calling it in advance, the demonic pacts system will lead to a shattered relics type mid league change in some way
the dps is great near end game but noobier players will get soft locked on progression and run out of resets trying to make it through harder tasks
@EricBalchunas a really interesting question for you - if bitcoin did fork due to disagreements on quantum resistant improvements, would IBIT and other ETFs “fork”?
Is there precedent for ETFs to issue new shares to holders for a spinoff?
I have the same q. Not discounting threat (that's a whole sep debate) but why would Google apply this research time/money on crypto vs something of way more societal consequence, like military defense systems, the global banking system or even private emails. Is bitcoin really their biggest worry?
It's literally 2008 again:
> Housing is fucked
> We're at war in the middle east
> Ye is dropping heat
> Everyone is playing World of Warcraft
I have a genuine feeling that within my lifetime we will see the wholesale abandonment of universal suffrage and "democracy" as we know it.
We're already seeing the consolidation of American governance to the executive at the federal level. Likely other nations will follow suit of Singapore, El Salvador, and China.
Nobody wants to admit it yet, but Fascism won the 20th century, it just rebranded itself.
If everyone is supposedly bearish then:
Why do I get hundreds of comments saying "I can't wait for you to be wrong" on every video I post expressing a bearish view?
Why do dozens of influencers tweet about me weekly laughing and saying that BTC follows M2, ISM, etc. and that this is a 5 year cycle or supercycle?
Why is it that every time I join a twitter space, the collective response is for people to label me a doomer for having the audacity to suggest midterm years are not great for BTC?
It's easy to pretend like everyone is a bear, but one look at plenty of influencers on this app would show the opposite.
I see a lot of influencers who missed the top and faded the four year cycle now desperately want the market to bail them out.
I see influencers that shilled altcoins for 4 years because they thought alt season was coming and now they desperately are searching for any reason that the market won't go lower.
Social interest in crypto is still trending down. Monetary policy remains restrictive, and macro headwinds continue to exist for the first half of 2026.
BTC always forms lows in February of midterm years, then has countertrend rallies that lasted a few weeks, before the market then drops again.
No amount of mental gymnastics will change how the market cycles tend to work.
We can keep pretending that everyone is a bear, but one look at the comment section on any of my bearish tweets would prove otherwise.
@BowTiedBull Lot of FUD about this, don’t think it’s all that complicated
AI is just a force multiplier - competent, high iq, high agency employees will just be the same with AI
There is no great reshaping of desirable employees coming. It will be the same as it’s always been
Insane story from the WSJ on how the UAE is trying to continue to operate its national airlines despite passenger jets getting hit and drones exploding fuel tanks in their airports while planes are taking off.
@BowTiedBull Market seems like it’s started to crack middle of last week
Should be a repricing of risk, positioning overwhelming was betting on TACO
Short term I think everything dumps, bitcoin over-performs equities and then comes out off the bottom like a rocket
Let me put this differently:
Financially, the USA is dying. It is slowly bleeding out.
The fed raising rates will be like sticking a knife into the wound and twisting it
The fed will choose high inflation to protect the treasury.
Hikes are not happening.
In 1973, US debt/GDP was 31%...today it's 122%.
US fiscal deficit/GDP was 1%...today, it's 6% on its way to 8-10% (or more if the war drags on.)
Translation: "That 70s Show" will feel like "1980s Argentina with US characteristics."
@Xeer Bad take. This guy decides to sell, one guy, and this card is “worth” 50% less overnight
Pokemon is incredibly illiquid, low float
Consequently price gaps up fast, but that works both ways
Expect we’ll see the other side of it play out within the next 12 months
America went from a high-trust society to having to actively defend yourself from fraud and theft with EVERY single monetary transaction cars, homes, medical, dental, business, goods, and services