Ray Person

[Ray Person @RayPerson140684]

@menangkopi @idextratime Ya itu juga.

Sebenarnya wajar juga. Pada akhirnya Persib bakal kayak JDT dan Buriram. Jadi Magnet pemain bagus, terutama pemain Keturunan.

[Ray Person @RayPerson140684]

@kyentut Beda, Myung Bo orang lokal sedangkan Petrik orang asing. Dan Myungbo sudah punya Track Record jelek di tahun 2014 dan gak populer di angkatan pildun 2002

[Ray Person @RayPerson140684]

So we coming back into Yeltsin era, except in Yeltsin era there is no Oil Refineries nor Depot that burned

[Malcontent News @MalcontentmentT]

Russia will not run out of fuel. If you're waiting for that to happen, good luck.

Refinery output is not zero, it continues, and regions maintain strategic reserves.

Demand is outstripping supply. Some of that is panic buying. Some of that is that refinery output can match demand. Some of that is shortages of trucks, drivers, and railroad tanker cars. The situation is clearly getting worse at an accelerating rate.

What is happening is that the Russian leadership will have to make increasingly difficult decisions about who gets fuel and who doesn't.

Obviously, the government overlords, the security apparatus, and the military are the top priorities.

The next tier is emergency services, logistics, and farmers.

The third tier is everything else, including public services, as we're seeing.

There are three problems that will make the situation progressively worse. The first is that as prices rise, inflation increases, and some businesses, battered financially since the COVID pandemic, won't survive.

The second one is if the average Russian can't get to their jobs because they can't fill up their cars and/or public transit is restricted or not running, industrial output declines, and tourism collapses. One creates scarcity, the other creates unemployment.

The third one is if the supply issues start to impact logistics. The remaining fuel supply will have to be increasingly dedicated to fuel transport. How ironic.

As the fuel supply continues to drop, prices will continue to increase. The Kremlin can spend more on its fuel price mechanism or send the anti-monopoly flying monkeys to the independent filling-station chains. The first option requires the money printers to go bbbbrrrrrttttt, the second option makes the fuel shortages worse. Independents will simply close rather than operating at a loss to stay out of prison.

Russia will never run out of petrol or diesel, but it can be slowly choked out as the supply tightens.

[Ray Person @RayPerson140684]

@siniiinnnn @idextratime RBTV