Zach Eflin 5.0 K's "Over"
-Same concept as Glasnow v NYY yesterday
-Eflin has pushed/covered this line in 5 out of his last 6 away starts, one of those being a 9 K performance against NYY
J.P. France 4.0 K's "Under"
-CLE strikes out the least in the league to RHP, only an 18% K rate
-France has only gone over this line in 1 home start
-Went over against CLE this year, expecting CLE to reverse the approach this time
Miller/Ryan 12.5 K's "Over"
-The two top offenses in K's to righties on the year, and two top K teams in general in the league
-Miller showing good stuff as a young guy, 27% K L30, Ryan has been carving with his 36% K L30
-Expecting both pitchers to rely heavily on K's today
@sexybrownsfan62 Went under in his last away start, against SD. Very similar to NY, another underperforming offense but they’ve been better than NY in every category.
Pablo Lopez 7.5 K’s “Over”
-Playing this against SEA again, extremely K friendly offense
-M’s have a 27% K rate to righties L30, Pablo has a 30% K rate
- Just missed by 1 K last outing, got squeezed by ump out of multiple K’s and didn’t have his slider
Lynn+Ryan 14.0 K’s “Over”
-Great K matchups for both guys, Lynn gets an offense with a 28% K rate to righties, Ryan gets a 26%
- Lynn got 10 against MIN this year, Ryan got 7 against CHW
- Both have been dealing recently, Lynn 33% K L30, Ryan 35% K L30
Kyle Bradish 5.5 K’s “Over”
-Rays have turned into a strikeout machine v righties, #3 in the league
-Bradish’s main pitch is the slider, and the Rays have been horrible against that pitch, a combined 27% K rate as a team on the slider
-Bradish has a 10.2 K/9 in away games
Tyler Glasnow 3.5 HA "Over"
-Extremely low line, Orioles have covered this against the last 10 starters
-Faced the Orioles at home on 6/20 and gave up 6 hits
@sexybrownsfan62 Didn’t have time for full write ups today unfortunately but here’s a run down. Pirates are hitting .188 L15, Civale has covered this line last 4/5 with the one miss getting pulled at only 78 pitches. Expecting a vet to take advantage of the inexperience in this cold lineup
Bryce Harper 1.5 TB "Over"
- Hitting .345 L15 games, .337 at home, .322 v righties
- Career .404 average v Teheran with 12 XBH in 47 PA
- Teheran has gotten slammed for 13 runs L2 starts
Drew Smyly 17.5 PO “Under”
-L5 Lefties V WAS have gone under this line, they have the 4th best team AVG v lefties this year
-Smyly has a 5.36 ERA at home, has gone under this line in 6/8 home starts
Dylan Cease 5.0 HA “Over”
- Braves are hitting .278 as a team at home this year and .288 L30
- Cease is a solid arm, but has shown the ability to get hit this year, pushed/covered this line in his last 4 starts
Chris Bassitt 5.0 K's "Under"
- ARI K's 4th least to righties on the year and 3rd least in away games
- Bassitt has been very inconsistent with K's, looking to jump on a tough matchup here. Only 4 K's for Berrios yesterday