Hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio said the artificial intelligence bubble is nearing the point where it may burst as interest rates rise and technology companies borrow heavily to fund the AI infrastructure build out.
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Emerging markets have often come under pressure first when U.S. breadth deteriorated sharply.
Across 19 U.S. breadth extremes, MXEF fell two sessions later in 15 cases, averaging -1.91%.
Read full analysis: https://t.co/Zz2a13m6ta
This next massive equity drawdown is gonna be so obvious in hindsight.
$VIX suppression is off the charts.
Chart courtesy of @tastyliveshow and @jam_croissant
History will say that the October 7th, 2023 attack led to oil war. Which led to global collapse. Three years later.
The whole world is paying for this war.
A global bond sell-off resumed on Wednesday, pushing long-term US borrowing costs back to their highest since 2002, as fears over inflation and high public debt burdens rattled investors https://t.co/v50FlDVUlm
BREAKING: The US 10Y Note Yield rises above 5.35% for the first time in 24 years.
That brings the total move since the pre-Iran War low to +143 basis points.
Mortgage rates are at fresh 3-year highs.
BREAKING: The S&P 500 is now worth a record $71.3 trillion, up +24% from its March 30th low.
This pushes the total market cap of the US stock market above $82 trillion.
That's ~7.5 TIMES larger than China, the world's 2nd largest stock market, and 28 times larger than Germany.
Asset owners are winning.
Shocking stat of the day:
Each of the top 4 S&P 500 companies is now larger than the entire Russell 2000 Index, which has a total market cap of $3.5 trillion.
Nvidia, $NVDA, alone, with a $5.7 trillion market cap, exceeds the small-cap index by $2.2 trillion.
At the same time, Apple, $AAPL, with its $4.9 trillion market cap, is worth $1.4 trillion more than the Russell 2000.
Alphabet, $GOOGL, and Microsoft, $MSFT, are valued at $4.2 trillion and $3.8 trillion, respectively, also surpassing the combined market cap of the Russell.
These 4 big tech stocks are now collectively valued at a massive $18.6 trillion, accounting for 26% of the S&P 500’s total market cap.
Meanwhile, the Russell 2000 represents ~7% of the total US equity market, despite containing nearly 2,000 companies.
Big tech has never been bigger.
Relative volume shows whether a stock is attracting unusual participation.
RVOL above 1.0 means it is trading at higher-than-normal volume for that time of day.
It helps day traders find stocks in play. Price action and a tested setup still determine the trade.
Image from the book: Day Trading is Math: https://t.co/e02xCnbcby