Rishikathir

Physics Postgraduate | Aspiring Meteorologist 🌦️
Passionate about weather, climate, and atmospheric sciences. Career in meteorology and research.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@Selwyyyyn Forget supercomputers and numerical weather prediction models… Chennai’s real-time monsoon indicator has entered 😂🌧️.

NEM onset confirmed by the Department of Amphibian Meteorology! 🤣

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@RealpushprajX @grok See.. where is your brain is going!!... Just accept everything. Don't be fool okay... Irritating idiots. Raja guru is always in anxious mode both in india as well as america and other countries. Useless fellows.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@CheGuevaraOffi1 @TVKVijayHQ @CMOTamilnadu @AadhavArjuna @tnpoliceoffl @TNpolice_cz @tncybercrimeoff @arivalayam @CheGuevaraOffi1, don't react for this. They are all useless idiots and psychos... One of the useless people to their family and to the community... The TVK will definitely going to face a huge drawbacks soon!!.. Just wait and watch.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@Selwyyyyn @NWSWPC But the main principle behind higher mean sea level pressure leads to weak in the ascent, and reduced convection right?. How we take this chart at present?.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@Selwyyyyn @NWSWPC Or the concerns regarding monsoon should be interpreted not only by this factor,but also the localised basin factors such as, BOB potential to induce disturbances, moisture transport,mjo,equitorial rosby and Kelvin waves,ENSO,IOD,jet streams,suitable divergence profile,OHE,etc.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@Selwyyyyn @NWSWPC Which means higher seasonal MSLP can be associated with subsidence and suppressed convection, particularly if the pressure pattern is part of a larger-scale circulation anomaly.

My question is,whether this will leads us to pull into a below normal North East Monsoon rainfall?.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@Selwyyyyn @NWSWPC What is your insights on this?. Our indian basin is under above upper tericle!. Which means a relatively high probability of seasonal mean MSLP in the UT. That is NDJ 2026/27 - higher than normal mean sea level pressure over much of india.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@Selwyyyyn @tan_5989 Therefore, El-nino modifies the background environment. It doesn't act as a uniform suppression switch across all of india. The latitude and vertical structure of the anomaly matters.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@Selwyyyyn @tan_5989 land-sea thermal contrast and intraseasonal variability. So we can have strong subsidence/dry-air intrusion over the Arabian Sea + active Bay of Bengal lows + an active monsoon trough. simultaneously.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@Selwyyyyn @tan_5989 Hence, strong El Nino-related sinking motion over the equatorial Indian Ocean/Arabian Sea does not automatically suppress the monsoon trough itself.The trough is primarily governed by low-level moisture convergence, monsoon westerlies, Bay of Bengal disturbances,..

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@Selwyyyyn @tan_5989 Exactly these are two different spatial scales. The El Nino suppression signal is strongest in the tropical belt, while monsoon lows are forming around 20-23°N along the monsoon trough.

[World Meteorological Organization @WMO]

El Niño continues to intensify during the August-October 2026 season. Above-normal temperatures are likely across the world. Wetter conditions in some regions and drought risk in others are expected, consistent with a classic, strong El Niño event.
🗞️ https://t.co/056oYaRROn

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@jpU89cbKOw74979 If the clouds sustained over a long period of time, the event may closely connected to "Mesoscale Convective System". Where we need some worries to think mesocyclone or vortex.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@jpU89cbKOw74979 The instability and shear zones in various elevations in the atmosphere is the primary reason for a elastic and temporary vortex behaviour of the structure.

If we proceed with this,every rain producing clouds will have mesocyclone/vortex. It is common in all the rainy events.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@jpU89cbKOw74979 It is a common and natural phenomenon inside every cumulonimbus/training cumulonimbus events. All cumulonimbus cloud events correspondence with mesovortexs/meso circulation. It is hard to confirm that by seeing the cloud(s) seeming to rotate is not a mesocyclone.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@Selwyyyyn It is evident that,the northward shift of LLJ due to west asian and european warming is generating more rain on the west and northwest .

And a specific downpours/cloudburst event over gujarat is still a mysterious one to analyse it's cause.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@LiveLawIndia For his comments every other judge in supreme court are supporting for current CJI'S stand. At present CJI itself having case in land acquisition. Present CJI itself not perfect in any criteria.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@LiveLawIndia One of the worst CJI ever in india. He having central government mentality. Not bothering about youngsters and his/her family. These kind of justices having thoughts that how to earn from central government by giving false judgements.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@LiveLawIndia If you have no thoughts or mind to handle this, just say straightly that I am not interested to hear this.

[Rishikathir @Rishiii2005]

@NeeshamX One of a useless person in the parliament.. Like a jocker..