Michael Saylor explains why gambling $50,000 is scarier to him than having a $15,000,000,000 position in Bitcoin
"I would have a hard time gambling $50,000 and seeing it go up and down $10,000"
"I would have no problem having a $1,000,000,000 position and having it trade down $300,000,000 or a $15,000,000,000 position and having it trade down $3,000,000,000."
"It wouldn’t bother me in the least but I would not gamble $30,000 in chips on a blackjack table that would just drive me bananas"
"At the gambling table the odds are stacked against me and the house is going to win. It bothers me that I am playing a game that the odds are stacked against me. With bitcoin:native I feel like the odds are way in my favor."
@TheBTCTherapist ASK AI to give 1 example of at least company to be added to this index with only 4 quarters of positive results . Now understand the level of volatility MSTR has over others. And think again. Don’t get me wrong we’re coming to index. But not right now
@TheBTCTherapist Do reasearch first. Committee adds company when it shows stable performance in 12 quarters. (Minimum is 4) but even Tesla waited since late 2017 untill 2020 to be included. So your claim is nonsense. We will get included. But another 9-12 months of waiting minimum.
@TheBTCTherapist 2️⃣ Business model skepticism: To the committee, MSTR = “software + BTC speculation,” not a diversified operator with stable recurring cashflows
3️⃣ Volatility filter: The S&P avoids extreme drawdowns. Tesla waited 4 years of profitability before inclusion.Meta wasn’t rushed either
@TheBTCTherapist 1️⃣ Profit track record: S&P requires sustained GAAP profits. Historically, new entrants show 8–12 straight quarters (2–3 years) of earnings before admission. $MSTR has just 4 — mostly from Bitcoin revaluation.
real consideration likely won’t come until late 2026–2027.
⸻
👉 Bottom line: even with 628k BTC and ~$107B market cap, MSTR isn’t even on the radar.
The gap between balance sheet reality and committee conservatism shows just how undervalued & misunderstood Bitcoin still is
Why $MSTR isn’t even close to S&P 500 inclusion (yet): and this is coming from MSTR bull.
1.Profit track record: S&P requires sustained GAAP profits. Historically, new entrants show 8–12 straight quarters (2–3 years) of earnings before admission. $MSTR has just 4 &low income
wasn’t
rushed either, despite huge market cap.
4️⃣ Other candidates stronger: Firms like APP, HOOD, IBKR, LNG have cleaner earnings, better sector balance, and are already under review
5️⃣ Timeline reality: Unless BTC profits are recognized as structural and MSTR stays profitable