Hard to find a better demonstration of the dangers of relying on sparse and unreliable quantified evidence, just because it's quantified, in the face of much better counter-evidence. https://t.co/xFSF63ln4B
@S_OhEigeartaigh I did 4.5 hours/day of writing, 6 days/week while writing my first book (which counts all directly related tasks such as directed reading, outlining, planning, writing revising, ...). Not all of this was spent on the book but probably 3 hours/day was. It took a year or two.
@bryan_caplan Too many have done this (literally withdrawing retirement savings). Can we not encourage young people to do something they will later regret?
The beginning of an important 36 (!) part series on rationalism. Starts a bit slowly but gets very interesting later in the series. https://t.co/0jhBGQiKo4
Stumbled upon an interesting debate on AI super-intelligence from 2011. Yudkowsky makes three core claims/predictions, all of which are (to date) wrong:
1) That human intelligence is relatively simple and ASI can be achieved with a few small innovations; ...