@TropicalTidbits Thanks Dr.Cowan. I am a bit concerned as the Google Deep Mind models suddenly seem more bullish especially toward the Central and Eastern Gulf. Watcing warily from FL Panhandle. Please consider a video as you gather more information.
@rzweather Hi Spinks! Thanks for the update. We have a drive on Friday a.m. from Huntsville back to Niceville. Any early predictions about severity or timing for Friday a.m. with travel North to South?
@OSUWXGUY This would be a devastating event for the Hawaiian islands. I can imagine Dr.Levi Cowan must be working overtime on this. Thanks for the updates. I have family on Oahu.
@rzweather@ajn_281 Thank you Spinks! The voice of an educated, intelligent and reasonable professional meteorologist! Sadly many people don't understand the difference.
🌀Active weather may spread across the Gulf region later this week and weekend as an upper-level trough over Texas gets stretched out and amplified as it moves eastward over the Gulf.
🌀This trough will dig up tropical moisture and hoist it northward toward the southern states.
🌀The GFS model, perfectly in-character, is making its first noises of the hurricane season by developing weak cyclones along the moisture transport corridor. This model has a long-documented vorticity generation bias in such situations, which is likely deforming its forecast.
🌀Formation of a significant cyclone seems unlikely at this time, but models agree on heavy rains potentially spreading into the Gulf states from west to east beginning mid-week, potentially extending into next week.