇺🇸 is the most serious underdog (19.90%) while Ruud 🇳🇴 (8.40%) and Van Assche 🇫🇷 (2.44%) will have to pull off two feats in quick succession to win the title. 🏆

Who do you see triomphing in Paris ? Alcaraz ? Or a surprise ?

#ATP #Tennis #RolexParisMasters

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

This graph seems useless now...

Let's say it confirms the lineup is official 😅

#ATP #Tennis #RolexParisMasters #NittoATPFinals

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

The Race is officially over !

Thank you to all those who have followed account during the past two weeks, it has been really great for me.

I will publish match and tournament probability during the NittoATPFinals, and then I will enjoy the season break to improve the simulator, make it more automatic than it is today and bring a few new features to make you follow the 2027 season from the beginning to the end !

Can't wait !

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

Here is the official lineup for Turin :

Zverev 🇩🇪
Alcaraz 🇪🇸
Shelton 🇺🇸
Medvedev 🇷🇺
Cobolli 🇮🇹
Fils 🇫🇷
Tiafoe 🇺🇸
Jodar 🇪🇸

Who will win it ?

#Tennis #ATP #RolexParisMasters #NittoATPFinals

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

🚨COMPLETELY INSANE !!!

Fritz 🇺🇸 loses against Alcaraz 🇪🇸 (6/7 7/5 6/3) and sees his Masters dreams collapse.

He was one point away from victory, on his serve. One point for the match, one point for the semis in Paris, one point for Turin !! One point that changed the whole season for the Americain ! CRA-ZY !

Instead, it's Rafa Jodar 🇪🇸 who qualifies for the Nitto ATP Finals during his first ATP-tour season. Well deserved for the Spaniard !

The Race has been crazy until the end !

What do you think about Turin lineup ?

#ATP #Tennis #RolexParisMasters #NittoATPFinals

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

🚨 Paul 🇺🇸 is out ! Tiafoe 🇺🇸 is qualified for Turin !

Tommy Paul 🇺🇸 loses against his great friend Ben Shelton 🇺🇸 in Paris 1/4 finals (6/4 4/6 6/3) and is now out of the Race, as he needed to reach at least the final in Paris to hope qualifying. ❌

With this result, Frances Tiafoe 🇺🇸 is officially qualified for the Nitto ATP Finals ! ✅ First participation at this event for the American.

There is only one spot left, and we'll know the last qualifier tonight ! If Fritz 🇺🇸 beats Alcaraz 🇪🇸, he will be in Turin. Otherwise, Rafa Jodar 🇪🇸, only 20 years old, will discover the Masters.

What are your guess ?

#ATP #Tennis #RolexParisMasters #NittoATPFinals

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

@m_erdogan53 I am not able to predict withdrawals yet... 😅
But let's say it is very unlikely !

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

🚨Updated probabilities !! 📊

No elimination today ! We'll have suspens until the end !

Fritz 🇺🇸 (17.69%) defeats Fils 🇫🇷 with a masterclass and is one match away from eliminating Jodar 🇪🇸 (46.70%) ! Problem : he will face Alcaraz 🇪🇸 tomorrow evening. Will need to be at least at the same level as tonight if he wants to win !

Paul 🇺🇸 (28.12%) is also in the zone, beating Halys 🇫🇷 and advancing to 1/4 finals. Will face Shelton 🇺🇸. Needs to reach at least the final if he wants to qualify.

Tiafoe 🇺🇸 (97.50%) is still in a great position as only one scenario could eliminate him : a victory of Paul 🇺🇸 over Fritz 🇺🇸 on Sunday ! Otherwise, he will be in Turin !

Who are your favorites for Turin ?

#ATP #Tennis #RolexParisMasters #NittoATPFinals

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

📊 Details of yesterday 20,000 simulations :

- Tiafoe 🇺🇸 (-1.32%) sees his chances slightly decreasing after both Paul 🇺🇸 and Fritz's 🇺🇸 victories yesterday. However, he is still in a very good position as only one scenario could eliminate him : if Paul beats Fritz in the Paris final on Sunday !

- After a perfect Thursday where De Minaur 🇦🇺 and Djokovic 🇷🇸 got eliminated, Jodar 🇪🇸 has less than 50% chances to be in Turin (-16.97%), as he is under pressure of the Americans. 📉 Will be eliminated today if Fritz beats Alcaraz 🇪🇸.

- Paul 🇺🇸 (+12%) and Fritz 🇺🇸 (+7.31%) have their fate in their own hands, but the road to qualification is still a difficult one

All details below 👇

#ATP #Tennis #RolexParisMasters #NittoATPFinals

[RacetoTurin @RacetoTurin]

@Azulirreverente If he reaches the semi-finals AND Paul does not reach the final

OR

If he reaches the final