Rodrigo Bensusan

Seasoned macro investor with 28 years of experience navigating macroeconomic, political, and geopolitical dynamics across global markets 🇧🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

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[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@RichsReframes That is the “animal spirits” engine.

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@VividProwess 🇧🇷

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@zriboua 🏅

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@Geiger_Capital Agree 100%. But since Pakistan has asked Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz during these two weeks as a show of goodwill, I’d guess the ceasefire is conditional on that.

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@zriboua 🏅

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

⚠️ The Iran War: A Macroeconomic Framing

🛢️ Hormuz Strait Disruption => Energy Shock => Higher Inflation & Weaker Growth

🏦💸 Less Scope for Monetary Easing & Greater Scope for Fiscal Cushioning => Upward Pressure on Breakevens & Term Premium

⏳📉 Short-Lived vs. Prolonged Conflict => Easier vs. Tighter Financial Conditions => Lower vs. Higher Recession Risk

📌 Note: Monetary-fiscal mix shapes the yield curve

@Globalflows @Geiger_Capital @tracyalloway @LizAnnSonders @LynAldenContact @lisaabramowicz1

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@RodDMartin Mossad?

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@KobeissiLetter This is beginning to look more like Castro than Maduro. If Trump wants to exit from a position of strength, his only option may be to reopen Hormuz militarily by degrading Iran’s capabilities until it can no longer threaten the strait—regime change or not.

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@JavierBlas This is beginning to look more like Castro than Maduro. If Trump wants to exit from a position of strength, his only option may be to reopen Hormuz militarily by degrading Iran’s capabilities until it can no longer threaten the strait—regime change or not.

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@Ross__Hendricks This is beginning to look more like Castro than Maduro. If Trump wants to exit from a position of strength, his only option may be to reopen Hormuz militarily by degrading Iran’s capabilities until it can no longer threaten the strait—regime change or not.

[נועה מגיד | Noa magid @NoaMagid]

Tehran tonight: Death to Mojtaba

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@Geiger_Capital This is beginning to look more like Castro than Maduro. If Trump wants to exit from a position of strength, his only option may be to reopen Hormuz militarily by degrading Iran’s capabilities until it can no longer threaten the strait—regime change or not.

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@michaeljburry @realDonaldTrump This is beginning to look more like Castro than Maduro. If Trump wants to exit from a position of strength, his only option may be to reopen Hormuz militarily by degrading Iran’s capabilities until it can no longer threaten the strait—regime change or not.

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@zriboua This is beginning to look more like Castro than Maduro. If Trump wants to exit from a position of strength, his only option may be to reopen Hormuz militarily by degrading Iran’s capabilities until it can no longer threaten the strait—regime change or not.

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@calvinfroedge Can this high-intensity air campaign "neutralize" Iran’s asymmetric threats to the Strait of Hormuz?

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@Citrini7 74 (CL1)

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@zriboua @zerohedge 🎯

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@carolsponza 🏆

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

@zriboua 🏅

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

The Operation Epic Fury is all about Taiwan.
If you want to understand why, read this great piece by @zriboua

@Geiger_Capital @Globalflows @neilksethi @nfergus

[Zineb Riboua @zriboua]

My latest:

The Iran Question Is All About China
Why Operation Epic Fury Is the Opening Act of the Indo-Pacific Century

The Iran question was never about Iran. Remove the Islamic Republic from the equation and China loses its pawns for a Taiwan contingency. Leave it in place and the Middle East remains what Beijing designed it to be: a second front that Washington can never afford to leave and can never afford to stay in. Trump's strikes are the first move by an American president who appears to understand that the road to the Pacific runs through Tehran.

https://t.co/sDBKn77CYY

[Rodrigo Bensusan @RodrigoBensusan]

The current situation under Operation Epic Fury is fundamentally different from the "12-Day War" of June 2025. We’ve moved from "cautious transit" to a total energy freeze. @Geiger_Capital @Globalflows @NickTimiraos @neilksethi #StraitOfHormuz #OilPrice