RED Jupiter✨️

📺 Ciekawostki, info na czasie
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🙌 Mocny Hodler $XMR $NEAR $TRX $CAKE
 O tym najczęściej iXuje 🖊️

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

Jutro istotne info o 14:30 lecz czy przy tej sytuacji ma to jakieś znaczenie? 🫴😅
#Krypto #Bitcoin

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

@niebezpiecznik Pewnie X ma mniej

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

@popek1990crypto Ja mam zrobione w andro zablokowane powiadomienia a te co chcę daje wyjątki w TG może komuś się przyda bo ja podobnie tylko ze ponad 3mln wiadomości z grup co nie czytam ale czaty ze znajomymi mam zawsze powiadomienia ale w tg a jak chce w tel to wyjątek ale w android w opcjach

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

📍Wydarzenia w tym tygodniu
#Krypto

[PredictTrader @polymarketbet]

How the Conflict in Ukraine Led to the Conflict in Polymarket - operation "Zelensky's Suit 2.0"

A bit of background: one of the most popular markets on Polymarket is the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. This market is also controversial, as several ceasefires announced in recent years (during which the price of the “YES” reached 90%) were not counted as “Yes” by the Polymarket team, which issued additional clarifications stating that only a ceasefire leading to a complete end to the conflict would be sufficient.

On May 9, 2026: Russia, Ukraine and Trump announced a three-day temporary ceasefire and permission to hold a military parade on Red Square as well as a prisoner exchange. This ceasefire was expected (Russia and Ukraine consistently agree to ceasefires on dates such as May 9, Easter and other important dates for these countries). However according to Polymarket the probability of a ceasefire in May was only 5% - everyone on Polymarket knows that all previous markets were settled as “NO” because temporary ceasefires are not taken into account for the “Russia-Ukraine ceasefire” market on Polymarket. Even after the ceasefire was declared by all three parties the price of YES shares was only 3.4%.

Suddenly, Polymarket issued a clarification for the market that was the exact opposite, stating:

"Additional context: Updated May 9. A mutual agreement to halt military engagement between Russia and Ukraine has been publicly announced and confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting."

The price of "YES" as a result of explanations from the Polymarket skyrockets to 100% and all markets associated with the ceasefire are resolved as "YES".

Why is this decision so strange? Because Russia and Ukraine have already concluded temporary ceasefires, and each time Polymarket pointed out that it was insufficient. Here are some historical examples.

"2026 Russo-Ukrainian truce was a brief truce between Russia and Ukraine, during their ongoing war. On 11 April 2026 at 13:00 UTC a 32-hour truce began for Orthodox Easter between the Russian Federation and Ukraine. The truce had been proposed by President Zelenskyy of Ukraine nearly a week before, and President Putin of Russia had set its period"

CNN 2025 May 7 "Putin’s 3-day ceasefire comes into effect"

NPR: Putin had declared a unilateral 72-hour ceasefire starting May 7, 2025

Ukraine and Russia have confirmed their commitment to a “ceasefire” from May 9 to May 11, 2025.

Here is the statement released by the Polymarket team in May 2025 which dashed any hopes “YES” holders had last year: "Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify."

and

"On April 19, Vladimir Putin announced that “guided by humanitarian considerations, today from 18:00 to 00:00 from Sunday to Monday, the Russian side declares an Easter truce”. Per the rules, "humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market". Thus, an 'Easter truce’, as it has been widely reported, will not qualify, even if reciprocated by Ukraine."

May 2026 - TASS: "The ceasefire is a truly unprecedented humanitarian step."

Polymarket issued two opposing clarifications for the same market responding to the same event related to that market - a three-day truce in the celebration of Victory Day.

The logic of the "No" holders was simple: Polymarket doesn't account for humanitarian pauses (in the form of holiday truces) for the purposes of this market so the holiday truce will not be counted as in all previous years.

Will all "Yes" holders be compensated in 2025 or all "No" holders in 2026? Polymarket effectively interpreted the same event twice in a way that went against the majority opinion. In 2025, they took money from those who had bet on “YES,” and in 2026, from those who had bet on “NO,” relying on a precedent set by the platform itself.

[Monero (XMR) @monero]

The MoneroKon 2026 conference will take place from 5 to 7 June in Warsaw (Poland)!

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

🫴Średnio ważne wydarzenia przed nami ale są
#Bitcoin #Krypto

[Magdalena Ziółkowska @magdalenamisia1]

Powroty z majówki bywają trudne.

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

😅Forget latte art. In Osaka, the new trend is getting your milk spat into your coffee by the waitress. Japan has officially completed the side quests. 🎮💀

#OnlyInJapan
#Japan
#Osaka
#WTF
#Viral

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

@kryptodegeny Pewnie któraś Polska może i nie jedna bo za dużo tym spamują inni jak na Polaków przystało 🤣

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

🔔DZIŚ FED i to ważny 🔪🚀🏓
#Bitcoin #Crypto

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇮🇳 A man in India dug up his deceased sister's skeleton and brought it to the bank just to prove she had died.

He'd been trying to withdraw money from her account for months.

Staff kept telling him the account holder needed to appear in person.

He's illiterate and had no idea a death certificate existed.

The bank got what it asked for.

Source: Times of India

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

@sknerus_ Zrobiłeś to raz, to nic, ale jak o wiele więcej to jesteś zwykłym Sknerusem. Kiedyś plastikowa butelka kosztowała 5zł a i szklane po wódce szło sprzedać bo dużo się piło za PRL. Dziś nie przyjmują szklanych po wódce a plastikowe tak. Napisz adres to ludzie będą Ci do domu słać😉

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

@Morgenstern616 Nie wiesz o czym piszesz to się nie odzywaj.

[$trong @StrongHedge]

$WLFI co-founder @ZachWitkoff arrested for cocaine

$USD1 founder looking like an unstablecoin https://t.co/maE6NBbq9Y

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

@RCB_RP O NIE!
Ale będą pokrzywdzeni Ci co kupili Soda stream co tak reklamują że butelek nie trzeba magazynować. Nie dość że będą kupowali wodę niegazowaną to jeszcze będą butelki magazynować 🤣

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

👁️Informacje na ten tydzień
#Bitcoin #Krypto #Kryptowaluty

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

@bitget Widzę kolejny co nie wie że dźwignia nie ma znaczenia. I to giełda 🤣 Wstyd !!!!

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

@patarinja @N1KT_ALT To znaczy że może się zesrać niedobiegnąc do kibla między innymi i doslownie. Obejrzyj film pt. Trainspotting

[RED Jupiter✨️ @RedJupiter2020]

🧐 #tradingview #Krypto #Bitcoin