Rob

Macro analyst.
90% serious charts and policy. 10% degen bets for the soul.
Crypto Alpha Dashboard.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

New month, new walkthrough of the dashboard.

We’ve packed so much more into it lately that I honestly don’t use anything else for my day-to-day analysis.

From liquidity models like the GLI and CLI, to liquidation maps, alt league, risk intel, treasury trackers and the letters page, everything you need to stay ahead is in one place.

It’s structured to cover both the serious macro side of your portfolio and the fun stuff like memes and alts, so you’re never flying blind. All of this costs less than a meal out, which is mad when you think about the edge it gives you.

We’re just getting started. Each month will bring even more tools, so I’ll be doing walkthroughs regularly. Get on the dashboard and give yourself the structure and clarity most investors are missing.

TRW and Real Vision members, DM me for your discount codes.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@Sykodelic_ It's a stressed debt cycle. Heavily sentiment and risk appetite driven

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

Possibly the worst time for me to have gone on holiday

Genuinely not really looking or paying attention to the market, just enjoying my time.

I'm lucky enough to understand that generally I don't ever need to take money out of my portfolio to live day to day and that gives me a sense of not really caring about what happens short term. I follow the systems and look ahead in the macro, keeping it simple.

For clarity I have zero plan to sell my hype position yet. I sold VVV for 50% profit this morning and my XLM position yesterday.
Kept my ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 position running. Adding to it with a portion of my VVV profits.

I will sell hype if the dom major hodl index says to on Sunday and will re enter when the dom asset rotation isn't heavily skewed to hype from its recent outperformance.

Other than that, not much to do. Just chill and wait. June and July both look absolute garbage to me. over $4 trillion in debt roller over, while the banking and credit system is on its knees. Credit transmissions are in the dirt. Liquidity isn't hitting. TGA rebuild. Pretty much nothing good for a few months unless Warsh helps out with an unexpected rate cut.

Time will tell.

One thing I will say is the transmission lead has been one of the most accurate models I have ever seen since its creation last year.

Currently writing this with a beer in hand, apologies for spelling mistakes etc.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@SatoshiTacomoto Amen to that! Probably is much better than sitting behind a screen haha

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

Possibly the worst time for me to have gone on holiday

Genuinely not really looking or paying attention to the market, just enjoying my time.

I'm lucky enough to understand that generally I don't ever need to take money out of my portfolio to live day to day and that gives me a sense of not really caring about what happens short term. I follow the systems and look ahead in the macro, keeping it simple.

For clarity I have zero plan to sell my hype position yet. I sold VVV for 50% profit this morning and my XLM position yesterday.
Kept my ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 position running. Adding to it with a portion of my VVV profits.

I will sell hype if the dom major hodl index says to on Sunday and will re enter when the dom asset rotation isn't heavily skewed to hype from its recent outperformance.

Other than that, not much to do. Just chill and wait. June and July both look absolute garbage to me. over $4 trillion in debt roller over, while the banking and credit system is on its knees. Credit transmissions are in the dirt. Liquidity isn't hitting. TGA rebuild. Pretty much nothing good for a few months unless Warsh helps out with an unexpected rate cut.

Time will tell.

One thing I will say is the transmission lead has been one of the most accurate models I have ever seen since its creation last year.

Currently writing this with a beer in hand, apologies for spelling mistakes etc.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@0xQuantyx 100% mate.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@btchydra187 I'm jealous haha

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

This bellend doesn't control the markets people. No one on CT has enough clout to dump a whole asset. Just chill out, touch some grass and wait for tomorrow.

If you've been in hype for a month you're still 60% up on the position, stop complaining 😂

[Whale Insider @WhaleInsider]

JUST IN: Arthur Hayes dumps his entire $HYPE and $NEAR position.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@CyrilBogico @0xQuantyx There we go. Panic over haha

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@bears_are_broke Better off just hodling and letting the markets do what the markets do 😂.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

Hype 8%
Worldcoin 41%
Vvv 13%

Dashboarders are living the highlife while CT is moaning about BTC.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@techsportsmark @CryptoPoseidonn @krakenfx How do you become a VIP. Hook me up 😂😂😂😂

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

For those on the dashboard. This was a glorious day.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@Fredd12108 Deffo getting legs isn't it.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

There's two things I take great pride in as I get older.

The first is the dashboard

In a very, very close second is my efficiency and speed to get through security and to the bar in an airport.

Faultless every time.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

Genuinely how it feels..and boy are we winning 🎊🎊🎊

[Trader Theory @tradertheory]

You cry that the market is rigged.

Smart traders read the manipulation and ride it for profit.

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Crypto Clarity Act added to Senate Legislative Calendar, making it eligible for full Senate consideration.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

Makes sense why now he's going into fort Knox 😂. That'll soon get people back into the safety of the treasury 😂

[maneco64 @maneco1964]

Move over fiat trash.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@Fredd12108 Can you ping me the CA please mate?

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

This week in my market analysis I pushed a slightly bearish short-term view.

The TGA is now likely to build again, taking it back towards the desired $1 trillion level during June.

The balance sheet at the Fed has also stopped expanding, likely pausing under the new Fed chair, whose plans appear to favour a reduced balance sheet to help control inflation while pushing liquidity more toward credit and the private sector.

On top of those two points, credit transmission looks set to move much lower in the coming months, tightening credit availability.

The key caveat here is that I honestly believe bitcoin:native should be much, much higher than it currently is given the amount of liquidity already available within the system, even if no new liquidity is created. The passing of the Clarity Act would likely push prices closer to liquidity fair value in my opinion. Sharp and quick.

But until that happens, I see Bitcoin likely ranging lower. The good news is that some tokens are not as liquidity-sensitive, which our rotation systems should capture. hyperliquid:native still is not showing any signs of stopping, currently up around 72% in a matter of weeks in that position. XMR is also looking poised for another run soon.

The main point is that I am bearish on Bitcoin. If you are running a Bitcoin-only strategy, Godspeed. But personally I would strongly advise against that, as I think you could miss multiple strong moves over the next few weeks and months.

If you are struggling to follow it all, come on over to the dashboard and we will track it all for you.

Free 3-day trial still in place.
RV and TRW members, DM me for discount codes.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@SatoshiTacomoto Nice mate - both going to work out lovely I feel. VVV should have a good time after the 6th

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

Switched up my ethereum:0x6944e1df6bf5972305f9ab25df47ef10de01bcc8 position just after UTC for ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753

Kicked out once again by the alt league and once again, an amazing entry.

I'll be honest as say I actually got up 1 hour after UTC to do this because I couldn't get out of bed haha WLD was already up 4% at that point so its a 11% day currently not 15%.

Still, amazing entry again on a day of red.

[Rob @Rob_Jones19]

@SatoshiTacomoto Niceeee when did you enter, today?