What’s Actually Moving the Markets? 🏛️
If you’ve been looking at the charts lately, you’ll notice that technical setups are getting liquidated left and right. That’s because we are in a massive 'macro-driven' phase where news is moving the needle more than RSI or trendlines.
- The Inflation Trap
Everyone was expecting rate cuts by now, but the latest CPI data shows that inflation is stickier than we thought.
This puts the Federal Reserve in a tough spot. If they don't cut rates, the economy feels the heat; if they do it too early, inflation might spiral again. This uncertainty is why we see the Dollar Index (DXY) staying so strong, putting a cap on how high assets can go.
- Gold vs. Risk-on Assets
It’s fascinating to watch the divergence here. While stocks and some crypto assets are struggling for a clear direction, Gold is acting like a true safe haven.
Investors are scared of geopolitical tensions and the possibility of a recession, so they are parking their money where it’s safe.
- The November Shadow
We also can't ignore the upcoming US Election. Historically, election years bring a lot of "fake moves" and volatility. Politicians will promise everything, and the markets will react to every headline.
My Take for Traders
Stop looking for 100x gains for a second and focus on capital preservation. In a market where the rules are being written by the Fed and global news, your best strategy is to stay informed.
Don't just trade what you see on the chart; trade what the world is telling you through the news.
Stay patient. The real trend will reveal itself once the noise settles down.
$BTC Swing Long
1:5 RR swing long entry What I shared in the Telegram channel yesterday is performing beautifully. We have already approached the 3RR mark.
- Secure 25% of your position now to lock in gains.
- Move your Stop Loss to Break Even immediately to ensure a risk-free trade.
I share my personal $BTC and $ETH entries - the same ones I trade as a founder and full-time trader 100% for free in my private channel.
If you aren't following the updates from entry to close, you're missing out on real-time execution.
$BTC
CME Gap 2 Filled.
As I predicted back on April 20, Bitcoin is moving exactly according to the plan. While long-form technical breakdowns might seem "boring" to some, the results speak for themselves.
Don't miss the next move - stay locked in.
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$3Billion in 24 hours
Massive congrats to @tradexyz on reaching a new ATH Daily Volume
Incredible to witness such growth and scale in the current market. Keep building
$ETH Weekly Market Outlook
Last week, we highlighted that the $ETH Breaker Block at $2,945 would likely fail given the bearish sentiment. We also identified the breakdown of the "Bullish Backbone" as the final confirmation.
The Result : ETH followed the script perfectly. The breakdown happened exactly as predicted, and we are now heading toward the identified Accumulation Zone.
At Metaperp, we don't just follow the price - we study the structure.
Who caught this move? 👇
Tom Lee is currently at a $7B + loss on $ETH
Despite the market conditions, he has been aggressively buying the dips over the last few months.
Last Orders :
➲ Feb 02 : 41,788 $ETH ($97M)
➲ Jan 26 : 40,302 $ETH ($117M)
➲ Jan 20 : 35,628 $ETH ($110M)
➲ Jan 12: 24,266 $ETH ($75M)
➲ Dec 08: 138,452 $ETH ($435M)
Bitmine Portfolio Overview
➲ Total Holdings : 4,285,125 $ETH
➲ Average Cost: $4,001 per ETH
➲ Current Price: ~$2,317
➲ Total Invested: $15.4 Billion
Current Value: $9.9 Billion
Unrealized Loss: -$6.6 Billion to -$7.0 Billion
Even with this huge drawdown, Tom Lee remains incredibly bullish. He believes Ethereum will hit $6,500 - $8,500 very soon.
His long-term target ? A staggering $60,000 per ETH.
Will Eth reach $6500 in 2026?
BTC fell below 66K and has crashed 40% since its ATH.
We are currently in an Officially Bear Market. There is no bottom in sight and this zone is where scalp long entries are.
I don't know where you should enter and exit
It would be better to not trade than to profit from a high-risk market, because you won't lose anything. And you won't gain anything either.
The Biggest Loss of My Life
Yesterday’s $BTC crash was something I had been expecting for a while. I stayed patient, avoided taking any shorts, and was waiting to go long between the 64k and 67k range.
However, that trade led to the biggest liquidation I have ever faced in my trading journey.
Here are the mistakes I made :
>Over-trusting Technicals , I relied too much on the TA side and ignored the raw momentum of the crash.
>Adding to a Losing Position, As the market kept selling off, I kept adding margin to my Long, trying to save the trade.
Trading is a journey of both wins and losses. You can't be in profit every single day. I’m sharing this to be transparent and to remind everyone that the market can be brutal.
I'm taking these lessons, fixing my mistakes, and moving forward to the next trade.
Stay strong and keep grinding