MarketGuru

📈 Stocks • ETFs • Funds • Market Moves . . . Markets don’t lie. I just translate them.

[Dividendology @dividendology]

This is funny.

What if you invested in the S&P 500 every time CNBC had a "Markets in Turmoil" special?

Well... your average return after one year would be 40%, with a 100% success rate.

[Johann Siemens | Freedomeers @johann_sie1985]

Most people say they want a better circle, then spend every week around people who only talk about gossip, politics, drinking and complaining.

Your environment is not neutral.

It is either raising your standards or quietly making your current life feel acceptable.

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

The futures market is now pricing 1.5 rate hikes by year-end

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

WHITE HOUSE TO REDIRECT BILLIONS IN RESEARCH FUNDS TOWARD AI, AWAY FROM COLLEGES- WSJ

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

BREAKING: Yen hits weakest level versus U.S. Dollar since 1986

[Hedgie @HedgieMarkets]

🦔A Nikkei investigation found that Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle have $1.65 trillion in debt that doesn't appear on their balance sheets, more than the $1.35 trillion they officially report. These are GPU contracts, data center leases, and joint ventures that don't count as debt under accounting rules until the facilities go live. Meta's hidden debt is $420 billion, triple its reported debt. Oracle's grew 30-fold in four years. All five declined to comment.

My Take
Nikkei examined the actual filings and put a number on something the BIS already flagged as "shadow borrowing" back in March. These companies owe more off their balance sheets than on them, and the accounting rules let them keep it that way until the data centers go live. That's legal, but it means investors looking at quarterly earnings this week are seeing less than half the picture.

Four of these five report earnings in the next two weeks. The reported debt will look manageable. The $1.65 trillion in footnotes won't make the headlines. But when those data centers start operating, the leases hit the books all at once. If AI demand comes in below projections, those facilities get marked down and the losses land on the investors and insurance policyholders who funded the construction through private credit and project bonds without realizing how much total exposure they were carrying.

Hedgie🤗

[Hedgie @HedgieMarkets]

🦔The Wall Street Journal reports that multiple data center builders are simultaneously trying to sell majority stakes in their companies. Netrality, DataBank, Edged, and EdgeCore are all working with bankers to find buyers this summer. DataBank alone could go for $25 billion. These aren't companies selling a few properties. They're selling control of their entire businesses to private equity while the AI buildout is supposedly booming.

My Take
If AI data centers are the gold mine these companies have been telling investors they are, why are the people who built them racing to sell? The WSJ said they're "cashing in on a hot asset class." I'd read it differently. The people closest to the actual economics of building and operating these facilities all decided at the same time that they'd rather have someone else's money than their own equity. That looks a lot more like an exit than a diversification play.

Huang just said a gigawatt of AI compute could cost $100 billion, GPU hardware goes obsolete every 18 months, and local opposition is killing permits in state after state. The customer base is mostly unprofitable AI companies signing leases with investor money, not earned revenue. The builders see all of this up close every day, and they've collectively decided this is a good time to let someone else own the risk going forward.

Hedgie🤗
https://t.co/oP45o6Om1G

[QE Infinity @StealthQE4]

Tik Tock 💀

[Barchart @Barchart]

Korean Traders are unwinding leverage to the lowest level since April 🚨 1.2 Million Margin Calls will do that

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is now at its lowest level since April 1983. Over the past 5 years we've seen a drawdown of 305 million barrels (49% decline).

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

US AVERAGE GASOLINE PRICES RISE ABOVE $4 A GALLON: AAA

[Barchart @Barchart]

Nasdaq 100 $QQQ close below 693 will confirm the Diamond Top (Bearish Reversal) 🚨🚨 Almost there 🤯👀

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

APPLE SURPASSES NVIDIA TO BECOME WORLD'S MOST VALUABLE COMPANY

$AAPL $NVDA

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

BREAKING: SpaceX, $SPCX, shares are down -41.1% from their peak, erasing over $1 trillion of market value.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: The Dow Jones Industrial Average erases all losses and turns green on the day.

[Bloomberg @business]

Bitcoin is known for massive selloffs, but this latest slump feels different. Here's why https://t.co/x9rC7oYVX8

[Barchart @Barchart]

Oracle $ORCL has now plunged 64% since its September 2025 all-time high, a total market cap loss of almost $600 Billion 🚨🤯👀

[Barchart @Barchart]

U.S. Debt now exceeds 100% of GDP for the first time since World War 2 🤯👀

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

We are entering the "I didn't really mean chips were going to infinity" phase on CNBC

[Barchart @Barchart]

Potential Diamond Top (Bearish Reversal) forming in the Nasdaq 100 $QQQ 🚨 🚨 Look for a close below 693 and expanding volume for confirmation 👀 After confirmation, Diamond Tops have an 80% success rate