Rated Markets | Macro & Risk

Systematic market ratings across stocks, crypto & macro.

Scorecards + proprietary indicators.

Risk. Momentum. Liquidity. Regimes.

No hype. Just data ↓

NFA

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

Wow $QCOM just went up 10% after hours to around $230!

Here is my Stock Scorecard for Qualcomm.

Thread below.

If you want more data driven scorecards like this give me a follow.

What stock should I score next?

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

Jensen Huang of $NVDA just said "Buy $QCOM"

Bookmark this thread for later!

I'm up over 40% on $QCOM and I just added more here. I have ran a scorecard on the stocks and will drop it later today.

The edge AI trade will be huge this year.

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

The final $ORCL scorecard.

If the price action doesn't turn around soon I believe it's heading to the ~$120 level.

What do you think about $ORCL ?

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

The $ORCL growth case is hard to argue with:

→ IaaS revenue +93% YoY
→ RPO (contracted backlog): $638B
→ EPS CAGR ~20%
→ FY2027 revenue guide: $90B

Growth scores 100% Genuinely flawless.

The balance sheet scores 20%. Here's why that matters.

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

My Atlas Signal Engine caught the bullish divergence in April, gave a DCA signal just days after and printed the exit before the drawdown.

Follow for charts and more scorecard teardowns → $ORCL $MSFT $AMZN

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

I ran $ORCL through my scorecard twice.

First pass: 75.8/100 ✅
Second pass after adjusting for the debt: 68.9/100 ⚠️

Same company. 7-point swing. That gap tells you everything about why this stock is dangerous to misread.

🧵

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

At 68.9/100, $ORCL sits at the lower bound of
⚠️ Selective.

One bad earnings print, specifically cloud revenue decelerating below 35% YoY and then it slides it into
❌ Speculative territory.

World-class growth engine. Leveraged buyout balance sheet. Both things are true.

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

At 68.9/100, $ORCL sits at the lower bound of ⚠️ Selective.

One bad earnings print — specifically cloud revenue decelerating below 35% YoY — slides it into ❌ Speculative territory.

World-class growth engine. Leveraged buyout balance sheet. Both things are true

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

The $ORCL growth case is hard to argue with:

→ IaaS revenue +93% YoY
→ RPO (contracted backlog): $638B
→ EPS CAGR ~20%
→ FY2027 revenue guide: $90B

Growth scores 100% Genuinely flawless.

The balance sheet scores 20%. Here's why that matters.

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

What makes this wrong?

$ORCL converts $638B in contracted backlog into cash before credit markets tighten. The the leverage looks like genius, and the stock re-rates toward the $274–$400 analyst range.

The bull case is real. The risk is timing, not the business.

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

@WorldCupMotion France 🇫🇷

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

@Tradermayne ~7100 incoming?

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

What could prove the market right on current AI pricing?

Productivity gains arrive faster than expected.

Rates fall without a growth scare.

Earnings grow into today’s multiples.

AI is a powerful but fragile trade in a 4.5% world.

Don't chase.

Timing & risk are key.

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

AI capex is exploding into a 4.5% world.

The US 10Y sits around 4.5–4.6% as of June 2026, yet the market is still pricing AI as if money is cheap and duration risk doesn’t matter.

$NVDA $MSFT $SPX $QQQ $IWM

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

Hyperscalers are locking in massive long-term compute and infrastructure deals, turning AI into a real economy capex engine. But those cash flows are far out, and highly sensitive to rates.

AI is a secular winner, but it trades like a leveraged bet on this macro regime.

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

Europe is feeling it too and perhaps faster than the US. Not having the same oil reserves to call on doesn't help.

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

Tomorrow's News Today...

BREAKING: THE ECB HIKES INTEREST RATES FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 2023. 25 BPS INCREASE UP TO 2.25%. CITES ONGOING WAR IN IRAN, SURGING ENERGY PRICES, AND THE HIGHEST EUROZONE INFLATION RATE (3.2%) SINCE SEPTEMBER 2023.

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

@fivepointscap Solid calls. They should all benefit from the AI trade and more over the next few years.

What's your thesis on SE?

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

@Gubloinvestor Happy for you man! Keep it up!

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

@gurgavin It ran up a lot with the semis. Now they're coming down.

Investor day at the end if the month could be a catalyst.

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

@NoLimitGains Agreed.

Starlink is a great business but packed with xAI and SpaceX $SPCX is a totally different story.

Nobody has any clue how this will turn out in all reality.

Here are my thought on the valuation

https://t.co/nxwfv4oiF6

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

The SpaceX IPO is a paradox: Starlink is a genuine cash machine, but at a $1.75T valuation you’re paying for Starlink, Starship AND xAI to all work perfectly at once.

Verdict: WATCH — do not chase the IPO.

$SPCX

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

@NetWorthNotes I think $SOFI is close to fair value and slightly undervalued until we see more execution. It's a light DCA at these levels

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

@gurgavin This is so not good.

I broke down why I think it's overvalued here

https://t.co/nxwfv4oiF6

Will you buy when the dust settles in a year or so?

[Rated Markets | Macro & Risk @RatedMarkets]

The SpaceX IPO is a paradox: Starlink is a genuine cash machine, but at a $1.75T valuation you’re paying for Starlink, Starship AND xAI to all work perfectly at once.

Verdict: WATCH — do not chase the IPO.

$SPCX