Huw McKay

This account is now for listening purposes only effective January 22, 2016.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@dsmerdon Seems a more efficient tool would have a language based and a search based offering tailored to the question. Your question could have turned up a bibliographic quant study if it had identified this was a search question. Won’t be long before that is built in?

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@MacroAlf Comparing a stationary series to an exponential series in levels is not a sensible scatter to draw inferences from.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@MacroAlf Why are banks not going to raise deposit rates to compete with MMFs before this gets out of hand? They raised deposit rates when regulation rewarded deposits over other liabilities.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@Brad_Setser Brad, you can only intervene in the nominal. If the nominal was too weak over decades then relative prices would have adjusted to approximate the correct real level. You need to explain why inflation in these countries was lower than the US despite supposed nominal undervaluation

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@nntaleb Samuelson

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@DaveEvansPhD Superforecasting, Tetlock

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@BrianCAlbrecht Read his essay in “Lives of the Laureates” for the answer.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@EricIdle 29 including stopovers

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@jnordvig @BobOnMarkets Completions are measured as well: empirics back intuition on this one.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@jnordvig @BobOnMarkets Note the larger share of multiple dwellings v single family v prior cycles. Multiple dwellings are more steel intensive, and are simply more substantial projects

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@prchovanec Emil and the Detectives

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@jnordvig Mining/resources equity. This is better than direct commodity exposure as there is a significant dividend yield.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@Dr_Freezo @Sydney_Uni @Sydhirt @CleGuardians Congratulations @Dr_Freezo - an amazing opportunity that is well deserved.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@Freakonomics They are interdependent. Low level equilibrium traps are everywhere. Lots of good examples in the thread.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@delong I am not sure those estimates from -48000 to -3000 make sense given the global dispersion of farming starting c -8000? Surely that was a positive productivity shock?

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@HallieRubenhold @AliceFiennes @ryandilley I grew up in Australia, and while it was not on the curriculum, the Michael Caine mini series was aired in my youth and was influential in terms of how JTR was perceived.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@MaxCRoser Max, that is both the environmental and metal intensity Kuznets curves in action. Upside down U shapes that peak at middle income.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@NGruen1 China is the world leader. It is just a narrow sample of OECD countries, nothing to do with language.

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@wadeshipard You didn’t think low and away was a risky location?

[Huw McKay @RealPhatDragon]

@sarahtlawrence9 @wadeshipard Panthera: big cat conservation.