Tony Born

CPA. Sometimes I make sports analytics websites.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Inccstats 2025-26 NCAA basketball preseason ratings and tournament chances are now posted!
https://t.co/EhlOiIC0TV

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Let's get this party started! Inccstats 2024-25 college basketball preseason rankings and tournament chances are now available! https://t.co/EhlOiIBt4n

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Inccstats 2023-24 college basketball preseason rankings and tournament chances are now available: https://t.co/EhlOiIBt4n

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Let the games begin! 2022-23 college basketball preseason rankings and tournament chances are now released! https://t.co/EhlOiIC0TV

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

@HutchNGo @totally_t_bomb @hutch Good catch...For preseason it was supposed to use the same tempo as the prior year but things got mixed up. I'll get that updated.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

2021-22 Preseason Rankings and Tournament Chances of every team are now released! Let's get this party started!! https://t.co/EhlOiIBt4n

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Preseason Rankings and Tournament Chances of every team are now released! The schedules aren't perfect, but then again, this season won't be either. https://t.co/mEMvNjGP8m

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Inccstats 353 team preseason ncaa basketball rankings are now available, including game-by-game predictions, conference standings, and ncaa tournament selection projections. https://t.co/PwVbS39lOO

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

I don't know why the announcers are always so surprised to see good free throw shooters miss. If an 85% ft shooter shoots just 5 free throws in a game, he's more likely to miss at least 1 than make them all. Same for a 90% ft shooter shooting 7.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

And outscored the 16 seeds a combined 150-90 in the second half.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Virginia, Duke, and UNC gave up a combined 101 points and scored 94 in the first half against 16 seeds today.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

ACC teams struggling today in the first half against 16 seeds

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

5 seeds were a couple New Mexico State free throws from being swept this year.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

I finally watched the video of Izzo yesterday and based on all the talk, I was expecting much, much worse. That was...nothing.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Jahlil Jenkins is playing fairleigh well!!

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

@truthsbrackets They shoot so many 3s that if they're hot they could absolutely beat Kentucky. Second best 3 pt % in nation too.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Small sample size so far with NET, but just ran a regression on various metrics to see what best predicted at-large bids. RPI actually much better predicted than NET. SOR was best predictor, which is good to see. Very high reliance on number of wins in top quadrants.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

The only team that I take issue at not being included is NC State. SOR is the most important measurement on their team sheet to determine how impressive a team's season was and NC State was #31. My metric that measures something similar, they were #34.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Usually the results on Selection Sunday haven't mattered in the seeding. This year it seems Friday and Saturday's results didn't either.

[Tony Born @RealTonyBorn]

Chance of a #1 seed if win conference tournament: Duke 79%, Kentucky 66%, Tennessee 65%, Michigan St 45%, Michigan 38%, Houston 6% https://t.co/ceYn6S7p3X