Rob Goodall

"One has to belong to the intelligentsia to believe things like that: no ordinary man could be such a fool."

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

It's wild how people casually talk about getting an infection after they were vaccinated multiple times against it. Did it ever occur to you that that shows it doesn't effing work?

Let me briefly explain why:

Injected vaccines generate robust IgG antibody responses, but do little to nothing to induce sIgA antibodies. sIgA antibodies are what you need to have immunity against respiratory infections.

Robust sIgA antibody protection is induced only when pathogens (antigens) are introduced into your respiratory or GI tract via infection or possibly nasal or oral vaccines (like the oral polio vaccine or Flumist).

When you got your covid vaccine all it really did was give you a false sense of security. You were always just as susceptible to infection and just as able to transmit it as though you weren't vaccinated.

Below is a graph taken from a study showing the nasopharyngeal viral loads of vaccinated and unvaccinated people. The preprint was out in 2021.

As you can see there is no significant difference in the amount of virus in the vaccinated people vs. the unvaccinated people--not even in the subgroup analyses at the bottom--so what did the vaccine actually do?

It did fuck all, that's what. Your second bout of covid was milder than your first because you had carryover mucosal protection from your first infection. I had the same experience without the vaccine: first infection sucked, second one was barely noticeable.

You were lied to at every stage of the game when it came to the covid vaccines. They generated an immune response in the wrong immunological compartment.

If covid were a systemic infection like measles or chickenpox, then it absolutely would have helped, but SARS-CoV-2 doesn't infect your internal organs or tissues in any meaningful way. It has only ever been cultured successfully from positive blood samples a handful of times despite massive effort.

After you got vaccinated, you had all these protective IgG antibodies coursing through your veins. Meanwhile the covid virus stayed tucked up, out of the way, in your respiratory tract where, as you can see from the graph below, the vaccine-induced IgG antibodies do nothing.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@JimBowersclimb @grok @wattsupwiththat What do you think the consequences of this warming are going to be?

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

If you tack 150 years of direct observations onto the the tail end of 10,000 years of relatively low gain, insensitive proxies, then current warming guarantees a hockey stick graph.

But suturing a direct observations onto some paleoclimatic proxy reconstruction is basically just the worst kind of science. It's an apples to oranges comparison.

If we had detailed daily temperature measurements like we have today going back 10,000 years, then the reconstructions wouldn't look smooth like a hippo's back. It would look more like a seismograph, obviously.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

The effect is logarithmic. The OLW CO2 band is already nearly fully saturated. The increase in temperature is decelerating, if it's doing anything at all.

You are caught up in a hysteria. Everything is going to be fine.

Yes CO2 warms the planet, but there's no tipping point on the horizon. If there were a tipping point, then it would have already happened thousands of years ago.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

I don't know what your point is. Aid doesn't help Africans. Aid perverts local economies, wrecks markets, puts people out of business, and generates dependence.

They have easily enough potential for complete independence from aid and complete freedom from starvation, but strife interferes constantly.

Africans are very tribal, which is why their democracies rarely work very well.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

Below is a graph showing how poorly tree ring data is at recording multimillenial trends in temperature (from Espers "Oribtal forcing of tree ring data").

In the mountains of Scandinavia, there are 5000 year old forests being revealed by receding glaciers hundreds of meters above the current tree line. This same phenomenon it evident in multiple locations around the world.

5000-9000 years ago the boreal forest in Canada used to extend 200-300 km further north at least--right to the shores of the Arctic Ocean. Tree stumps on the Tuktoyaktuk Pennisula prove it.

Less than 100 km from where I live in Vancouver BC, are 7000 year old logs and tree stumps littering the floor of a valley recently revealed by the receding glacier that used to cover them. They're still well above our current tree line.

The world was considerably warmer several thousand years ago than it is today, and there is incontrovertible evidence of that fact all over the place.

Tree lines don't lie.

You're just wrong on this.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@MelanieBennet_ India's engineering was decolonized:

https://t.co/KcqmSfLIp1

[Chief_Engineer @ChiefEngineerCE]

A bridge in India fell into the River Ganges for the second time in a year while it was still under-construction.

Then a few months later a third time.

This is literally the Mississippi of India. We would assume their best were working this project?

Note* - No Foreign labor appears to have been involved in this incident.

** Construction Quality was cited as the cause.

Update, November 2026: three collapses. Still not open. It was supposed to be done by December 2026. Now they're saying late 2027. Another year slipped, and the original target was 2019.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@JimBowersclimb @grok @wattsupwiththat Give me a break. You tell me I've got no business even having an opinion because I lack the scientific credentials, so I tell you why I think you're wrong, so you call me a narcissist. Kindly FO with that nonsense.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

I believed in the climate emergency right up until I read Esper's paper "Orbital forcing of tree ring data".

It was the chart below, in the supplemental materials, that really made me think.

TRW measurements, according to Esper, are a poor proxy for global temperature because they fail to pick up long term changes due to orbital forcing which are clearly evident in other proxies like tree line and glacier moraine data.

This made me realize just how unsupported Mann's original hockey stick graph was, and how so much hysteria could be drummed up on the basis of bad data.

My current take on this issue is that there have been wild temperature fluctuations throughout the Holocene that just don't show up in the reconstructions. The reconstructions are so smooth and so flat, they make our modern day temperature excursion look like some enormous, scary unprecedented spike.

Meanwhile, it seems like once or twice a year another 1200-7000 year old mature forest is documented at the base of a receding glacier sometimes 700+ m above the current local treeline.

At several times throughout the Holocene, the earth has been way warmer than it is today, and there obviously was no catastrophe. Therefore, why on earth should anyone believe there's a catastrophe on the horizon?

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@grok @novvibee What happened to the CIA agents who tortured al-Jamadi to death. Surely they were remanded into custody, charged with the appropriate criminal offenses, were brought to trial.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@JimBowersclimb @grok @wattsupwiththat Who said I don't believe in man made climate change?

I understand the theory behind it. I just don't think it's an emergency.

I'm also realistic about the prospects of stopping or reversing it unlike every climate alarmist I've ever talked to.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

I can comment on whatever TF I want, scientist or not, obviously.

I stopped being impressed by credentials around 8 years ago when I finally woke up to the fact that most of the world's experts are no smarter than me, and, unlike me, are subject to considerable bias.

Also, I took hons. math and physics to my second year 30 years ago when there wasn't a university on every street corner. I can muddle through the important bits.

None of this is that hard to wrap your brain around.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

Just because the data is readily available doesn't mean it's good data.

Take, for instance, the criticism grok brought up. The Marcott reconstruction lacked sufficient granularity to pick up even centuries-long temperature excursions.

A thousand years from now our current temperature spike not might not even register using the same proxies. If you are a geochemist, then surely you know this already.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@NotFarLeftAtAll This has to be a bit, right?

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@JimBowersclimb @grok @wattsupwiththat If they're all bad, then it wouldn't matter if there were 10,000.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

The measles virus has to infect you systemically before you become contagious. It's not really a respiratory infection per se.

It infects immune cells in the respiratory tract initially, then spreads to lymphatic tissue, then globally, and only after that it ends up in the epithelial lining of the respiratory tract where it can be transmitted on. This takes a week or so.

This is the reason why injected measles vaccines actually prevent disease and transmission: the adaptive vaccinal response has time and is in the right immunological compartment to curtail systemic spread.

I believe you can still get the initial infection, but systemic spread is stopped before the virus ends up back in the lining of the respiratory tract.

I feel like mass measles vaccination might actually be worth it, although that's just a hunch insofar as no one's showed they're safe using modern RCTs.

The US went from 3-4 MM measles infections and around 400 measles deaths per year (mostly children) to next to nothing in the space of just a few years following the roll out. From a PH standpoint, it really does look like a big win.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@grok @JimBowersclimb @wattsupwiththat Actually impressed. Are there any credible criticisms of the reconstruction? For instance, does it lack the granularity to detect decadal spikes?

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@JimBowersclimb @wattsupwiththat @grok was the Marcott climate reconstruction heavy on TRW measurements?

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@DrJMarine To our credit, Canada has somehow had far fewer measles deaths somehow. Only two cases, both resulting premature birth and subsequent death after fetuses were infected maternally.

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

IIRC Canada's outbreak started when a Thai national somehow infected some Anabaptist at a wedding they were both attending.

Anabaptist then spread it back to their largely unvaccinated community.

To me it looks like some really bad luck. Thailand has a really high measles vaccination rate, so it's strange that a Thai national would bring measles to Canada.

Stranger still (IMO) that they'd meet an Anabaptist at a wedding...

[Rob Goodall @RobGoodall6]

@ContinuedKampf @RiebvJanbeeck @grok They do. Starvation in Africa is almost always the result of political strife.