Rob's Fact Checker

Bringing credibility where there should be none #RHAP (not @robcesternino)
IG: @survivorfactchecker
#Survivor superfan and data enthusiast

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

I try to cross post all of my content but if you're not following me on Instagram, that's where I post most frequently! #survivor

https://t.co/cUF1lKMCbC

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

@JerseyShade YES! It's my personal favorite. Sabiyah's boot is also excellent.

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

I ran polls on Instagram to see how fans rank all ten New Era #Survivor seasons and these were the results.

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

S45 and S42 should be much higher.

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

Players are ordered by their returnee score:
% Yes Votes + % Maybe Votes x 0.5

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

Which #Survivor50 players do fans want to see play again?

Rick, Genevieve, Christian, Kyle, Tiffany, and Q were the top picks. Over 6,100 fans voted.

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

Compared to the pre-season, Rick gained the most popularity while Chrissy lost the most. #Survivor50

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

Over 5,500 fans voted in the final #Survivor50 popularity polls. Cirie's popularity is unmatched. 👑

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

The #Survivor50 players are ordered by their popularity score (0-100%), which is a weighted average of the four voting categories.

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

Aubry got the tenth smallest winner edit in #Survivor history (41/50). Pre-merge she was 17% under-edited (36/50) and post-merge she was 10% under-edited (44/50).

On average, male winners are 44% over-edited while female winners are 1% under-edited. #Survivor50

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

If you or a loved one had #Survivor50 spoiled by Kalshi, you may be entitled to financial compensation.*

*As long as you used that info to bet on Aubry, otherwise you just got screwed.

[robertjdenault @robertjdenault]

Update: we continue to investigate insider trading in Survivor markets, but the below still holds true: so far, no traders with large positions seem to have a relationship to the show or to the network. Thousands of traders took early positions consistent with the outcome, likely because of public rumors. And public rumors don't equal insider information.

PS—as a longtime Survivor fan, big congrats to Aubry. Well-deserved win.

[Cory Wurtenberger @corywurtnberger]

man the business itself is the problem. Insider trading has always existed, but these "prediction markets" allow insider trading to dominate all aspects of life. The solution is to stop allowing "trading" on pre-recorded content. But you're not actually trying to solve anything.

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

@survivorslayy Good spot!

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

@yellowpaintcat @AddisonMueller I intentionally let voters pick >1 person to try to avoid having people pick just one because they think that person will make the end over someone else. But I can't speak for how everyone actually voted.

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

I asked fans how they think each member of the #Survivor50 jury will vote. These were the results:

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

Fan predictions for how the #Survivor50 finale will play out.

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

@AshsDreamboard "We've boxed ourselves in so much that we're forced to make some really dumb decisions but I assure you, there was no way to avoid this!"

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

@TheBigBroTea So many successful reality TV shows have a reunion because it's a format that works! Why does #Survivor try so hard to be different at every turn instead of just doing things that work?

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

@TheBigBroTea So we're pretending like they never interviewed players in the middle of the finale? I remember them going this in S35 but I'm sure it's been done other times too.

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

@SurvivorSFT It's a gray area! I leaned into giving them credit since they got a necklace but can see the argument that it shouldn't count. 🤷‍♂️

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

With two individual immunity challenges remaining, Tiffany and Joe have the opportunity to tie the record for most individual immunity wins, and Tiff could set the all-time record for women. #Survivor50

[Rob's Fact Checker @RobsFactChecker]

Aubry and Rizo have perfect voting records heading into the finale of #Survivor50