Radostin Radoev

#Bitcoin
Software dev. Blockchain advocate. Unity creates power!

[gus @igus_ai]

Un estudiante chino viviendo en Japón convirtió $0,90 en $408.292 tradeando en Polymarket.

Y casi nadie está hablando de ello.

Su cuenta se llama “Gravia”.

Solo llevaba 2 días en la plataforma.

Pero lo más absurdo es esto:

Dice haber construido un bot con Claude para tradear el mercado BTC UP/DOWN 5MIN.

El sistema:

• Obtiene datos en tiempo real desde Binance WebSocket + velas 5M
• Cruza señales de TradingView + flujos de exchanges de CryptoQuant
• Usa un force-graph con 100 nodos y 180 conexiones para detectar convergencia BULL/BEAR
• Detecta retrasos entre el spot price y el CLOB de Polymarket
• Ejecuta operaciones en menos de 100ms antes del repricing
• Puede lanzar más de 1000 órdenes por segundo
• Captura entre 0,3% y 0,8% por trade

Pero aquí viene lo importante:

El edge no está en “predecir Bitcoin”.

Está en explotar microdesfases entre:

• precio spot
• señales del mercado
• y repricing del order book de Polymarket

Y según él, el bot directamente evita operar si:

• no hay edge
• la liquidez es baja
• las señales se contradicen
• o se alcanza el límite diario de riesgo

También tiene controles bastante agresivos:

• Riesgo por operación: 0,5%
• Límite diario: 2%
• Hard stop: -0,4%
• Corre localmente
• No usa GPU
• No depende de cloud

[Emir. @EmirAILab]

🚨 BREAKING: AI can now analyze stocks like top hedge fund managers (100% free).

Here are 10 nuclear Claude prompts that completely replace $3,000/month Bloomberg terminals 💰📈

Bookmark this thread - you’ll thank yourself later 🔥

[The Assembly @InTheAssembly]

Cathie Wood might be the most expensive lesson retail investors have ever paid for.

Her flagship ARK Innovation ETF is down 23% in the last 5 years.

The S&P 500 is up 77% over the same period.

She has underperformed the index by 100 percentage points.

And she has done it while collecting BILLIONS in management fees.

A quick reminder of the highlight reel:

– She predicted Tesla would hit $3,000 per share by 2025. It is currently $432.

– She predicted Tesla revenue would hit $234 to $367 billion in 2025. The actual number came in under $100 billion.

– She made Teladoc her single largest position around $80 per share. It trades at $7 today.

– She loaded up on Zoom near $300. It trades at $110.

– She dumped almost her entire Nvidia position in January 2023 around $20 per share. Nvidia is now at $220, which means she sold the single greatest stock of this generation right before it 10x’d.

Morningstar officially labeled the ARK family of funds a “value destroyer,” noting that her funds lost roughly $14 billion in shareholder value from 2014 to 2024.

But here’s the part nobody talks about:

ARK Investment Management has been one of the most profitable asset managers of the last decade.

Wood has personally made tens of millions in fees while her investors have collectively lost real money.

This is the part of Wall Street most retail investors do not understand.

You’re not paying for performance, you’re paying for marketing.

The people who win are the ones running the fund, not the ones holding it.

This Friday, May 15, every fund managing over $100 million is legally required to disclose their Q1 2026 trades to the SEC.

We will be breaking down EVERY major filing right here the moment they drop.

Follow us with notifications before it’s too late.

If you don’t follow us, you might regret it.

[Willy Woo @willywoo]

The next test for BTC is cleanly breaking the cost basis of recent investors (79k).

I give it 30% odds on doing this on this attempt. After that, if BTC manages to hold this price level above 65k and not break down, then the chances of a structural bottom increases significantly.

BTC is currently attempting a bottom, but all the pieces are not yet in place, the next 3-6 weeks will be telling.

[Cathie Wood @CathieDWood]

Odds are high that the gold price is heading for a fall. Intraday today, the market cap of gold as a percent of the US money supply (M2) hit an all-time high: higher than its peak in 1980 when inflation and interest rates soared to the mid-teens and, even more shocking...

[CrypNuevo 🔨 @CrypNuevo]

$BTC Sunday update:

Get ready for a volatile week ahead!
• US-EU tariff war over Greenland
• Supreme Court rule decision over Trump's tariffs

A lot of uncertainty that will be met with volatility, likely with downside pressure. Bank Holiday in the US on Monday.

🧵↓(1/7)

[Frank @FrankAFetter]

The $BTC Mayer Multiple is ice cold — currently at its ‘mean’ value and historically has been higher than today’s value 48% of the time. If someone told me bitcoin was getting overextended here, I’d show them this chart then go for a walk.

[The Vigilant Fox 🦊 @VigilantFox]

“This is a bombshell.”

Pathologist Dr. Ryan Cole just made a devastating prediction about what RFK Jr.’s latest move means for mRNA vaccine technology.

“The repercussions,” he says, “are going to be felt worldwide.”

Most people have no idea how big this really is.

🧵 THREAD

[Radostin Radoev @RadoevRadostin]

@CrypNuevo W and CORE are the same no?

[Cathie Wood @CathieDWood]

We are in the eye of the storm but, if President Trump cares about his legacy - which we know he does - or the midterm election campaign season - which will start this fall - then the last leg of this rolling recession is giving him and the Fed more degrees of freedom to pivot.

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

"Today, President Donald J. Trump signed an Executive Order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve...With a fixed supply of 21 million coins, there is a strategic advantage to being among the first nations to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve."
https://t.co/d9MJlgUjZd

[Songpinganq @songpinganq]

Downside of cashless society

Hainan, China🇨🇳
After the typhoon, the water and electricity were cut off, Chinese people desperately wanted to charge their phones.
Because all your money is in your mobile phone. Without a mobile phone, you can’t even buy a piece of bread.

[Jackson Hinkle 🇺🇸 @jacksonhinkle]

🇷🇺 2014 Russian Olympics

VS

🇫🇷 2024 French Olympics

[Radostin Radoev @RadoevRadostin]

@Roman_Trading Daily close above neckline and 4h bull divs means we go up no?

[Roman @Roman_Trading]

$BTC 1D

This would be a monster close to continue our overall uptrend. Needs a bit more volume.

IHS reversal would be confirmed and I’d expect a minimum of 90-100k over the next few months.

1W gave us so many signs to be bullish as well.

#bitcoin #cryptocurrency #cryptonews

[Roman @Roman_Trading]

$BTC round 2?

Seems very possible given how horrendous this chop has been…

#bitcoin #cryptocurrency #cryptonews

[Radostin Radoev @RadoevRadostin]

@martypartymusic As it was written!

[PlanB @100trillionUSD]

Average bitcoin price 2020-2024 halving cycle was $34k. A bit below 2019 S2F prediction of $55k, but still in normal range and not bad given BTC<$4k when prediction was made. Refit of S2F with new data (below) shows similar parameters & results: $0.5m 2024-2028 and $4m 2028-2032

[Willy Woo @willywoo]

Never has there been such a buying spree by high net worth #Bitcoin holders as has happened in the last 2 months with BTC ranging between 60-70k.

These are the guys holding between 100 and 1000 BTC or roughly $6.5m - $65m of BTC.

[Roman @Roman_Trading]

$BTC 1W

Each correction / area of consolidation has created bullish divergences on RSI to assist in the continuation of our uptrend.

HTF is extremely bullish here as we got the correction we needed to continue upwards.

#bitcoin #cryptocurrency #cryptonews