Costef

osrs gamer Dad | temporary game mode addict | John 3:16

[Frank @frankdegods]

bro basically said "look for bugs that could exploit zcash"

that's the prompt that found an exploit in a 10 billion dollar protocol

[Costef @RealCostef]

More of this, and less AI memeslop

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

https://t.co/yeG4PgpjEq

[Costef @RealCostef]

@Odablock volunteering my planning services if needed brozzer 🫡

[Mazhar @Maz_rs]

calling it in advance, the demonic pacts system will lead to a shattered relics type mid league change in some way

the dps is great near end game but noobier players will get soft locked on progression and run out of resets trying to make it through harder tasks

[Costef @RealCostef]

@EricBalchunas a really interesting question for you - if bitcoin did fork due to disagreements on quantum resistant improvements, would IBIT and other ETFs “fork”?

Is there precedent for ETFs to issue new shares to holders for a spinoff?

[Eric Balchunas @EricBalchunas]

I have the same q. Not discounting threat (that's a whole sep debate) but why would Google apply this research time/money on crypto vs something of way more societal consequence, like military defense systems, the global banking system or even private emails. Is bitcoin really their biggest worry?

[Costef @RealCostef]

Old school runescape leagues* but yes

[bumbadum @bumbadum14]

It's literally 2008 again:
> Housing is fucked
> We're at war in the middle east
> Ye is dropping heat
> Everyone is playing World of Warcraft

[bumbadum @bumbadum14]

I have a genuine feeling that within my lifetime we will see the wholesale abandonment of universal suffrage and "democracy" as we know it.

We're already seeing the consolidation of American governance to the executive at the federal level. Likely other nations will follow suit of Singapore, El Salvador, and China.

Nobody wants to admit it yet, but Fascism won the 20th century, it just rebranded itself.

[Costef @RealCostef]

Full cowen crashout.

Big bull signal

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

If everyone is supposedly bearish then:

Why do I get hundreds of comments saying "I can't wait for you to be wrong" on every video I post expressing a bearish view?

Why do dozens of influencers tweet about me weekly laughing and saying that BTC follows M2, ISM, etc. and that this is a 5 year cycle or supercycle?

Why is it that every time I join a twitter space, the collective response is for people to label me a doomer for having the audacity to suggest midterm years are not great for BTC?

It's easy to pretend like everyone is a bear, but one look at plenty of influencers on this app would show the opposite.

I see a lot of influencers who missed the top and faded the four year cycle now desperately want the market to bail them out.

I see influencers that shilled altcoins for 4 years because they thought alt season was coming and now they desperately are searching for any reason that the market won't go lower.

Social interest in crypto is still trending down. Monetary policy remains restrictive, and macro headwinds continue to exist for the first half of 2026.

BTC always forms lows in February of midterm years, then has countertrend rallies that lasted a few weeks, before the market then drops again.

No amount of mental gymnastics will change how the market cycles tend to work.

We can keep pretending that everyone is a bear, but one look at the comment section on any of my bearish tweets would prove otherwise.

[Costef @RealCostef]

Anyone remotely into osrs should check this out.

@PortKhazard defying the impossible, and with a really well put together commentary

[Port_Khazard @PortKhazard]

Fortis Colosseum Without Protection Prayers - vid is up

🎙️Tried something new (kinda nervous lol 😅)

[Costef @RealCostef]

@Jebus Perhaps because the cycle isn’t over?

[Costef @RealCostef]

@wayofftheres @PaulSkallas would appreciate this lol

[Costef @RealCostef]

@BowTiedBull Lot of FUD about this, don’t think it’s all that complicated

AI is just a force multiplier - competent, high iq, high agency employees will just be the same with AI

There is no great reshaping of desirable employees coming. It will be the same as it’s always been

[Costef @RealCostef]

@PrideslayerMMA Opportunity cost of sailing!

But but but Reddit told me the skill is good so I can’t complain about anything

[Costef @RealCostef]

@OrganizerMemes @elonmusk this is a very good idea

[Costef @RealCostef]

The UAE is desperate to maintain their image.

Trillions of dollars and decades of work at stake.

[Amerikanets 📉 @ripplebrain]

Insane story from the WSJ on how the UAE is trying to continue to operate its national airlines despite passenger jets getting hit and drones exploding fuel tanks in their airports while planes are taking off.

[Costef @RealCostef]

@BowTiedBull Market seems like it’s started to crack middle of last week

Should be a repricing of risk, positioning overwhelming was betting on TACO

Short term I think everything dumps, bitcoin over-performs equities and then comes out off the bottom like a rocket

[Costef @RealCostef]

Let me put this differently:

Financially, the USA is dying. It is slowly bleeding out.

The fed raising rates will be like sticking a knife into the wound and twisting it

The fed will choose high inflation to protect the treasury.

Hikes are not happening.

[Luke Gromen @LukeGromen]

In 1973, US debt/GDP was 31%...today it's 122%.

US fiscal deficit/GDP was 1%...today, it's 6% on its way to 8-10% (or more if the war drags on.)

Translation: "That 70s Show" will feel like "1980s Argentina with US characteristics."

[Costef @RealCostef]

@Xeer Bad take. This guy decides to sell, one guy, and this card is “worth” 50% less overnight

Pokemon is incredibly illiquid, low float

Consequently price gaps up fast, but that works both ways

Expect we’ll see the other side of it play out within the next 12 months

[FortWorthPlayboy @FWPlayboy]

America went from a high-trust society to having to actively defend yourself from fraud and theft with EVERY single monetary transaction cars, homes, medical, dental, business, goods, and services

[Costef @RealCostef]

@BowTiedBull Can’t remember where I saw it but the line is

“Give them enough so that they can do anything, but not enough so that they can do nothing”