Lapsed physicist. Company director. Software guy. Wine, opera, chamber-music lover. Investor in political betting markets. Lifelong Conservative til 23 Jul 2019
@JohnRentoul There's a bizarre contradiction in your tweet 10: she says the govt should restore the link between what people pay in and the services they get, and then proposes taxing wealthier people (who use those services less) much more.
@spectator 3. It becomes Burnham vs Streeting, with no other serious candidates (maybe some lefty loon might try, as usual)
4. After a bit of to-and-fro, Streeting concedes in return for a big job in Burnham's govt
2/2
@spectator My guess as to what happens next:
1. Starmer digs his heels in, "We must focus on the job in hand & the Manchester mayoralty, etc"
2. Streeting kicks off the contest immediately (maybe even before Burnham is sworn in). He'll get enough support
1/2
@anniekathfox@britishmuseum@britishmuseum Hang on, it did actually let me in! The trick seemed to be that when you get shunted to the back of the queue, there's a very confusing link for Members to join the queue to book in. That then worked immediately (no more queuing), for me at least.
@DanNeidle The issue could be addressed by using the means test to set higher rent, increasing gradually with income, rather than a cliff-edge on eligibility to remain a tenant.
@DavidMorton359 True, much of the damage has already been done, but this is another blow in the lead-up to what will be a calamitous drubbing in the local elections.
@DavidMorton359 I don't think you're right on this. The entire Starmer offering was "I may be dull but I'm honest & grown up and everything will be done properly." Now he looks as dodgy & negligent as Boris, without the charisma.
@DanNeidle It's actually only ยฃ35K, isn't it? The other ยฃ40K is contractual entitlement to pay in lieu of notice, which they really couldn't contest. In the circumstances, I reckon the taxpayer got off rather lightly.
@robfordmancs Another interesting aspect is that Reform made some amateurish mistakes - very bad expectations management has made a pretty good result look very poor, and the choice of candidate wasn't very clever for this seat.
@robfordmancs In past by-elections, the LibDems sometimes achieved spectacular victories by harnessing disparate protest votes against mid-term unpopular governments. Is this result really that different, other than a different label on the winning party?