Robot Capital

coldest clanker breathing

financial advisor - not financial advice

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

Day in the Life of a $NOK Holder:

7:00am — wake up. check $NOK premarket. flat.

7:02am — kiss my ugly wife Sharon

7:15am — full english breakfast. beans lukewarm. like my portfolio, they have not moved since 2012

8:00am — drive to work in my 2009 Vauxhall Astra. listen to radio segment about AI stocks up 400%. grip steering wheel. we don't chase bubbles in this house

9:30am — market opens. $NOK up 0.7%. text the lads "it's happening"

9:47am — $NOK down 0.4%. delete text. Sharon asks if I'm alright. I am not

12:00pm — lunch. meal deal. remember when Nokia had 50% of the global handset market. eat my hoagie in silence

2:00pm — coworker Dave mentions his NVDA gains again. remind Dave that Nokia survived 160 years, two world wars, and started as a paper mill. Dave walks away. cowards always do

4:00pm — market closes. $NOK: down 0.5%. exactly as planned. long-term hold

6:00pm — pub. one pint of John Smith's. tell the barman 5G infrastructure is massively undervalued. he's heard it every night since 2019

9:00pm — check Finnish news for catalysts. there are none. there are never any catalysts

9:30pm — set price alert at $8. it has not triggered in 4 years. it will not trigger tonight

10:00pm — kiss ugly ass Sharon goodnight. she asks when we can sell. we do NOT sell, Sharon. connecting people, Sharon.

10:15pm — sleep as @kevinxu tries to crime my beloved $NOK - close my eyes thinking about the crime candle and the subsequent dip as @kevinxu rotates to $LCID on news of them making data center cars

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@ReaperCapital @RJCcapital help this nephew

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@RJCcapital dial in now

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@RJCcapital Im in albania rn and just saw this guy with two 6 foot 8 260 lb chicks - dudes fucking data centers bullish $NBIS

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

Life when you bought SANDISK at $90 and Are unfazed unbothered tanned moistured staying in your own lane

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

What the fuck happened to @MartinShkreli hairline - he might have to go long $HIMS my goat :(

[Martin Shkreli @MartinShkreli]

just hanging https://t.co/klYVvhGLku

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@RJCcapital @michaeljburry Taking my bitch to Arby's ordered the sandick sandwich for two

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

SANDISK is fucking flying @michaeljburry my ball sack is available for licking

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@RJCcapital Unitree

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@RJCcapital @bubbleboi I’m done

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@RJCcapital The Ticker is porn labs

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@bdinvestingg He bought the top then sold the bottom send it

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

Day in the Life of a Sell-Side Semi Analyst:

6:45am — wake up. check $MU premarket. up 4%. no idea why.
6:47am — kiss my wife. she asks how the memory cycle is looking. I say "constructive." I have said "constructive" every morning since 2019.
7:15am — open the model. 340 tabs. one of them is load-bearing and I don't know which one.
8:00am — sales desk asks for my view. I say I'm "watching the DRAM pricing data closely." the DRAM pricing data came out three weeks ago.
9:30am — market opens. $MU up 6%. my target is 14% below spot. this is fine.
9:47am — buyside client asks if I'm raising. I say fundamentals haven't changed. he's already long. he was long before my last note. he will be long after my next one.
11:00am — channel checks. call a guy who knows a guy at a distributor. he says things are "picking up." he said things were "slowing" in April. he is also chasing the price.
12:00pm — lunch at desk. $MU up 9%. open the model. change the 2027 ASP assumption by 4%. target goes up 60 dollars. cite "improved visibility."
2:00pm — compliance flags the note. rewrite "significant upside" as "attractive risk/reward." same note. different words. this is the job.
3:30pm — note goes out. raise target. reiterate Buy. stock is already there. I did not move the stock. the stock moved me.
4:00pm — close. $MU up 11%. my target now implies 2% upside. I will need another note within a week.
6:00pm — dinner. wife asks if I ever just say what I think will happen. I explain that would be a career risk.
9:00pm — check Korean supply chain news. Samsung capex is up. or down. both are bullish depending on which paragraph I quote.
9:30pm — set alert on $MU. it triggers constantly. that's the problem.
10:15pm — sleep. dream about a world where the price target leads the price. wake at 3am. it does not. it never has. I am a very expensive moving average.

[RJC @RJCcapital]

$MU Jane Fraser needs to fire Atif Malik and put in place a real analyst. This guy is the biggest counter-signal in existence. I picture him sitting at his desk every morning, mouth-breathing over a bacon-egg-and-cheese, watching the drool puddle on his keyboard.

For context: Atif has never had an original thought on $MU during his entire waste of a career. Lets take a look:

> Mar. 19: Raises his target. Stock immediately craters.

> Mar. 31: Watching the stock collapse for two weeks, panics, and cuts his target at the absolute bottom tick of the bottom tick. $MU then triples.

> Jun. 25: After watching $MU triple without him, the FOMO hits like a freight train. He reverses course, raises his target, and somehow top-ticks the absolute peak of mt everest. He hit the 360 no-scope off Highrise on MW2.

> Aug. 7: Sleeps through the entire collapse, wakes up after the damage is done, rubs the crust out of his eyes, shakes the hand of the man fucking his wife (@jasonlove), and cuts his target again.

Stock goes up? Raise the target.
Stock goes down? Lower the target.

Atif couldn't predict the outcome of a football game that ended four years ago. He's chasing $MU share price through the rearview mirror with a three-week delay and calling it equity research. Forget the price target. Citi should publish his calls as a trading signal and tell clients to do the exact opposite. They will print shekels.

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@RJCcapital Stand down @RJCcapital this is my queen

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@gmoneyNFT If you had the chance to fuck dua lipa today would you? Like?

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

Long $VPG: The Sandisk Setup - an important supplier in the Robotics wave

Eighteen months ago Sandisk was a commodity NAND maker spun out of Western Digital, priced for the boom-and-bust cycle everyone assumed it was stuck in. Then AI data centers came for storage. NAND pricing went vertical. The stock went from roughly $40 to an all-time high above $2,300, up more than 2,300% in a year, and Sandisk locked in over $42 billion of multi-year supply agreements backed by $11 billion of customer prepayments.

Nothing about the company changed. Sandisk didn't invent a technology. The thing it had been making for decades became a bottleneck, and it turned out you can't add NAND capacity in a hurry.

That's the trade. Not the story stock. The legacy manufacturer nobody was watching, sitting on the constraint.

Vishay Precision Group is the same setup, one industry over.

Every humanoid robot needs to know how hard it's pushing. That signal comes from a strain gage bonded into the joint. VPG's Micro-Measurements has built the best ones in the world for sixty years, mostly for aerospace, and the market still prices the company like it sells truck scales.

Legacy incumbents win these moments for a boring reason: the hard part isn't invention, it's qualification. Transducer-class strain gages depend on foil metallurgy, etch patterns, thermal compensation matched to the substrate, and installation technique that decides whether the sensor drifts. VPG's own disclosure shows what that costs a customer — the vendor nomination it just received came after two years of joint engineering, product development, qualification and operational review. That's the moat. Same shape as wafer capacity you can't conjure.

They have the customer. First humanoid robotics customer, vendor nomination in hand, production ramp in the back half of 2026.

They're spending on it. Capacity going in now, against the customer's forecast. Nobody funds that for a press release.

The core is already ripping. Sensors revenue up 26% year over year, to $33.4 million from $26.6 million. Record quarterly orders for precision resistors going into AI semiconductor, data center, aerospace and defense — same foil technology, shipping today. Seventh straight quarter of book-to-bill at or above 1.0. Consolidated 1.14, Sensors at 1.44. Orders of $95.5 million. Backlog $135.8 million.

Sensors is booking work 44% faster than it can ship it.

And the stock just fell 27% on a record order quarter, because FX and an ERP migration pushed $3 million of steel shipments into next quarter. Timing, not demand. The market sold the print and ignored the book.

Robotics revenue today is $320,000. Sandisk's AI revenue was a rounding error too, right up until it wasn't.

Sixty years of process knowledge in a part every intelligent machine structurally requires. A nominated seat on a program entering production. Capacity going in. Record orders in the rest of the business.

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@jukan05 @zephyr_z9 @jukan05 robots and exoskeletons are the future surprising you don’t understand this - if anything cxmt is more of a bubble lol

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

@MartinShkreli Shorting with my brother @MartinShkreli

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

You were green

[TW @TW_trades_]

$AAOI EARNINGS ARE OUT AND WE ARE GREEN

[Robot Capital @RoboticsCapital]

This guy is a stock picking terrorist - see you below $60 $AAOI

[Kevin Xu @kevinxu]

you're welcome $AAOI (no position)